Rana v Tromsdalen Uil prediction · 2. Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

RanaDrawTromsdalen Uil

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Tromsdalen Uil 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Tromsdalen Uil just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Rana 39%, draw 22%, Tromsdalen Uil 40%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Rana v Tromsdalen UilBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Rana win39%

Draw22%

Tromsdalen Uil win40%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 25

VenueSagbakken Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rana

Tromsdalen Uil

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 2. Division - Group 2

Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Division - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Tromsdalen Uil	24	+1	35
10	Rana	24	−5	30

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tromsdalen uil winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Tromsdalen Uil a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rana v Tromsdalen Uil~~1.64 – 1.67

~~Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 2 this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 30 v 35~~10 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rana win	39%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Tromsdalen Uil win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Rana or draw	60%	–	–
Rana clean sheet	19%	–	–
Tromsdalen Uil clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 3.4 6.8 5.1 2.9 1 6.7 9.4 8.1 4.5 2 5.0 8.0 6.6 3.7 3 2.7 4.4 3.6 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rana down, Tromsdalen Uil across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,081 2. Division - Group 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Division - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.8% of games this season, across 171 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rana at home: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Tromsdalen Uil away: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.64 goals for Rana, 1.67 for Tromsdalen Uil. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~TRO 2–1 RAN · TRO 3–2 RAN · RAN 0–1 TRO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 2 this season · since 13 Sept

RANA

LLWWLL0–1 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 1–3

TROMSDALEN UIL

LWLWWL0–2 · 6–0 · 1–2 · 4–2 · 1–0 · 2–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eidsvold	25	+39	60
2	Kjelsås	24	+22	53
3	Levanger	24	+28	49
4	Hønefoss	25	+21	49
5	Grorud	24	+20	46
6	Lørenskog	25	−1	37
7	Stjørdals-Blink	24	+1	36
8	Tromsdalen Uil	24	+1	35
9	Junkeren	24	−8	31
10	Rana	24	−5	30
11	Skeid	25	−17	23
12	Follo	25	−19	20
13	Ull/Kisa	25	−52	13
14	Trygg/Lade	24	−30	10