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Model 1.2

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Spjelkavik v Kvik Trondheim

Spjelkavik
2–2Full time
Kvik Trondheim

3. Division - Girone 2 · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28
Spjelkavik 2–2 Kvik Trondheim SPJELKAVIK WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Spjelkavik win62%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.081

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay22 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Spjelkavik win at 62%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Spjelkavik 62% before kick-off, 62% now. 0–0 · 62–19–19
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Spjelkavik v Kvik Trondheim
  4. 14′Spjelkavik score on 13′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 81–12–7
  5. 14′We said Spjelkavik at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 1–0 · 81–12–7
  6. 14′⚽ GOAL · 13' Spjelkavik 1–0 Kvik Trondheim
  7. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Spjelkavik win: 62% at kick-off, 81% now
  8. 15′Kvik Trondheim find the net on 14′. 1–1. 1–1 · 59–22–19
  9. 15′⚽ GOAL · 14' Spjelkavik 1–1 Kvik Trondheim
  10. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Spjelkavik win: 62% at kick-off, 59% now
  11. 18′A goal for Kvik Trondheim on 18′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 35–24–42
  12. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Spjelkavik 1–2 Kvik Trondheim
  13. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Spjelkavik win: 62% at kick-off, 35% now
  14. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Kvik Trondheim win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Spjelkavik win 35%)
  15. 19′We said Spjelkavik at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–2 · 34–24–42
  16. 20′B. Lyso-Johansen scores for Kvik Trondheim on 19′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 34–24–42
  17. 24′Spjelkavik score on 24′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 57–24–19
  18. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Spjelkavik 2–2 Kvik Trondheim
  19. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Spjelkavik win: 62% at kick-off, 57% now
  20. 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Spjelkavik win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Kvik Trondheim win 19%)
  21. 30′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.6 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 55–25–20
  22. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Spjelkavik win: 62% at kick-off, 52% now
  23. 44′We said Spjelkavik at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 50%. 2–2 · 50–31–19
  24. 45′HALF-TIME Spjelkavik 2–2 Kvik Trondheim
  25. 46′We said Spjelkavik at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 2–2 · 49–32–19
  26. 46′SECOND HALF Spjelkavik 2–2 Kvik Trondheim
  27. 48′24′: F. Irving on the scoresheet for Spjelkavik, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 48–33–19
  28. 48′We said Spjelkavik at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 48%. 2–2 · 48–33–19
  29. 49′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.6 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 48–33–19
  30. 56′We said Spjelkavik at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 2–2 · 44–38–18
  31. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Spjelkavik win: 62% at kick-off, 42% now
  32. 63′We said Spjelkavik at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 2–2 · 39–44–17
  33. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Spjelkavik win 39%)
  34. 69′We said Spjelkavik at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–50–15
  35. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Spjelkavik win: 62% at kick-off, 32% now
  36. 74′We said Spjelkavik at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–58–13
  37. 78′We said Spjelkavik at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–65–11
  38. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Spjelkavik win: 62% at kick-off, 22% now
  39. 81′We said Spjelkavik at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–72–9
  40. 84′We said Spjelkavik at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–80–7
  41. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Spjelkavik win: 62% at kick-off, 12% now
  42. 88′We said Spjelkavik at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–86–5
  43. FTFULL TIME Spjelkavik 2–2 Kvik Trondheim
  44. FTSpjelkavik 2–2 Kvik Trondheim · Spjelkavik win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Spjelkavik are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Spjelkavik 62%, draw 19%, Kvik Trondheim 19%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Spjelkavik v Kvik TrondheimBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Spjelkavik win62%
Draw19%
Kvik Trondheim win19%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 24

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Spjelkavik

Kvik Trondheim

8Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 2

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
9Spjelkavik23−828
12Kvik Trondheim23−2125

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · spjelkavik winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
62% The market–
Us62%

We make Spjelkavik a 62% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Spjelkavik v Kvik Trondheim2.37 – 1.23
Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 2 this season · since 5 SeptW1 D0 L5 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 28 v 259 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Spjelkavik win62%––
Draw19%––
Kvik Trondheim win19%––
Over 2.5 goals69%––
Both teams to score63%––
Over 1.5 goals87%––
Over 3.5 goals48%––
Spjelkavik or draw81%––
Spjelkavik clean sheet30%––
Kvik Trondheim clean sheet10%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.2%
0123450 3.1 3.4 2.1 1 6.6 8.0 4.8 2.0 2 7.7 9.2 5.6 2.3 3 6.0 7.2 4.4 4 3.6 4.3 2.6 5 2.1
under 2% 5% 12%+Spjelkavik down, Kvik Trondheim across0–5 goals a side shown (96.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting3.33
Over 2.52 of 3
Both scored3 of 3
Last meetingsKVI 1–2 SPJ · KVI 1–4 SPJ · SPJ 1–1 KVI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 2 this season · since 5 Sept

SPJELKAVIK

LLLWLL2–4 · 2–3 · 0–4 · 1–0 · 2–5 · 1–2

KVIK TRONDHEIM

LLLDLW0–7 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Volda23+3449
2Strindheim23+3249
3Melhus23+2338
4Byåsen23+737
5Molde II23−735
6Herd23+432
7Rosenborg II23+631
8Nardo22+329
9Spjelkavik23−828
10NTNUI23−1328
11Ranheim II23−1426
12Kvik Trondheim23−2125
13Aalesund II22−2323
14Orkla23−2320

The competition's standings before kick-off.