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Home › Football › 3. Division - Girone 3 › Åsane II v Varegg

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Åsane II v Varegg

Åsane II
3–1Full time
Varegg

3. Division - Girone 3 · MON 19 OCT

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 20:30
Åsane II 3–1 Varegg ÅSANE II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Åsane II win43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.496

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 18 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Åsane II win at 43%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Åsane II v Varegg
  3. 2′Much as we predicted: Åsane II was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–21–36
  4. 40′Varegg score on 40′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 15–22–62
  5. 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Åsane II 0–1 Varegg
  6. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Åsane II win: 43% at kick-off, 15% now
  7. 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Varegg win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Åsane II win 38%)
  8. 41′We said Åsane II at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–22–63
  9. 43′We said Åsane II at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Åsane II 0–1 Varegg
  11. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Åsane II win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
  12. 46′SECOND HALF Åsane II 0–1 Varegg
  13. 58′We said Åsane II at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–68
  14. 65′Åsane II find the net on 65′. 1–1. 1–1 · 29–46–25
  15. 65′We said Åsane II at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–46–25
  16. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Åsane II 1–1 Varegg
  17. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Åsane II win: 43% at kick-off, 29% now
  18. 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Varegg win 71%)
  19. 72′We said Åsane II at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–54–22
  20. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Åsane II win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
  21. 77′A goal for Åsane II on 77′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 82–15–2
  22. 77′We published Åsane II at 43%. Our model now makes it 82%. 2–1 · 82–15–2
  23. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Åsane II 2–1 Varegg
  24. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Åsane II win: 43% at kick-off, 82% now
  25. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Åsane II win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 61%)
  26. 78′Goals are coming at about the 3.7 we expected. 2–1 · 83–15–2
  27. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Åsane II win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
  28. 80′We published Åsane II at 43%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–1
  29. 85′We published Åsane II at 43%. Our model now makes it 91%. 2–1 · 91–9–0
  30. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Åsane II win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
  31. 90′We published Åsane II at 43%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
  32. 93′Åsane II score on 90′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  33. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Åsane II 3–1 Varegg
  34. 94′We published Åsane II at 43%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  35. FTFULL TIME Åsane II 3–1 Varegg
  36. FTÅsane II 3–1 Varegg · Åsane II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Åsane II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Åsane II 43%, draw 21%, Varegg 36%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on Åsane II v VareggBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

Åsane II win43%
Draw21%
Varegg win36%

Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 24

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Åsane II

Varegg

9Days since last match9

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 3

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 3

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
11Varegg23−923
12Åsane II23−1819

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · åsane ii winFirst published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Åsane II a 43% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Åsane II v Varegg1.95 – 1.77
Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 3 this season · since 5 SeptW0 D2 L4 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 19 v 2312 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Åsane II win43%––
Draw21%––
Varegg win36%––
Over 2.5 goals71%––
Both teams to score70%––
Over 1.5 goals88%––
Over 3.5 goals51%––
Åsane II or draw64%––
Åsane II clean sheet18%––
Varegg clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.1%
0123450 2.4 4.6 3.9 2.3 1 5.1 8.1 7.2 4.3 2 4.7 8.0 6.9 4.1 3 3.0 5.2 4.5 2.7 4 2.6 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Åsane II down, Varegg across0–5 goals a side shown (97.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsVAR 0–2 ASA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 3 this season · since 5 Sept

ÅSANE II

DLLDLL3–3 · 1–2 · 2–3 · 2–2 · 2–5 · 1–5

VAREGG

DWDWWL2–2 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 4–2 · 2–1 · 2–3

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Djerv24+3153
2Os23+3752
3Fana24+2244
4Vard24+2144
5Askøy24+1043
6Brann II23+1136
7Austevoll23−636
8Førde24−1031
9Sogndal II23+1230
10Stord24−1427
11Varegg23−923
12Åsane II23−1819
13Gneist24−3118
14Fyllingsdalen24−566

The competition's standings before kick-off.