Byåsen v Molde II prediction · 3. Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ByåsenDrawMolde II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Byåsen 64%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Byåsen are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Byåsen 64%, draw 15%, Molde II 21%. Over 2.5 goals 89%, both teams to score 82%.

The AI’s read on Byåsen v Molde IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Byåsen win64%

Draw15%

Molde II win21%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 25

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Byåsen

Molde II

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 2

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 2

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Byåsen	24	+7	38
5	Molde II	24	−11	35

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · byåsen winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

64% The market–

Us64%

We make Byåsen a 64% chance to win. The model expects 3.3–2.0, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Byåsen v Molde II~~3.34 – 1.97

~~Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 2 this season · since 12 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 38 v 35~~4 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Byåsen win	64%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Molde II win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	89%	–	–
Both teams to score	82%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	96%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	76%	–	–
Byåsen or draw	79%	–	–
Byåsen clean sheet	15%	–	–
Molde II clean sheet	4%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 5.8%

0123450 1 3.5 3.4 2.2 2 2.9 5.5 5.3 3.4 3 3.1 5.8 5.6 3.7 4 2.5 4.8 4.6 3.0 5 3.2 3.1 2.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Byåsen down, Molde II across0–5 goals a side shown (85.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 987 3. Division - Girone 2 matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Division - Girone 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.6% of games this season, across 168 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 5.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Byåsen at home: 2.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Molde II away: 2.17 scored, 4.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.34 goals for Byåsen, 1.97 for Molde II. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~5.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~MOL 6–6 BYA · BYA 2–1 MOL · MOL 3–2 BYA · BYA 0–2 MOL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 2 this season · since 12 Sept

BYÅSEN

WWWWLD4–1 · 6–1 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 3–3

MOLDE II

DWLWWL4–4 · 1–0 · 0–10 · 6–2 · 3–2 · 0–4

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Strindheim	25	+43	55
2	Volda	25	+41	55
3	Melhus	25	+26	42
4	Byåsen	24	+7	38
5	Molde II	24	−11	35
6	Rosenborg II	24	+9	34
7	Nardo	25	+13	33
8	Herd	25	−11	32
9	Spjelkavik	25	−11	29
10	NTNUI	25	−16	29
11	Ranheim II	24	−17	26
12	Kvik Trondheim	24	−21	26
13	Aalesund II	24	−23	25
14	Orkla	25	−29	23