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Model 1.2

Home › Football › 2. Division - Group 2 › Trygg/Lade v Stjørdals-Blink

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Trygg/Lade v Stjørdals-Blink

Trygg/Lade
2–4Full time
Stjørdals-Blink

2. Division - Group 2 · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35
Trygg/Lade 2–4 Stjørdals-Blink STJØRDALS-BLINK WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Stjørdals-Blink win47%
The market said51%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.425
The market’s Brier score0.362

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay24 notes · 33 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Stjørdals-Blink win at 47%.
  2. 2′Much as we predicted: Stjørdals-Blink was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 32–21–47
  3. 2′KICK-OFF Trygg/Lade v Stjørdals-Blink
  4. 22′Trygg/Lade score on 22′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 56–23–21
  5. 22′We said Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 1–0 · 56–23–21
  6. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Trygg/Lade 1–0 Stjørdals-Blink
  7. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, 21% now
  8. 22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Trygg/Lade win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Stjørdals-Blink win 21%)
  9. 29′We said Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 57–23–19
  10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 1–0 · 58–23–19
  11. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
  12. 45′We said Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 61–24–14
  13. 45′HALF-TIME Trygg/Lade 1–0 Stjørdals-Blink
  14. 46′SECOND HALF Trygg/Lade 1–0 Stjørdals-Blink
  15. 59′We said Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 67–24–9
  16. 60′Stjørdals-Blink find the net on 60′. 1–1. 1–1 · 24–43–33
  17. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Trygg/Lade 1–1 Stjørdals-Blink
  18. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, 33% now
  19. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Trygg/Lade win 24%)
  20. 61′We said Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 24–44–32
  21. 61′A goal for Stjørdals-Blink on 61′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 5–19–76
  22. 61′We published Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. Our model now makes it 76%. 1–2 · 5–19–76
  23. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Trygg/Lade 1–2 Stjørdals-Blink
  24. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, 76% now
  25. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Stjørdals-Blink win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 19%)
  26. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Trygg/Lade · On: S. Greiff · Off: S. Hansen
  27. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, 77% now
  28. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Stjørdals-Blink · On: V. Kvande · Off: E. Sandrod
  29. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Stjørdals-Blink · On: A. Bartel · Off: E. Forren
  30. 70′We published Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
  31. 75′Trygg/Lade score on 75′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 17–61–22
  32. 75′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 17–61–22
  33. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Trygg/Lade 2–2 Stjørdals-Blink
  34. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, 22% now
  35. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Draw is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Stjørdals-Blink win 22%)
  36. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Stjørdals-Blink · On: L. Ulloa Niinivirta · Off: E. S. Myrvagnes
  37. 78′Stjørdals-Blink find the net on 78′. 2–3. 2–3 · 1–13–85
  38. 78′We published Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–3 · 1–13–85
  39. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Trygg/Lade 2–3 Stjørdals-Blink
  40. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, 85% now
  41. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Stjørdals-Blink win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 13%)
  42. 79′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 1–13–86
  43. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Trygg/Lade
  44. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
  45. 83′Stjørdals-Blink ahead on 79′ through T. Pedersen. 2–3. 2–3 · 1–9–90
  46. 83′We published Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–3 · 1–9–90
  47. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 85' A. Bartel · Stjørdals-Blink
  48. 89′We published Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–3 · 0–5–95
  49. 90′A goal for Stjørdals-Blink on 90′ — 2–4. 2–4 · 0–0–100
  50. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Trygg/Lade 2–4 Stjørdals-Blink
  51. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Stjørdals-Blink win: 47% at kick-off, over 99% now
  52. 91′D. Torp-Helland scores for Stjørdals-Blink on 89′ — 2–4. 2–4 · 0–0–100
  53. 91′We published Stjørdals-Blink at 47%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–4 · 0–0–100
  54. 91′6 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–4 · 0–0–100
  55. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Stjørdals-Blink · On: D. Torp-Helland · Off: P. Einarson
  56. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Stjørdals-Blink · On: G. Lewis · Off: B. Feldt
  57. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Trygg/Lade · On: F. Brattbakk · Off: T. Skattum-Dahl
  58. FTFULL TIME Trygg/Lade 2–4 Stjørdals-Blink
  59. FTTrygg/Lade 2–4 Stjørdals-Blink · Stjørdals-Blink win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Stjørdals-Blink are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Trygg/Lade 32%, draw 21%, Stjørdals-Blink 47%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Trygg/Lade v Stjørdals-BlinkBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Trygg/Lade win32%
Draw21%
Stjørdals-Blink win47%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 24

