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Gamle Oslo v Nordstrand

Gamle Oslo
1–0Full time
Nordstrand

3. Division - Girone 1 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38
Gamle Oslo 1–0 Nordstrand GAMLE OSLO WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Gamle Oslo win69%
The market said64%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.144
The market’s Brier score0.196

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gamle Oslo win at 69%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Gamle Oslo v Nordstrand
  3. 3′Much as we predicted: Gamle Oslo was 69% before kick-off and our model makes it 69% now. 0–0 · 69–16–16
  4. 43′We said Gamle Oslo at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 57%. 0–0 · 57–25–18
  5. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Gamle Oslo win: 69% at kick-off, 57% now
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Gamle Oslo 0–0 Nordstrand
  7. 47′SECOND HALF Gamle Oslo 0–0 Nordstrand
  8. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Gamle Oslo 0–0 Nordstrand
  9. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Gamle Oslo 1–0 Nordstrand
  10. 64′E. Jammeh scores for Gamle Oslo on 58′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 83–14–3
  11. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Gamle Oslo win: 69% at kick-off, 83% now
  12. 82′⚽ GOAL · 58' Gamle Oslo 1–0 Nordstrand · E. Jammeh
  13. 85′We published Gamle Oslo at 69%. Our model now makes it 93%. 1–0 · 93–6–0
  14. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Gamle Oslo win: 69% at kick-off, 93% now
  15. FTFULL TIME Gamle Oslo 1–0 Nordstrand
  16. FTGamle Oslo 1–0 Nordstrand · Gamle Oslo win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Gamle Oslo win69%
Draw15%
Nordstrand win16%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gamle oslo winPublished 10 Oct 13:12
69% The market64%
Us69%
Market64%

We make Gamle Oslo a 69% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 3.0–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70%75% 9 OCT 06:1910 OCT 11:20
Our probability · gamle oslo win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 64% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Gamle Oslo win69%64%+5
Draw15%17%−2
Nordstrand win16%19%−3
Over 2.5 goals81%80%+1
Both teams to score71%72%0
Over 1.5 goals93%91%+2
Over 3.5 goals64%63%+2
Gamle Oslo or draw84%81%+3
Gamle Oslo clean sheet24%––
Nordstrand clean sheet5%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.5%
0123450 1 3.9 5.0 3.7 2 5.4 7.5 5.3 2.6 3 5.3 7.4 5.2 2.5 4 4.0 5.6 3.9 5 2.5 3.4 2.4
under 2% 5% 12%+Gamle Oslo down, Nordstrand across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsNOR 1–2 GAM

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 1

GAMLE OSLO

WWLLLD3–2 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–4 · 1–1

NORDSTRAND

LLDWLL3–5 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 0–1 · 0–3

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Asker21+4555
2Heming22+2243
3Gamle Oslo22+2741
4Vålerenga II22−837
5IF Ready22+1236
6Bærum22+2135
7Union Carl Berner22+835
8Frigg21+533
9KFUM II22−1924
10Ullern22−1623
11Lokomotiv Oslo22−2523
12Nordstrand22−1520
13SF Grei22−3219
14Konnerud22−2517

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.