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Lokomotiv Oslo v Konnerud

Lokomotiv Oslo

3–2Full time

Konnerud

3. Division - Girone 1 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35

Lokomotiv Oslo 3–2 Konnerud LOKOMOTIV OSLO WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Lokomotiv Oslo win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.375

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Lokomotiv Oslo win at 50%.
1′Much as we predicted: Lokomotiv Oslo was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–20–30
1′KICK-OFF Lokomotiv Oslo v Konnerud
27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Lokomotiv Oslo 1–0 Konnerud
43′Lokomotiv Oslo ahead on 27′ through C. S. Fidjeland P.. 1–0. 1–0 · 72–18–10
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Lokomotiv Oslo win: 50% at kick-off, 72% now
45′⚽ GOAL · 46' Lokomotiv Oslo 1–1 Konnerud
45′HALF-TIME Lokomotiv Oslo 1–1 Konnerud
46′E. Skistad scores for Konnerud on 45′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 42–30–28
46′SECOND HALF Lokomotiv Oslo 1–1 Konnerud
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Lokomotiv Oslo win: 50% at kick-off, 42% now
60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Lokomotiv Oslo 2–1 Konnerud
67′60′ and it is 2–1: Lokomotiv Oslo have scored. 2–1 · 77–18–5
67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Lokomotiv Oslo win: 50% at kick-off, 77% now
76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Lokomotiv Oslo 3–1 Konnerud
86′Lokomotiv Oslo ahead on 76′ through O. Lokken. 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Lokomotiv Oslo win: 50% at kick-off, 100% now
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Lokomotiv Oslo 3–2 Konnerud
FTFULL TIME Lokomotiv Oslo 3–2 Konnerud
FTLokomotiv Oslo 3–2 Konnerud · Lokomotiv Oslo win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Lokomotiv Oslo win50%

Draw19%

Konnerud win30%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lokomotiv oslo winPublished 10 Oct 12:19

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Lokomotiv Oslo a 50% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.8, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lokomotiv Oslo win	50%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Konnerud win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	77%	–	–
Both teams to score	74%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	58%	–	–
Lokomotiv Oslo or draw	70%	–	–
Lokomotiv Oslo clean sheet	17%	–	–
Konnerud clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.7%

0123450 3.3 2.7 1 4.2 6.7 6.0 3.6 2 4.5 7.7 6.8 4.0 3 3.5 5.9 5.2 3.1 4 2.0 3.5 3.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lokomotiv Oslo down, Konnerud across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 972 3. Division - Girone 1 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Division - Girone 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 81.7% of games this season, across 153 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 7.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Lokomotiv Oslo at home: 2.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Konnerud away: 1.17 scored, 3.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.32 goals for Lokomotiv Oslo, 1.78 for Konnerud. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~7.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~KON 4–3 LOK

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 1

LOKOMOTIV OSLO

LWWLWL2–3 · 3–0 · 5–2 · 0–5 · 4–1 · 1–4

KONNERUD

DLWLLD1–1 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 5–5

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Asker	21	+45	55
2	Heming	22	+22	43
3	Gamle Oslo	22	+27	41
4	Vålerenga II	22	−8	37
5	IF Ready	22	+12	36
6	Bærum	22	+21	35
7	Union Carl Berner	22	+8	35
8	Frigg	21	+5	33
9	KFUM II	22	−19	24
10	Ullern	22	−16	23
11	Lokomotiv Oslo	22	−25	23
12	Nordstrand	22	−15	20
13	SF Grei	22	−32	19
14	Konnerud	22	−25	17