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Melhus v Ranheim II
Melhus
Ranheim II3. Division - Girone 2 · MON 19 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Melhus win at 77%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Melhus v Ranheim II
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Melhus 77% before kick-off, 76% now. 0–0 · 76–12–11
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Melhus win: 77% at kick-off, 67% now
- 40′We said Melhus at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 65%. 0–0 · 65–20–14
- 43′We said Melhus at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 64–22–14
- 45′HALF-TIME Melhus 0–0 Ranheim II
- 46′SECOND HALF Melhus 0–0 Ranheim II
- 54′We said Melhus at 77%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 58%. 0–0 · 58–27–15
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 5.0 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 58–28–15
- 56′A goal for Melhus on 56′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 85–11–3
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Melhus win: 77% at kick-off, 57% now
- 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Melhus 1–0 Ranheim II
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Melhus win: 77% at kick-off, 85% now
- 68′Melhus score on 68′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 98–2–0
- 68′We said Melhus at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 2–0 · 98–2–0
- 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Melhus 2–0 Ranheim II
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Melhus win: 77% at kick-off, 98% now
- 83′We said Melhus at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 90′Melhus are down to ten from 90′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 90′🟥 RED CARD · 90' Melhus
- 95′Melhus find the net on 90′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Melhus 3–0 Ranheim II
- FTFULL TIME Melhus 3–0 Ranheim II
- FTMelhus 3–0 Ranheim II · Melhus win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 3–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Melhus are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Melhus 77%, draw 12%, Ranheim II 11%. Over 2.5 goals 87%, both teams to score 73%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off
Melhus win77%
Ranheim II win11%Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 18:00
RoundMatchday 24
Match timeline
All events
MelhusMIN
Ranheim IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Melhus
Ranheim II
Last match: 12 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 2
Last match: 12 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Melhus a 77% chance to win. The market has them at 26%. We are 51 points more confident than the market. The model expects 3.6–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 26% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melhus win | 77% | 26% | +51 |
| Draw | 12% | 21% | −9 |
| Ranheim II win | 11% | 53% | −42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 87% | 79% | +8 |
| Both teams to score | 73% | 77% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 96% | 92% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 73% | 63% | +10 |
| Melhus or draw | 89% | 47% | +42 |
| Melhus clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Ranheim II clean sheet | 3% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 2 this season · since 5 Sept
MELHUS
RANHEIM II
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strindheim | 24 | +39 | 52 |
| 2 | Volda | 24 | +38 | 52 |
| 3 | Melhus | 23 | +23 | 38 |
| 4 | Byåsen | 24 | +7 | 38 |
| 5 | Molde II | 24 | −11 | 35 |
| 6 | Nardo | 23 | +14 | 32 |
| 7 | Herd | 24 | −7 | 32 |
| 8 | Rosenborg II | 23 | +6 | 31 |
| 9 | Spjelkavik | 24 | −8 | 29 |
| 10 | NTNUI | 23 | −13 | 28 |
| 11 | Ranheim II | 23 | −14 | 26 |
| 12 | Kvik Trondheim | 24 | −21 | 26 |
| 13 | Aalesund II | 23 | −23 | 24 |
| 14 | Orkla | 24 | −30 | 20 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Strindheim
Volda
Byåsen
Molde II
Nardo
Herd
Rosenborg II
Spjelkavik
NTNUI
Kvik Trondheim
Aalesund II
Orkla