Tromsdalen Uil v Eidsvold prediction · 2. Division

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04

Tromsdalen Uil 2–3 Eidsvold TROMSDALEN UIL WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tromsdalen Uil win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.632

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tromsdalen Uil are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tromsdalen Uil 42%, draw 21%, Eidsvold 36%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Tromsdalen Uil v EidsvoldBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Tromsdalen Uil win42%

Draw21%

Eidsvold win36%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 24

VenueTUIL arena

Line-ups

Tromsdalen Uil

Eidsvold

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tromsdalen Uil

Eidsvold

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · 2. Division - Group 2

Last match: 10 Oct · 2. Division - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Tromsdalen Uil

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Thomas

4 S. Laugsand

5 T. Hafstad

6 J. Elvebu

8 E. Skogvoll

16 D. Hafstad

18 O. H. Jacobsen

19 I. Adolfsen

20 I. K. Selnes

22 A. Eliassen

32 P. Johansen

Coach · Alexander Samuelsen

Substitutes

3 · L. Engas

7 · K. Swaleh

9 · S. Halvorsen

10 · E. Ness

11 · M. Badsvik

12 · T. Kristiansen

14 · M. Lysakerrud

17 · B. Dyrkoren

31 · O. Kristoffersen

Eidsvold

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Kjellevold

3 C. Notoane

4 H. Thorkildsen

7 E. Ruud

8 O. Stenseth

16 L. Kolstad

10 R. Johnsen

11 B. Notoane

18 T. L. Fredriksen

24 E. Mulaj

26 F. F. Da Silva

Coach · –

Substitutes

6 · K. Hakenstad

12 · M. Rrahmani

14 · K. Singh

17 · S. Stenseth

23 · E. Oy

28 · B. Naustdal

30 · J. Bolso

Our number · tromsdalen uil winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Tromsdalen Uil a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tromsdalen Uil v Eidsvold~~1.75 – 1.60

~~Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 2 this season · since 5 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 35 v 54~~7 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tromsdalen Uil win	42%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Eidsvold win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Tromsdalen Uil or draw	64%	–	–
Tromsdalen Uil clean sheet	21%	–	–
Eidsvold clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.2 6.3 4.6 2.5 1 6.8 9.2 7.6 4.1 2 5.4 8.3 6.6 3.5 3 3.2 4.9 3.9 2.1 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tromsdalen Uil down, Eidsvold across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,076 2. Division - Group 2 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Division - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.5% of games this season, across 166 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 2.89 goals a meeting; 6 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tromsdalen Uil at home: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Eidsvold away: 2.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.75 goals for Tromsdalen Uil, 1.60 for Eidsvold. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.89

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 9

~~Both scored~~4 of 9

~~Last meetings~~EID 2–1 TRO · EID 0–1 TRO · TRO 4–2 EID · EID 0–1 TRO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 2 this season · since 5 Sept

TROMSDALEN UIL

WLWLWW3–1 · 0–2 · 6–0 · 1–2 · 4–2 · 1–0

EIDSVOLD

WWWWLW3–1 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 4–1 · 1–2 · 2–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eidsvold	23	+35	54
2	Kjelsås	24	+22	53
3	Levanger	24	+28	49
4	Hønefoss	23	+23	46
5	Grorud	24	+20	46
6	Stjørdals-Blink	24	+1	36
7	Tromsdalen Uil	23	+2	35
8	Lørenskog	24	−5	34
9	Junkeren	23	−7	31
10	Rana	24	−5	30
11	Skeid	24	−15	23
12	Follo	24	−21	17
13	Ull/Kisa	24	−48	13
14	Trygg/Lade	24	−30	10