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Fyllingsdalen v Os

Fyllingsdalen

0–2Full time

3. Division - Girone 3 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

Fyllingsdalen 0–2 Os OS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–3 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Os win~~81%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.055

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 7 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Os win at 81%.
3′Little has changed for our model: Os 81% before kick-off, 81% now. 0–0 · 8–11–81
3′KICK-OFF Fyllingsdalen v Os
23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Fyllingsdalen 0–1 Os
24′23′ and it is 0–1: Os have scored. 0–1 · 3–7–90
42′⚽ GOAL · 23' Fyllingsdalen 0–1 Os · D. Kvalvagnes
45′HALF-TIME Fyllingsdalen 0–1 Os
49′SECOND HALF Fyllingsdalen 0–1 Os
73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Fyllingsdalen 0–2 Os
FTFULL TIME Fyllingsdalen 0–2 Os
FTFyllingsdalen 0–2 Os · Os win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–3 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Fyllingsdalen win9%

Draw10%

Os win81%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · os winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

81% The market–

Us81%

We make Os a 81% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–3.8, and 1–3 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Fyllingsdalen win	9%	–	–
Draw	10%	–	–
Os win	81%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	87%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	96%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	74%	–	–
Fyllingsdalen or draw	19%	–	–
Fyllingsdalen clean sheet	3%	–	–
Os clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–3 at 7.0%

0123450 2.6 4.6 5.7 5.3 4.11 3.1 5.7 7.0 6.5 4.92 2.1 3.7 4.5 4.1 3.13 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Fyllingsdalen down, Os across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 973 3. Division - Girone 3 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Division - Girone 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 76.6% of games this season, across 154 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 6.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Fyllingsdalen at home: 0.83 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Os away: 3.17 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.28 goals for Fyllingsdalen, 3.79 for Os. Most likely score 1–3.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~6.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~OS 6–0 FYL

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 3

FYLLINGSDALEN

LLLLLL0–1 · 0–7 · 1–2 · 0–7 · 1–2 · 2–6

WWLWLD2–1 · 2–0 · 2–3 · 3–2 · 2–4 · 0–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Os	22	+35	49
2	Djerv	22	+28	47
3	Askøy	22	+13	43
4	Fana	22	+16	38
5	Vard	22	+16	38
6	Brann II	22	+12	36
7	Austevoll	22	−7	33
8	Førde	22	−7	31
9	Sogndal II	22	+10	27
10	Varegg	22	−8	23
11	Stord	22	−17	21
12	Åsane II	22	−14	19
13	Gneist	22	−26	18
14	Fyllingsdalen	22	−51	6