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Trygg/Lade v Stjørdals-Blink
Trygg/Lade
Stjørdals-Blink2. Division - Group 2 · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Stjørdals-Blink win at 47%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: Stjørdals-Blink was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 32–21–47
- 2′KICK-OFF Trygg/Lade v Stjørdals-Blink
- 22′Trygg/Lade score on 22′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 56–23–21
- 22′We said Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 1–0 · 56–23–21
- 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Trygg/Lade 1–0 Stjørdals-Blink
- 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, 21% now
- 22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Trygg/Lade win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Stjørdals-Blink win 21%)
- 29′We said Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 57–23–19
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 1–0 · 58–23–19
- 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
- 45′We said Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 61–24–14
- 45′HALF-TIME Trygg/Lade 1–0 Stjørdals-Blink
- 46′SECOND HALF Trygg/Lade 1–0 Stjørdals-Blink
- 59′We said Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 67–24–9
- 60′Stjørdals-Blink find the net on 60′. 1–1. 1–1 · 24–43–33
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Trygg/Lade 1–1 Stjørdals-Blink
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, 33% now
- 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Trygg/Lade win 24%)
- 61′We said Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 24–44–32
- 61′A goal for Stjørdals-Blink on 61′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 5–19–76
- 61′We published Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. Our model now makes it 76%. 1–2 · 5–19–76
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Trygg/Lade 1–2 Stjørdals-Blink
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, 76% now
- 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Stjørdals-Blink win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 19%)
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Trygg/Lade · On: S. Greiff · Off: S. Hansen
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, 77% now
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Stjørdals-Blink · On: V. Kvande · Off: E. Sandrod
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Stjørdals-Blink · On: A. Bartel · Off: E. Forren
- 70′We published Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
- 75′Trygg/Lade score on 75′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 17–61–22
- 75′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 17–61–22
- 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Trygg/Lade 2–2 Stjørdals-Blink
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, 22% now
- 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Draw is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Stjørdals-Blink win 22%)
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Stjørdals-Blink · On: L. Ulloa Niinivirta · Off: E. S. Myrvagnes
- 78′Stjørdals-Blink find the net on 78′. 2–3. 2–3 · 1–13–85
- 78′We published Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–3 · 1–13–85
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Trygg/Lade 2–3 Stjørdals-Blink
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, 85% now
- 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Stjørdals-Blink win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 13%)
- 79′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 1–13–86
- 79′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Trygg/Lade
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
- 83′Stjørdals-Blink ahead on 79′ through T. Pedersen. 2–3. 2–3 · 1–9–90
- 83′We published Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–3 · 1–9–90
- 88′🟨 YELLOW · 85' A. Bartel · Stjørdals-Blink
- 89′We published Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–3 · 0–5–95
- 90′A goal for Stjørdals-Blink on 90′ — 2–4. 2–4 · 0–0–100
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Trygg/Lade 2–4 Stjørdals-Blink
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 91′D. Torp-Helland scores for Stjørdals-Blink on 89′ — 2–4. 2–4 · 0–0–100
