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Aalesund II v Byåsen
Aalesund II
Byåsen3. Division - Girone 2 · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Byåsen win at 43%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Byåsen was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 37–21–43
- 1′KICK-OFF Aalesund II v Byåsen
- 27′Aalesund II find the net on 26′. 1–0. 1–0 · 60–21–19
- 27′We said Byåsen at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 60–21–19
- 27′⚽ GOAL · 26' Aalesund II 1–0 Byåsen
- 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Byåsen win: 43% at kick-off, 19% now
- 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Aalesund II win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Byåsen win 19%)
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 4.0 we expected. 1–0 · 60–21–19
- 45′We said Byåsen at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 63–22–14
- 45′HALF-TIME Aalesund II 1–0 Byåsen
- 47′SECOND HALF Aalesund II 1–0 Byåsen
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Byåsen win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
- 51′A goal for Byåsen on 51′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 31–34–35
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Aalesund II 1–1 Byåsen
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Byåsen win: 43% at kick-off, 35% now
- 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Aalesund II win 29%)
- 60′Byåsen score on 60′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 8–21–72
- 60′We published Byåsen at 43%. Our model now makes it 72%. 1–2 · 8–21–72
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Aalesund II 1–2 Byåsen
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Byåsen win: 43% at kick-off, 72% now
- 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Byåsen win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 21%)
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Byåsen win: 43% at kick-off, 73% now
- 67′We published Byåsen at 43%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–2 · 6–20–75
- 75′We published Byåsen at 43%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
- 76′Aalesund II find the net on 75′. 2–2. 2–2 · 19–59–21
- 76′We said Byåsen at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 2–2 · 19–59–21
- 76′4 goals already, more than the 4.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 19–59–21
- 76′⚽ GOAL · 75' Aalesund II 2–2 Byåsen
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Byåsen win: 43% at kick-off, 21% now
- 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Byåsen win 21%)
- 81′A goal for Byåsen on 81′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 1–13–86
- 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Aalesund II 2–3 Byåsen
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Byåsen win: 43% at kick-off, 86% now
- 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Byåsen win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 13%)
- 82′We published Byåsen at 43%. Our model now makes it 87%. 2–3 · 1–12–87
- 82′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.0 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 1–12–87
- 84′We published Byåsen at 43%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–3 · 1–10–90
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Byåsen win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
- 91′We published Byåsen at 43%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–3 · 0–5–95
- 95′Aalesund II score on 90′ to make it 3–3. 3–3 · 2–96–2
- 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+5' Aalesund II 3–3 Byåsen
- 95′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+5' Byåsen win: 43% at kick-off, 2% now
- 95′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+5' Draw is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Byåsen win 2%)
- 96′We said Byåsen at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 3–3 · 2–96–2
- 96′6 goals already, more than the 4.0 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 2–96–2
- 96′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+6' Byåsen win: 43% at kick-off, 2% now
- FTFULL TIME Aalesund II 3–3 Byåsen
- FTAalesund II 3–3 Byåsen · Byåsen win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Byåsen are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Aalesund II 37%, draw 21%, Byåsen 43%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 73%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Aalesund II win37%
Byåsen win43%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 24
Match timeline
All events
Aalesund IIMIN
ByåsenEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Aalesund II
Byåsen
Last match: 12 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 2
Last match: 10 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Byåsen a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–2.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 45%, 43% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund II win | 37% | 44% | −7 |
| Draw | 21% | 20% | +1 |
| Byåsen win | 43% | 36% | +7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 79% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 73% | 76% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 90% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56% | 60% | −4 |
| Aalesund II or draw | 57% | 64% | −7 |
| Aalesund II clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
| Byåsen clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 2 this season · since 5 Sept
AALESUND II
BYÅSEN
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strindheim | 24 | +39 | 52 |
| 2 | Volda | 24 | +38 | 52 |
| 3 | Melhus | 23 | +23 | 38 |
| 4 | Byåsen | 23 | +7 | 37 |
| 5 | Molde II | 24 | −11 | 35 |
| 6 | Nardo | 23 | +14 | 32 |
| 7 | Herd | 24 | −7 | 32 |
| 8 | Rosenborg II | 23 | +6 | 31 |
| 9 | Spjelkavik | 24 | −8 | 29 |
| 10 | NTNUI | 23 | −13 | 28 |
| 11 | Ranheim II | 23 | −14 | 26 |
| 12 | Kvik Trondheim | 24 | −21 | 26 |
| 13 | Aalesund II | 22 | −23 | 23 |
| 14 | Orkla | 24 | −30 | 20 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Strindheim
Volda
Melhus
Molde II
Nardo
Herd
Rosenborg II
Spjelkavik
NTNUI
Ranheim II
Kvik Trondheim
Orkla