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NTNUI v Volda

NTNUI
1–0Full time
Volda

3. Division - Girone 2 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35
NTNUI 1–0 Volda VOLDA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Volda win58%
The market said71%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.003
The market’s Brier score1.307

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Volda win at 58%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Volda was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 21–20–59
  3. 1′KICK-OFF NTNUI v Volda
  4. 6′⚽ GOAL · 5' NTNUI 1–0 Volda
  5. 21′5′ and it is 1–0: V. Larsen on the scoresheet for NTNUI. 1–0 · 45–25–30
  6. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Volda win: 58% at kick-off, 30% now
  7. 21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' NTNUI win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Volda win 30%)
  8. 42′We said Volda at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 1–0 · 52–27–21
  9. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Volda win: 58% at kick-off, 21% now
  10. 45′HALF-TIME NTNUI 1–0 Volda
  11. 47′SECOND HALF NTNUI 1–0 Volda
  12. 48′We said Volda at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 54–27–19
  13. 68′We said Volda at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 1–0 · 67–25–8
  14. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Volda win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
  15. 88′We said Volda at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 0%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  16. FTFULL TIME NTNUI 1–0 Volda
  17. FTNTNUI 1–0 Volda · Volda win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

NTNUI win21%
Draw20%
Volda win58%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · volda winPublished 10 Oct 12:19
58% The market71%
Us58%
Market71%

We make Volda a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 71%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–2.2.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65%70%75% 9 OCT 06:1910 OCT 09:11
Our probability · volda win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 71% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
NTNUI win21%12%+9
Draw20%17%+3
Volda win58%71%−12
Over 2.5 goals67%66%+1
Both teams to score63%55%+8
Over 1.5 goals86%84%+2
Over 3.5 goals46%47%−1
NTNUI or draw42%29%+12
NTNUI clean sheet11%––
Volda clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.1%
0123450 3.6 6.6 7.5 5.6 3.2 1 3.6 8.8 9.1 6.7 3.8 2 2.5 5.4 5.8 4.3 2.4 3 2.3 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+NTNUI down, Volda across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsVOL 3–1 NTN

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 2

NTNUI

WLDWLW2–1 · 1–3 · 4–4 · 2–0 · 2–5 · 3–1

VOLDA

WWWDWW6–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 4–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Volda22+3549
2Strindheim22+2846
3Melhus22+2438
4Byåsen22+937
5Herd23+432
6Molde II22−832
7Rosenborg II22+1031
8Spjelkavik23−828
9Nardo21+126
10Ranheim II22−1326
11NTNUI22−1425
12Kvik Trondheim22−2222
13Orkla22−2220
14Aalesund II21−2420

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.