Askøy v Åsane II prediction · 3. Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

AskøyDrawÅsane II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Askøy 60%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Askøy are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Askøy 60%, draw 19%, Åsane II 20%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Askøy v Åsane IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Askøy win60%

Draw19%

Åsane II win20%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 25

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Askøy

Åsane II

9Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 3

Last match: 19 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 3

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Askøy	24	+10	43
12	Åsane II	24	−16	22

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · askøy winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Askøy a 60% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Askøy v Åsane II~~2.25 – 1.22

~~Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 3 this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 43 v 22~~5 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Askøy win	60%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Åsane II win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Askøy or draw	80%	–	–
Askøy clean sheet	30%	–	–
Åsane II clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.3%

0123450 3.2 4.2 2.4 1 7.3 8.3 5.2 2.2 2 7.8 9.3 5.7 2.4 3 5.8 6.9 4.2 4 3.3 3.9 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Askøy down, Åsane II across0–5 goals a side shown (96.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 992 3. Division - Girone 3 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Division - Girone 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.5% of games this season, across 173 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2024 in every competition we cover, 2.60 goals a meeting; 3 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Askøy at home: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Åsane II away: 2.33 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.25 goals for Askøy, 1.22 for Åsane II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~2.60

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 5

~~Both scored~~3 of 5

~~Last meetings~~ASA 1–1 ASK · ASK 0–1 ASA · ASA 1–2 ASK · ASK 4–0 ASA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 3 this season · since 12 Sept

ASKØY

DWLDLL3–3 · 3–1 · 1–4 · 0–0 · 0–3 · 2–3

ÅSANE II

LLDLLW1–2 · 2–3 · 2–2 · 2–5 · 1–5 · 3–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Os	25	+43	58
2	Djerv	25	+36	56
3	Vard	25	+24	47
4	Fana	25	+17	44
5	Askøy	24	+10	43
6	Brann II	24	+11	37
7	Austevoll	25	−7	37
8	Førde	25	−11	31
9	Sogndal II	24	+8	30
10	Stord	25	−13	30
11	Varegg	25	−10	26
12	Åsane II	24	−16	22
13	Gneist	25	−33	18
14	Fyllingsdalen	25	−59	6