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Askøy v Fana

Askøy

0–3Full time

Fana

3. Division - Girone 3 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38

Askøy 0–3 Fana ASKØY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Askøy win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.691

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Askøy win at 46%.
1′KICK-OFF Askøy v Fana
2′Much as we predicted: Askøy was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–22–33
45′HALF-TIME Askøy 0–0 Fana
46′SECOND HALF Askøy 0–0 Fana
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Askøy 0–1 Fana
63′53′ and it is 0–1: M. Havag-Eide on the scoresheet for Fana. 0–1 · 8–23–69
63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Askøy win: 46% at kick-off, 8% now
63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Fana win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Askøy win 8%)
72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Askøy 0–2 Fana
79′⚽ GOAL · 53' Askøy 0–2 Fana · M. Havag-Eide
79′⚽ GOAL · 72' Askøy 0–2 Fana · E. O. Moldenes
85′A goal for Fana on 85′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Askøy 0–3 Fana
85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Askøy win: 46% at kick-off, 0% now
FTFULL TIME Askøy 0–3 Fana
FTAskøy 0–3 Fana · Askøy win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Askøy win46%

Draw21%

Fana win34%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · askøy winPublished 10 Oct 13:12

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Askøy a 46% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Askøy win	46%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Fana win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Askøy or draw	66%	–	–
Askøy clean sheet	19%	–	–
Fana clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.2%

0123450 2.5 4.5 3.6 2.1 1 5.3 8.2 7.0 4.0 2 5.0 8.2 6.8 3.9 3 3.3 5.5 4.6 2.6 4 2.8 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Askøy down, Fana across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 973 3. Division - Girone 3 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Division - Girone 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 76.6% of games this season, across 154 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Askøy at home: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Fana away: 2.83 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.01 goals for Askøy, 1.70 for Fana. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~FAN 2–2 ASK

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 3

ASKØY

WLDWLD2–0 · 2–3 · 3–3 · 3–1 · 1–4 · 0–0

FANA

DWWWLW2–2 · 5–3 · 3–2 · 3–0 · 2–3 · 5–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Os	22	+35	49
2	Djerv	22	+28	47
3	Askøy	22	+13	43
4	Fana	22	+16	38
5	Vard	22	+16	38
6	Brann II	22	+12	36
7	Austevoll	22	−7	33
8	Førde	22	−7	31
9	Sogndal II	22	+10	27
10	Varegg	22	−8	23
11	Stord	22	−17	21
12	Åsane II	22	−14	19
13	Gneist	22	−26	18
14	Fyllingsdalen	22	−51	6