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SF Grei v Gamle Oslo

SF Grei
2–1Full time
Gamle Oslo

3. Division - Girone 1 · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 14:49
SF Grei 2–1 Gamle Oslo GAMLE OSLO WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–3 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Gamle Oslo win64%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.058

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gamle Oslo win at 64%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Gamle Oslo 64% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 21–15–64
  3. 1′KICK-OFF SF Grei v Gamle Oslo
  4. 27′SF Grei score on 27′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 42–21–37
  5. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' SF Grei 1–0 Gamle Oslo
  6. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Gamle Oslo win: 64% at kick-off, 37% now
  7. 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' SF Grei win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Gamle Oslo win 37%)
  8. 29′We said Gamle Oslo at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 1–0 · 42–22–36
  9. 33′We said Gamle Oslo at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–0 · 43–22–34
  10. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Gamle Oslo win: 64% at kick-off, 34% now
  11. 39′SF Grei find the net on 38′. 2–0. 2–0 · 68–17–15
  12. 39′⚽ GOAL · 38' SF Grei 2–0 Gamle Oslo
  13. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Gamle Oslo win: 64% at kick-off, 15% now
  14. 40′We said Gamle Oslo at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 2–0 · 69–17–15
  15. 40′The goal count is tracking the 5.1 we expected. 2–0 · 69–17–15
  16. 41′We said Gamle Oslo at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–0 · 69–17–14
  17. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Gamle Oslo win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
  18. 45′HALF-TIME SF Grei 2–0 Gamle Oslo
  19. 46′SECOND HALF SF Grei 2–0 Gamle Oslo
  20. 48′A goal for Gamle Oslo on 48′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 48–25–27
  21. 48′We said Gamle Oslo at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 2–1 · 48–25–27
  22. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' SF Grei 2–1 Gamle Oslo
  23. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Gamle Oslo win: 64% at kick-off, 27% now
  24. 51′E. Jammeh scores for Gamle Oslo on 49′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 49–26–25
  25. 52′We said Gamle Oslo at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–1 · 50–26–24
  26. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Gamle Oslo win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
  27. 74′We said Gamle Oslo at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 66–25–9
  28. 80′We said Gamle Oslo at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 75–21–4
  29. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Gamle Oslo win: 64% at kick-off, 4% now
  30. FTFULL TIME SF Grei 2–1 Gamle Oslo
  31. FTSF Grei 2–1 Gamle Oslo · Gamle Oslo win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–3 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Gamle Oslo are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: SF Grei 21%, draw 15%, Gamle Oslo 64%. Over 2.5 goals 88%, both teams to score 80%.

The AI’s read on SF Grei v Gamle OsloBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

SF Grei win21%
Draw15%
Gamle Oslo win64%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 24

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

SF Grei

Gamle Oslo

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 1

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Gamle Oslo23+2844
12SF Grei23−3022

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gamle oslo winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
64% The market–
Us64%

We make Gamle Oslo a 64% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–3.2, and 1–3 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · SF Grei v Gamle Oslo1.88 – 3.24
Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 1 this season · since 4 SeptW3 D0 L3 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 22 v 4412 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
SF Grei win21%––
Draw15%––
Gamle Oslo win64%––
Over 2.5 goals88%––
Both teams to score80%––
Over 1.5 goals96%––
Over 3.5 goals74%––
SF Grei or draw36%––
SF Grei clean sheet4%––
Gamle Oslo clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–3 at 6.2%
0123450 2.2 3.2 3.4 2.7 1 3.7 5.9 6.2 4.9 3.22 3.5 5.4 5.7 4.6 3.03 2.2 3.4 3.6 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+SF Grei down, Gamle Oslo across0–5 goals a side shown (87.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2024
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsGAM 3–1 SFG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 1 this season · since 4 Sept

SF GREI

LLLWWW0–1 · 2–3 · 1–4 · 3–2 · 4–3 · 2–0

GAMLE OSLO

WLLLDW2–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Asker23+4861
2Gamle Oslo23+2844
3Heming23+2244
4Vålerenga II23−540
5IF Ready23+1639
6Bærum23+1935
7Union Carl Berner23+435
8Frigg23+133
9Lokomotiv Oslo23−2426
10KFUM II23−1925
11Ullern23−1823
12SF Grei23−3022
13Nordstrand23−1620
14Konnerud23−2617

The competition's standings before kick-off.