Home › Football › 3. Division - Girone 2 › Ranheim II v Molde II

Ranheim II v Molde II

Ranheim II

2–3Full time

Molde II

3. Division - Girone 2 · MON 12 OCT

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 19:31

Ranheim II 2–3 Molde II RANHEIM II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–3 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ranheim II win~~55%

~~The market said~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.790

~~The market’s Brier score~~1.100

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 27 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Ranheim II win at 55%.
1′Much as we predicted: Ranheim II was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–15–31
1′KICK-OFF Ranheim II v Molde II
17′Much as we predicted: Ranheim II was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–16–31
27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Ranheim II 0–1 Molde II
28′A goal for Molde II on 27′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 33–18–49
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Ranheim II win: 55% at kick-off, 33% now
28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Molde II win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Ranheim II win 33%)
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Ranheim II win: 55% at kick-off, 53% now
28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Ranheim II win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Molde II win 31%)
29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Ranheim II win: 55% at kick-off, 53% now
29′THE CALL SWINGS · 29' Ranheim II win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Molde II win 31%)
29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Ranheim II win: 55% at kick-off, 33% now
29′THE CALL SWINGS · 29' Molde II win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Ranheim II win 33%)
30′We said Ranheim II at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 0–1 · 33–18–49
30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Ranheim II win: 55% at kick-off, 33% now
30′THE CALL SWINGS · 30' Molde II win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Ranheim II win 33%)
30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Ranheim II win: 55% at kick-off, 53% now
30′THE CALL SWINGS · 30' Ranheim II win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Molde II win 31%)
31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Ranheim II win: 55% at kick-off, 33% now
31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Molde II win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Ranheim II win 33%)
31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Ranheim II win: 55% at kick-off, 53% now
31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Ranheim II win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Molde II win 31%)
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Ranheim II 0–2 Molde II
45′HALF-TIME Ranheim II 0–2 Molde II
45′⚽ GOAL · 28' Ranheim II 0–2 Molde II · J. Daleng
45′⚽ GOAL · 41' Ranheim II 0–2 Molde II · I. Gosik
46′SECOND HALF Ranheim II 0–2 Molde II
55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Ranheim II 1–2 Molde II
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Ranheim II 2–2 Molde II
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Ranheim II 2–3 Molde II
FTFULL TIME Ranheim II 2–3 Molde II
FTRanheim II 2–3 Molde II · Ranheim II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 3–3 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get a pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 16:32 · locked at kick-off

Ranheim II win55%

Draw14%

Molde II win31%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 16:45

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Ranheim II

Molde II

8Days since last match10

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Molde II	22	−8	32
11	Ranheim II	22	−13	26

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ranheim ii winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 16:32 · locked at kick-off

55% The market65%

Us55%

~~Market~~65%

We make Ranheim II a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 4.1–3.3.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · ranheim ii win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 65% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ranheim II win	55%	65%	−10
Draw	14%	16%	−2
Molde II win	31%	19%	+12
Over 2.5 goals	97%	87%	+10
Both teams to score	94%	82%	+12
Over 1.5 goals	99%	96%	+4
Over 3.5 goals	93%	78%	+15
Ranheim II or draw	69%	81%	−12
Ranheim II clean sheet	4%	–	–
Molde II clean sheet	2%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–3 at 4.0%

0123450 1 2 3.0 3.1 2.4 3 2.5 3.8 4.0 3.2 2.14 2.5 3.8 4.0 3.2 2.15 3.1 3.2 2.6

under 2% 5% 12%+Ranheim II down, Molde II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 976 3. Division - Girone 2 matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Division - Girone 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.7% of games this season, across 157 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 7.67 goals a meeting; 3 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ranheim II at home: 2.50 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Molde II away: 1.67 scored, 4.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

4.10 goals for Ranheim II, 3.28 for Molde II. Most likely score 3–3.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~7.67

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 3

~~Both scored~~3 of 3

~~Last meetings~~MOL 5–5 RAN · RAN 7–2 MOL · MOL 1–3 RAN

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 2

RANHEIM II

DWLLLW3–3 · 7–0 · 1–4 · 1–4 · 1–3 · 5–2

MOLDE II

LWDWLW1–3 · 3–2 · 4–4 · 1–0 · 0–10 · 6–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Volda	23	+34	49
2	Strindheim	22	+28	46
3	Melhus	22	+24	38
4	Byåsen	23	+7	37
5	Herd	23	+4	32
6	Molde II	22	−8	32
7	Rosenborg II	22	+10	31
8	Nardo	22	+3	29
9	Spjelkavik	23	−8	28
10	NTNUI	23	−13	28
11	Ranheim II	22	−13	26
12	Kvik Trondheim	23	−21	25
13	Orkla	23	−23	20
14	Aalesund II	21	−24	20