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Lokomotiv Oslo v IF Ready

Lokomotiv Oslo
3–1Full time
IF Ready

3. Division - Girone 1 · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 18:02
Lokomotiv Oslo 3–1 IF Ready IF READY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said IF Ready win52%
The market said36%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.787
The market’s Brier score0.507

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 27 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said IF Ready win at 52%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: IF Ready was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 30–18–51
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Lokomotiv Oslo v IF Ready
  4. 3′Lokomotiv Oslo score on 3′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 49–19–32
  5. 3′We said IF Ready at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 1–0 · 49–19–32
  6. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Lokomotiv Oslo 1–0 IF Ready
  7. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' IF Ready win: 52% at kick-off, 32% now
  8. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Lokomotiv Oslo win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was IF Ready win 32%)
  9. 3′GOAL DISALLOWED · 3' Lokomotiv Oslo
  10. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' IF Ready win: 52% at kick-off, 51% now
  11. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' IF Ready win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Lokomotiv Oslo win 30%)
  12. 4′GOAL DISALLOWED · 4' Lokomotiv Oslo
  13. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' IF Ready win: 52% at kick-off, 51% now
  14. 4′THE CALL SWINGS · 4' IF Ready win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Lokomotiv Oslo win 30%)
  15. 5′Lokomotiv Oslo score on 5′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 49–19–31
  16. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Lokomotiv Oslo 1–0 IF Ready
  17. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' IF Ready win: 52% at kick-off, 31% now
  18. 5′THE CALL SWINGS · 5' Lokomotiv Oslo win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was IF Ready win 31%)
  19. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Lokomotiv Oslo 1–0 IF Ready · T. Aanensen
  20. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' IF Ready win: 52% at kick-off, 31% now
  21. 7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Lokomotiv Oslo win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was IF Ready win 31%)
  22. 14′We said IF Ready at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–0 · 50–20–29
  23. 31′We said IF Ready at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 53–22–24
  24. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' IF Ready win: 52% at kick-off, 22% now
  25. 45′We said IF Ready at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 57–24–19
  26. 45′HALF-TIME Lokomotiv Oslo 1–0 IF Ready
  27. 46′SECOND HALF Lokomotiv Oslo 1–0 IF Ready
  28. 50′Lokomotiv Oslo find the net on 50′. 2–0. 2–0 · 83–12–6
  29. 50′We said IF Ready at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 2–0 · 83–12–6
  30. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Lokomotiv Oslo 2–0 IF Ready
  31. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' IF Ready win: 52% at kick-off, 6% now
  32. 55′We said IF Ready at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–0 · 85–11–4
  33. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' IF Ready win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
  34. 67′A goal for IF Ready on 67′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 67–24–9
  35. 67′Goals are coming at about the 4.4 we expected. 2–1 · 67–24–9
  36. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Lokomotiv Oslo 2–1 IF Ready
  37. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' IF Ready win: 52% at kick-off, 9% now
  38. 69′Lokomotiv Oslo score on 69′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 92–7–2
  39. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Lokomotiv Oslo 3–1 IF Ready
  40. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' IF Ready win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
  41. FTFULL TIME Lokomotiv Oslo 3–1 IF Ready
  42. FTLokomotiv Oslo 3–1 IF Ready · IF Ready win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

IF Ready are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lokomotiv Oslo 30%, draw 18%, IF Ready 52%. Over 2.5 goals 81%, both teams to score 77%.

The AI’s read on Lokomotiv Oslo v IF ReadyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Lokomotiv Oslo win30%
Draw18%
IF Ready win52%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 24

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lokomotiv Oslo

IF Ready

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 1

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 1

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5IF Ready23+1639
9Lokomotiv Oslo23−2426

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · if ready winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
52% The market36%
Us52%
Market36%

We make IF Ready a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 16 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–2.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Lokomotiv Oslo v IF Ready1.89 – 2.49
Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 1 this season · since 5 SeptW4 D0 L2 · W4 D0 L2
Table places · points 26 v 399 v 5
The market · IF Ready win36% · ours 52%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45%50%55% 12 OCT 04:0318 OCT 14:27
Our probability · IF Ready win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Lokomotiv Oslo win30%42%−12
Draw18%22%−4
IF Ready win52%36%+16
Over 2.5 goals81%78%+3
Both teams to score77%77%0
Over 1.5 goals93%––
Over 3.5 goals63%61%+2
Lokomotiv Oslo or draw48%64%−16
Lokomotiv Oslo clean sheet9%––
IF Ready clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.2%
0123450 3.5 4.0 3.3 2.1 1 2.7 5.7 7.2 5.9 3.7 2 2.3 5.5 6.7 5.5 3.4 3 3.5 4.2 3.5 2.2 4 2.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Lokomotiv Oslo down, IF Ready across0–5 goals a side shown (93.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.56 of 7
Both scored6 of 7
Last meetingsIFR 6–1 LOK · LOK 3–2 IFR · IFR 1–2 LOK · LOK 3–1 IFR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 1 this season · since 5 Sept

LOKOMOTIV OSLO

WWLWLW3–0 · 5–2 · 0–5 · 4–1 · 1–4 · 3–2

IF READY

LWWLWW2–5 · 4–3 · 5–2 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 4–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Asker24+4964
2Heming24+2447
3Gamle Oslo24+2744
4Vålerenga II24−940
5IF Ready23+1639
6Bærum24+2038
7Union Carl Berner24+838
8Frigg23+133
9Lokomotiv Oslo23−2426
10KFUM II23−1925
11SF Grei24−2925
12Ullern24−1923
13Nordstrand24−1820
14Konnerud24−2717

The competition's standings before kick-off.