Line-ups

Trygg/Lade

Stjørdals-Blink

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Trygg/Lade

Stjørdals-Blink

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · 2. Division - Group 2

Last match: 11 Oct · 2. Division - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8Stjørdals-Blink23−133
14Trygg/Lade23−2810

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Trygg/Lade

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Finseth

10 S. Hansen

11 T. Skattum-Dahl

16 H. E. Kleiven

18 S. Halgunset

21 M. Flotve

23 A. Ekseth

24 O. J. Elvedahl

26 E. Flottorp

28 B. Kvithyld

77 M. Vollan

Coach · –

Substitutes

2 · F. Brattbakk

3 · S. Greiff

5 · V. Bergersen

6 · J. Bohle

12 · L. Johnsen

19 · F. S. Thomassen

20 · T. Fredriksen

22 · H. Skaro

29 · E. Hansen

Stjørdals-Blink

Formation not confirmed

1 E. Meidal

4 J. Sonstebo

6 S. Stuen

7 E. S. Myrvagnes

10 B. Feldt

17 M. V. Fagerhaug

19 T. Pedersen

21 E. Sandrod

22 A. Kvalvik

23 P. Einarson

29 E. Forren

Coach · –

Substitutes

8 · L. Ulloa Niinivirta

11 · V. Kvande

12 · L. Hilstad

15 · H. S. Jorgensen

18 · M. Weidel

20 · D. Torp-Helland

25 · G. Lewis

27 · A. Bartel

31 · T. Herfindal

Our number · stjørdals-blink winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:10 · locked at kick-off
47% The market51%
Us47%
Market51%

We make Stjørdals-Blink a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Trygg/Lade v Stjørdals-Blink1.53 – 1.91
Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 2 this season · since 5 SeptW0 D1 L5 · W3 D0 L3
Table places · points 10 v 3314 v 8
The market · Stjørdals-Blink win51% · ours 47%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 11 OCT 04:0417 OCT 12:21
Our probability · Stjørdals-Blink win The market, margin stripped

Published at 49%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Trygg/Lade win32%26%+6
Draw21%23%−2
Stjørdals-Blink win47%51%−4
Over 2.5 goals66%70%−4
Both teams to score65%69%−4
Over 1.5 goals85%85%0
Over 3.5 goals45%50%−5
Trygg/Lade or draw53%49%+4
Trygg/Lade clean sheet15%––
Stjørdals-Blink clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.8%
0123450 3.0 6.8 5.9 3.8 1 5.6 8.8 8.7 5.5 2.7 2 3.8 7.0 6.5 4.2 2.0 3 3.6 3.4 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Trygg/Lade down, Stjørdals-Blink across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.52 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsSTJ 2–1 TRY · TRY 2–3 STJ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 2 this season · since 5 Sept

TRYGG/LADE

LLLLLD2–3 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 3–3

STJØRDALS-BLINK

LLWWWL1–3 · 0–5 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 0–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Eidsvold23+3554
2Kjelsås23+2150
3Levanger23+2646
4Hønefoss23+2346
5Grorud23+2246
6Tromsdalen Uil23+235
7Lørenskog23−434
8Stjørdals-Blink23−133
9Junkeren23−731
10Rana23−330
11Skeid23−1920
12Follo23−2314
13Ull/Kisa23−4413
14Trygg/Lade23−2810

The competition's standings before kick-off.