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Volda v Spjelkavik

Volda
4–1Full time
Spjelkavik

3. Division - Girone 2 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08
Volda 4–1 Spjelkavik VOLDA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Volda win71%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.123

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 11 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Volda win at 71%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Volda 71% before kick-off, 71% now. 0–0 · 71–16–13
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Volda v Spjelkavik
  4. 8′A goal for Volda on 8′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 87–9–5
  5. 8′We said Volda at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 1–0 · 87–9–5
  6. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Volda 1–0 Spjelkavik
  7. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Volda win: 71% at kick-off, 87% now
  8. 9′O. Ervik scores for Volda on 7′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 86–9–5
  9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.8 we expected. 1–0 · 85–10–4
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Volda 1–0 Spjelkavik
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Volda 1–0 Spjelkavik
  12. 54′Volda score on 53′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 97–2–0
  13. 54′We said Volda at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–2–0
  14. 54′⚽ GOAL · 53' Volda 2–0 Spjelkavik
  15. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Volda win: 71% at kick-off, 97% now
  16. 55′54′: O. Bjordal on the scoresheet for Volda, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 97–2–0
  17. 56′Volda find the net on 55′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  18. 56′We said Volda at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  19. 56′⚽ GOAL · 55' Volda 3–0 Spjelkavik
  20. 89′A goal for Volda on 89′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  21. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Volda 4–0 Spjelkavik
  22. 90′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.8 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  23. 92′Spjelkavik score on 90′ to make it 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  24. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Volda 4–1 Spjelkavik
  25. 93′5 goals already, more than the 3.8 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  26. FTFULL TIME Volda 4–1 Spjelkavik
  27. FTVolda 4–1 Spjelkavik · Volda win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Volda are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Volda 71%, draw 16%, Spjelkavik 13%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Volda v SpjelkavikBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Volda win71%
Draw16%
Spjelkavik win13%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 25

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Volda

Spjelkavik

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 2

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 2

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Volda24+3852
9Spjelkavik24−829

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · volda winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
71% The market–
Us71%

We make Volda a 71% chance to win. The model expects 2.8–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Volda v Spjelkavik2.76 – 1.08
Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 2 this season · since 12 SeptW4 D1 L1 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 52 v 292 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Volda win71%––
Draw16%––
Spjelkavik win13%––
Over 2.5 goals73%––
Both teams to score61%––
Over 1.5 goals89%––
Over 3.5 goals53%––
Volda or draw87%––
Volda clean sheet35%––
Spjelkavik clean sheet7%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.5%
0123450 2.4 2.4 1 6.1 6.5 3.6 2 8.1 8.5 4.7 3 7.4 7.6 4.1 4 5.1 5.3 2.8 5 3.0 3.0
under 2% 5% 12%+Volda down, Spjelkavik across0–5 goals a side shown (92.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting3.12
Over 2.54 of 8
Both scored6 of 8
Last meetingsSPJ 1–1 VOL · SPJ 2–1 VOL · VOL 1–1 SPJ · SPJ 1–0 VOL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 2 this season · since 12 Sept

VOLDA

WDWWLW2–1 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 4–1 · 0–1 · 4–0

SPJELKAVIK

LLWLLD2–3 · 0–4 · 1–0 · 2–5 · 1–2 · 2–2

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Strindheim24+3952
2Volda24+3852
3Melhus24+2641
4Byåsen24+738
5Molde II24−1135
6Rosenborg II24+934
7Nardo24+1433
8Herd24−732
9Spjelkavik24−829
10NTNUI24−1628
11Ranheim II24−1726
12Kvik Trondheim24−2126
13Aalesund II24−2325
14Orkla24−3020

The competition's standings before kick-off.