Orkla v Nardo

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Nardo win at 58%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Nardo 58% before kick-off, 58% now. 0–0 · 25–17–58
3. 1′KICK-OFF Orkla v Nardo
4. 32′Orkla score on 32′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 48–22–30
5. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Orkla 1–0 Nardo
6. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Nardo win: 58% at kick-off, 30% now
7. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Orkla win is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Nardo win 52%)
8. 33′We said Nardo at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 1–0 · 48–22–30
9. 35′We said Nardo at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–0 · 48–23–29
10. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Nardo win: 58% at kick-off, 28% now
11. 45′HALF-TIME Orkla 1–0 Nardo
12. 46′We said Nardo at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 52–24–24
13. 46′SECOND HALF Orkla 1–0 Nardo
14. 50′Orkla find the net on 50′. 2–0. 2–0 · 78–14–8
15. 50′We said Nardo at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 2–0 · 78–14–8
16. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Orkla 2–0 Nardo
17. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Nardo win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
18. 62′We said Nardo at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–0 · 85–11–4
19. 72′A goal for Nardo on 72′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 67–25–9
20. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Orkla 2–1 Nardo
21. 87′Orkla are down to ten from 87′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–1 · 88–12–1
22. 87′🟥 RED CARD · 87' Orkla
23. 88′Nardo score on 88′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 7–82–11
24. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Orkla 2–2 Nardo
25. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Draw is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Orkla win 89%)
26. 89′We said Nardo at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 2–2 · 6–84–10
27. 93′Orkla find the net on 90′. 3–2. 3–2 · 95–5–0
28. 93′5 goals already, more than the 4.8 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 95–5–0
29. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Orkla 3–2 Nardo
30. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Orkla win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 90%)
31. FTFULL TIME Orkla 3–2 Nardo
32. FTOrkla 3–2 Nardo · Nardo win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.