Kvik Trondheim v Rosenborg II prediction · 3. Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Kvik TrondheimDrawRosenborg II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Rosenborg II 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rosenborg II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kvik Trondheim 29%, draw 21%, Rosenborg II 50%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Kvik Trondheim v Rosenborg IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Kvik Trondheim win29%

Draw21%

Rosenborg II win50%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 25

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kvik Trondheim

Rosenborg II

9Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 2

Last match: 19 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 2

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Rosenborg II	24	+9	34
12	Kvik Trondheim	24	−21	26

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rosenborg ii winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Rosenborg II a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kvik Trondheim v Rosenborg II~~1.51 – 2.04

~~Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 2 this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 26 v 34~~12 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kvik Trondheim win	29%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Rosenborg II win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Kvik Trondheim or draw	50%	–	–
Kvik Trondheim clean sheet	14%	–	–
Rosenborg II clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.9%

0123450 3.3 5.9 6.0 4.1 2.1 1 4.4 8.9 8.7 5.9 3.1 2 3.4 6.6 6.5 4.4 2.3 3 3.3 3.3 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kvik Trondheim down, Rosenborg II across0–5 goals a side shown (97.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 991 3. Division - Girone 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Division - Girone 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.5% of games this season, across 172 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kvik Trondheim at home: 0.83 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). Rosenborg II away: 2.50 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.51 goals for Kvik Trondheim, 2.04 for Rosenborg II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~ROS 0–3 KVI · ROS 1–1 KVI · KVI 0–2 ROS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 2 this season · since 12 Sept

KVIK TRONDHEIM

LLDLWD0–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 2–2

ROSENBORG II

LWWLLW2–5 · 4–0 · 7–1 · 1–4 · 1–5 · 3–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Strindheim	25	+43	55
2	Volda	25	+41	55
3	Melhus	25	+26	42
4	Byåsen	24	+7	38
5	Molde II	24	−11	35
6	Rosenborg II	24	+9	34
7	Nardo	25	+13	33
8	Herd	25	−11	32
9	Spjelkavik	25	−11	29
10	NTNUI	25	−16	29
11	Ranheim II	24	−17	26
12	Kvik Trondheim	24	−21	26
13	Aalesund II	24	−23	25
14	Orkla	25	−29	23