- 91′We published Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–4 · 0–0–100
- 91′6 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–4 · 0–0–100
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Stjørdals-Blink · On: D. Torp-Helland · Off: P. Einarson
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Stjørdals-Blink · On: G. Lewis · Off: B. Feldt
- 94′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Trygg/Lade · On: F. Brattbakk · Off: T. Skattum-Dahl
- FTFULL TIME Trygg/Lade 2–4 Stjørdals-Blink
- FTTrygg/Lade 2–4 Stjørdals-Blink · Stjørdals-Blink win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassStjørdals-Blink are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Trygg/Lade 32%, draw 21%, Stjørdals-Blink 47%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 65%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Trygg/Lade win32%
Stjørdals-Blink win47%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 24
Match timeline
All events
Trygg/LadeMIN
Stjørdals-BlinkEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Trygg/Lade
Stjørdals-Blink
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Trygg/Lade
Stjørdals-Blink
Last match: 11 Oct · 2. Division - Group 2
Last match: 11 Oct · 2. Division - Group 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Trygg/Lade
Formation not confirmed
1 M. Finseth
10 S. Hansen
11 T. Skattum-Dahl
16 H. E. Kleiven
18 S. Halgunset
21 M. Flotve
23 A. Ekseth
24 O. J. Elvedahl
26 E. Flottorp
28 B. Kvithyld
77 M. Vollan
Coach · –
Substitutes
2 · F. Brattbakk
3 · S. Greiff
5 · V. Bergersen
6 · J. Bohle
12 · L. Johnsen
19 · F. S. Thomassen
20 · T. Fredriksen
22 · H. Skaro
29 · E. Hansen
Stjørdals-Blink
Formation not confirmed
1 E. Meidal
4 J. Sonstebo
6 S. Stuen
7 E. S. Myrvagnes
10 B. Feldt
17 M. V. Fagerhaug
19 T. Pedersen
21 E. Sandrod
22 A. Kvalvik
23 P. Einarson
29 E. Forren
Coach · –
Substitutes
8 · L. Ulloa Niinivirta
11 · V. Kvande
12 · L. Hilstad
15 · H. S. Jorgensen
18 · M. Weidel
20 · D. Torp-Helland
25 · G. Lewis
27 · A. Bartel
31 · T. Herfindal
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Trygg/Lade
Formation not confirmed
1 M. Finseth
10 S. Hansen
11 T. Skattum-Dahl
16 H. E. Kleiven
18 S. Halgunset
21 M. Flotve
23 A. Ekseth
24 O. J. Elvedahl
26 E. Flottorp
28 B. Kvithyld
77 M. Vollan
Coach · –
Substitutes
2 · F. Brattbakk
3 · S. Greiff
5 · V. Bergersen
6 · J. Bohle
12 · L. Johnsen
19 · F. S. Thomassen
20 · T. Fredriksen
22 · H. Skaro
29 · E. Hansen
Stjørdals-Blink
Formation not confirmed
1 E. Meidal
4 J. Sonstebo
6 S. Stuen
7 E. S. Myrvagnes
10 B. Feldt
17 M. V. Fagerhaug
19 T. Pedersen
21 E. Sandrod
22 A. Kvalvik
23 P. Einarson
29 E. Forren
Coach · –
Substitutes
8 · L. Ulloa Niinivirta
11 · V. Kvande
12 · L. Hilstad
15 · H. S. Jorgensen
18 · M. Weidel
20 · D. Torp-Helland
25 · G. Lewis
27 · A. Bartel
31 · T. Herfindal
We make Stjørdals-Blink a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 49%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trygg/Lade win | 32% | 26% | +6 |
| Draw | 21% | 23% | −2 |
| Stjørdals-Blink win | 47% | 51% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 70% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 65% | 69% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 85% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 50% | −5 |
| Trygg/Lade or draw | 53% | 49% | +4 |
| Trygg/Lade clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
| Stjørdals-Blink clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2022Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 2 this season · since 5 Sept
TRYGG/LADE
STJØRDALS-BLINK
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eidsvold | 23 | +35 | 54 |
| 2 | Kjelsås | 23 | +21 | 50 |
| 3 | Levanger | 23 | +26 | 46 |
| 4 | Hønefoss | 23 | +23 | 46 |
| 5 | Grorud | 23 | +22 | 46 |
| 6 | Tromsdalen Uil | 23 | +2 | 35 |
| 7 | Lørenskog | 23 | −4 | 34 |
| 8 | Stjørdals-Blink | 23 | −1 | 33 |
| 9 | Junkeren | 23 | −7 | 31 |
| 10 | Rana | 23 | −3 | 30 |
| 11 | Skeid | 23 | −19 | 20 |
| 12 | Follo | 23 | −23 | 14 |
| 13 | Ull/Kisa | 23 | −44 | 13 |
| 14 | Trygg/Lade | 23 | −28 | 10 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Eidsvold
Kjelsås
Levanger
Hønefoss
Grorud
Tromsdalen Uil
Lørenskog
Junkeren
Rana
Skeid
Follo
Ull/Kisa