Stjørdals-Blink v Tromsdalen Uil prediction · 2. Division

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 14:34

Stjørdals-Blink 0–1 Tromsdalen Uil STJØRDALS-BLINK WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Stjørdals-Blink win~~45%

~~The market said~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.677

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.646

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 20 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Stjørdals-Blink win at 45%.
1′KICK-OFF Stjørdals-Blink v Tromsdalen Uil
3′Much as we predicted: Stjørdals-Blink was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–23–33
4′Much as we predicted: Stjørdals-Blink was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–23–33
17′🟨 YELLOW · 16' Tromsdalen Uil
42′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Stjørdals-Blink
45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Stjørdals-Blink
45′HALF-TIME Stjørdals-Blink 0–0 Tromsdalen Uil
46′SECOND HALF Stjørdals-Blink 0–0 Tromsdalen Uil
58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Tromsdalen Uil
62′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Tromsdalen Uil · On: A. Eliassen · Off: I. Adolfsen
63′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Tromsdalen Uil · On: A. Eliassen · Off: I. Adolfsen
68′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Stjørdals-Blink · On: P. Einarson · Off: G. Lewis
68′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Stjørdals-Blink · On: L. Ulloa Niinivirta · Off: V. Kvande
80′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Tromsdalen Uil · On: S. Halvorsen · Off: J. Elvebu
80′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Stjørdals-Blink · On: E. Sandrod · Off: A. Bartel
84′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Tromsdalen Uil · On: M. Badsvik · Off: K. Swaleh
85′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Tromsdalen Uil · On: E. Ness · Off: E. Skogvoll
85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Stjørdals-Blink · On: M. Weidel · Off: B. Feldt
85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Stjørdals-Blink · On: E. Forren · Off: E. S. Myrvagnes
86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Stjørdals-Blink 0–1 Tromsdalen Uil
90′🟨 YELLOW · 91' Tromsdalen Uil
FTFULL TIME Stjørdals-Blink 0–1 Tromsdalen Uil
FTStjørdals-Blink 0–1 Tromsdalen Uil · Stjørdals-Blink win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Stjørdals-Blink win45%

Draw21%

Tromsdalen Uil win34%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:00

VenueTMT Stadion Sandskogan

Line-ups

Stjørdals-Blink

Tromsdalen Uil

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Stjørdals-Blink

Tromsdalen Uil

8Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Stjørdals-Blink	22	0	33
8	Tromsdalen Uil	22	+1	32

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Stjørdals-Blink

Formation not confirmed

1 E. Meidal

3 T. Pedersen

4 J. Sonstebo

6 S. Stuen

7 E. S. Myrvagnes

10 B. Feldt

11 V. Kvande

17 M. V. Fagerhaug

22 A. Kvalvik

25 G. Lewis

27 A. Bartel

Coach · –

Substitutes

8 · L. Ulloa Niinivirta

12 · L. Hilstad

18 · T. Herfindal

19 · D. Torp-Helland

20 · H. S. Jorgensen

21 · E. Sandrod

23 · P. Einarson

28 · M. Weidel

29 · E. Forren

Tromsdalen Uil

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Thomas

4 S. Laugsand

5 T. Hafstad

6 J. Elvebu

7 K. Swaleh

8 E. Skogvoll

16 D. Hafstad

18 O. H. Jacobsen

19 I. Adolfsen

20 I. K. Selnes

32 P. Johansen

Coach · Alexander Samuelsen

Substitutes

9 · S. Halvorsen

10 · E. Ness

11 · M. Badsvik

14 · M. Lysakerrud

22 · A. Eliassen

92 · M. Tollefsen

Our number · stjørdals-blink winPublished 11 Oct 11:44

45% The market41%

Us45%

~~Market~~41%

We make Stjørdals-Blink a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.6.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · stjørdals-blink win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Stjørdals-Blink win	45%	41%	+4
Draw	21%	24%	−3
Tromsdalen Uil win	34%	35%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	67%	69%	−2
Both teams to score	66%	69%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	85%	86%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	46%	49%	−3
Stjørdals-Blink or draw	66%	65%	+1
Stjørdals-Blink clean sheet	21%	–	–
Tromsdalen Uil clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.6%

0123450 2.7 5.7 4.0 2.2 1 6.5 8.6 7.3 3.9 2 5.4 8.4 6.7 3.6 3 3.4 5.3 4.2 2.3 4 2.5 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Stjørdals-Blink down, Tromsdalen Uil across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,066 2. Division - Group 2 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

2. Division - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.5% of games this season, across 156 played.

Head to head

7 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 5 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Stjørdals-Blink at home: 2.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Tromsdalen Uil away: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.88 goals for Stjørdals-Blink, 1.61 for Tromsdalen Uil. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 7

~~Both scored~~7 of 7

~~Last meetings~~TRO 2–4 STJ · TRO 3–1 STJ · STJ 1–1 TRO · TRO 4–1 STJ

Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 2

STJØRDALS-BLINK

DLLWWW2–2 · 1–3 · 0–5 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 1–0

TROMSDALEN UIL

LWLWLW0–1 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 6–0 · 1–2 · 4–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eidsvold	23	+35	54
2	Kjelsås	22	+19	47
3	Levanger	22	+26	45
4	Hønefoss	22	+23	45
5	Grorud	22	+20	43
6	Stjørdals-Blink	22	0	33
7	Lørenskog	22	−4	33
8	Tromsdalen Uil	22	+1	32
9	Junkeren	22	−5	31
10	Rana	22	−1	30
11	Skeid	23	−19	20
12	Follo	23	−23	14
13	Ull/Kisa	23	−44	13
14	Trygg/Lade	22	−28	9