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Nardo v Herd
Nardo
Herd3. Division - Girone 2 · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Nardo win at 57%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Nardo 57% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 57–19–24
- 1′KICK-OFF Nardo v Herd
- 6′Nardo find the net on 6′. 1–0. 1–0 · 76–13–11
- 6′We said Nardo at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–13–11
- 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Nardo 1–0 Herd
- 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' Nardo win: 57% at kick-off, 76% now
- 9′A goal for Nardo on 9′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 89–7–4
- 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Nardo 2–0 Herd
- 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Nardo win: 57% at kick-off, 89% now
- 10′We said Nardo at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 2–0 · 89–7–4
- 13′Nardo score on 12′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 96–3–1
- 13′We said Nardo at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 3–0 · 96–3–1
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 12' Nardo 3–0 Herd
- 17′13′: E. Tonne on the scoresheet for Nardo, making it 3–0. 3–0 · 96–3–1
- 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Nardo win: 57% at kick-off, 97% now
- 33′Nardo find the net on 33′. 4–0. 4–0 · 99–0–0
- 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Nardo 4–0 Herd
- 37′⚽ GOAL · 36' Nardo 5–0 Herd
- 38′Y. Kahsay scores for Nardo on 36′ — 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- 38′We said Nardo at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- 39′5 goals already, more than the 4.2 we expected for the whole match. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- 42′Nardo score on 42′ to make it 6–0. 6–0 · 100–0–0
- 42′That is 6, and we only asked for 4.2 across ninety minutes. 6–0 · 100–0–0
- 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Nardo 6–0 Herd
- 44′Nardo find the net on 44′. 7–0. 7–0 · 100–0–0
- 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Nardo 7–0 Herd
- 45′A goal for Nardo on 45′ — 8–0. 8–0 · 100–0–0
- 45′That is 8, and we only asked for 4.2 across ninety minutes. 8–0 · 100–0–0
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Nardo 8–0 Herd
- 45′HALF-TIME Nardo 8–0 Herd
- 46′SECOND HALF Nardo 8–0 Herd
- 49′Nardo score on 49′ to make it 9–0. 9–0 · 100–0–0
- 49′9 goals already, more than the 4.2 we expected for the whole match. 9–0 · 100–0–0
- 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Nardo 9–0 Herd
- 62′Nardo find the net on 62′. 10–0. 10–0 · 100–0–0
- 62′That is 10, and we only asked for 4.2 across ninety minutes. 10–0 · 100–0–0
- 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Nardo 10–0 Herd
- 81′A goal for Nardo on 80′ — 11–0. 11–0 · 100–0–0
- 81′11 goals already, more than the 4.2 we expected for the whole match. 11–0 · 100–0–0
- 81′⚽ GOAL · 80' Nardo 11–0 Herd
- FTFULL TIME Nardo 11–0 Herd
- FTNardo 11–0 Herd · Nardo win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassNardo are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Nardo 57%, draw 19%, Herd 24%. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 73%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Nardo win57%
Herd win24%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:30
RoundMatchday 24
Match timeline
All events
NardoMIN
HerdEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Nardo
Herd
Last match: 10 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 2
Last match: 9 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Nardo a 57% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–1.6, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nardo win | 57% | – | – |
| Draw | 19% | – | – |
| Herd win | 24% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 73% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 59% | – | – |
| Nardo or draw | 76% | – | – |
| Nardo clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Herd clean sheet | 9% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2026Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 2 this season · since 5 Sept
NARDO
HERD
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volda | 23 | +34 | 49 |
| 2 | Strindheim | 23 | +32 | 49 |
| 3 | Melhus | 23 | +23 | 38 |
| 4 | Byåsen | 23 | +7 | 37 |
| 5 | Molde II | 23 | −7 | 35 |
| 6 | Herd | 23 | +4 | 32 |
| 7 | Rosenborg II | 23 | +6 | 31 |
| 8 | Nardo | 22 | +3 | 29 |
| 9 | Spjelkavik | 23 | −8 | 28 |
| 10 | NTNUI | 23 | −13 | 28 |
| 11 | Ranheim II | 23 | −14 | 26 |
| 12 | Kvik Trondheim | 23 | −21 | 25 |
| 13 | Aalesund II | 22 | −23 | 23 |
| 14 | Orkla | 23 | −23 | 20 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Volda
Strindheim
Melhus
Byåsen
Molde II
Rosenborg II
Spjelkavik
NTNUI
Ranheim II
Kvik Trondheim
Aalesund II
Orkla