Gneist v Os

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Os win at 71%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Os 71% before kick-off, 70% now. 0–0 · 16–13–70
3. 1′KICK-OFF Gneist v Os
4. 12′A goal for Os on 11′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 7–10–83
5. 12′We said Os at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 0–1 · 7–10–83
6. 12′⚽ GOAL · 11' Gneist 0–1 Os
7. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Os win: 71% at kick-off, 83% now
8. 37′Gneist score on 37′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 18–20–61
9. 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Gneist 1–1 Os
10. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Os win: 71% at kick-off, 61% now
11. 38′The goal count is tracking the 5.3 we expected. 1–1 · 18–21–61
12. 39′Gneist find the net on 38′. 2–1. 2–1 · 39–24–37
13. 39′We said Os at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 37%. 2–1 · 39–24–37
14. 39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Gneist 2–1 Os
15. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Os win: 71% at kick-off, 37% now
16. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Gneist win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Os win 61%)
17. 43′GOAL DISALLOWED · 43' Gneist
18. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Os win: 71% at kick-off, 59% now
19. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Os win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Gneist win 41%)
20. 45′HALF-TIME Gneist 1–1 Os
21. 46′SECOND HALF Gneist 1–1 Os
22. 49′Gneist find the net on 48′. 2–1. 2–1 · 43–26–31
23. 49′We said Os at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 2–1 · 43–26–31
24. 49′⚽ GOAL · 48' Gneist 2–1 Os
25. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Os win: 71% at kick-off, 31% now
26. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Gneist win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Os win 57%)
27. 50′Gneist ahead on 50′ through S. Aga. 2–1. 2–1 · 44–26–30
28. 51′We said Os at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–1 · 44–26–29
29. 54′We said Os at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 1–1 · 19–27–54 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
30. 58′We said Os at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–1 · 48–27–24
31. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Os win: 71% at kick-off, 21% now
32. 64′We said Os at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–1 · 53–28–19
33. 64′Gneist are down to ten from 64′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–1 · 53–28–19
34. 64′🟥 RED CARD · 64' Gneist
35. 70′A goal for Os on 69′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 17–41–42
36. 70′We said Os at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 42%. 2–2 · 17–41–42
37. 70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Gneist 2–2 Os
38. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Os win: 71% at kick-off, 42% now
39. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Gneist win 57%)
40. 74′Os score on 73′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 2–13–84
41. 74′⚽ GOAL · 73' Gneist 2–3 Os
42. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Os win: 71% at kick-off, 84% now
43. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Os win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 45%)
44. 75′We said Os at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–3 · 2–13–85
45. 83′We said Os at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–3 · 1–9–90
46. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Os win: 71% at kick-off, 91% now
47. 90′We said Os at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–3 · 0–5–95
48. FTFULL TIME Gneist 2–3 Os
49. FTGneist 2–4 Os · Os win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–3 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.