Aalesund II v Nardo

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Nardo win at 52%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Nardo 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 30–18–52
3. 1′KICK-OFF Aalesund II v Nardo
4. 21′Aalesund II score on 20′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 51–20–29
5. 21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Aalesund II 1–0 Nardo
6. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Nardo win: 52% at kick-off, 29% now
7. 21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Aalesund II win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Nardo win 49%)
8. 22′We said Nardo at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–0 · 51–20–29
9. 28′Aalesund II find the net on 28′. 2–0. 2–0 · 73–14–13
10. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Aalesund II 2–0 Nardo
11. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Nardo win: 52% at kick-off, 13% now
12. 29′We said Nardo at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 2–0 · 73–14–12
13. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Nardo win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
14. 32′The goal count is tracking the 4.7 we expected. 2–0 · 74–14–12
15. 40′We said Nardo at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–0 · 77–13–9
16. 45′HALF-TIME Aalesund II 2–0 Nardo
17. 46′SECOND HALF Aalesund II 2–0 Nardo
18. 49′A goal for Aalesund II on 49′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 93–5–2
19. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Aalesund II 3–0 Nardo
20. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Nardo win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
21. 50′We said Nardo at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 3–0 · 94–5–2
22. 54′Nardo score on 54′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 83–11–5
23. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Aalesund II 3–1 Nardo
24. 69′Nardo find the net on 69′. 3–2. 3–2 · 67–24–9
25. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Aalesund II 3–2 Nardo
26. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Nardo win: 52% at kick-off, 9% now
27. 70′5 goals already, more than the 4.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 68–24–8
28. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Nardo win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
29. 94′A goal for Nardo on 90′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 2–95–3
30. 94′That is 6, and we only asked for 4.7 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 2–95–3
31. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Aalesund II 3–3 Nardo
32. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Draw is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Aalesund II win 96%)
33. FTFULL TIME Aalesund II 3–3 Nardo
34. FTAalesund II 3–3 Nardo · Nardo win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.