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Lørenskog v Kjelsås
Lørenskog
Kjelsås2. Division - Group 2 · SAT 17 OCT · Rolvsrud stadion
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Kjelsås win at 47%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Kjelsås 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 32–21–47
- 1′KICK-OFF Lørenskog v Kjelsås
- 8′Kjelsås score on 7′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 14–17–68
- 8′We said Kjelsås at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 0–1 · 14–17–68
- 8′⚽ GOAL · 7' Lørenskog 0–1 Kjelsås
- 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Kjelsås win: 47% at kick-off, 68% now
- 27′We said Kjelsås at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 12–18–70
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 0–1 · 12–19–70
- 45′HALF-TIME Lørenskog 0–1 Kjelsås
- 46′SECOND HALF Lørenskog 0–1 Kjelsås
- 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Lørenskog
- 58′We said Kjelsås at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–19–75
- 60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Kjelsås
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Kjelsås · On: M. Solheim · Off: T. Rekdal
- 64′Lørenskog find the net on 64′. 1–1. 1–1 · 23–46–31
- 64′We said Kjelsås at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 23–46–31
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Lørenskog 1–1 Kjelsås
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Kjelsås win: 47% at kick-off, 31% now
- 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Kjelsås win 31%)
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Kjelsås · On: E. Willumsen · Off: A. Abbas
- 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Lørenskog
- 67′We said Kjelsås at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 22–49–29
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Kjelsås win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
- 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Lørenskog
- 73′We said Kjelsås at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 19–57–24
- 74′A goal for Kjelsås on 74′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 2–16–82
- 74′We said Kjelsås at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 1–2 · 2–16–82
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Lørenskog 1–2 Kjelsås
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Kjelsås win: 47% at kick-off, 82% now
- 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Kjelsås win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 16%)
- 76′Kjelsås score on 76′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 0–2–98
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Lørenskog · On: M. P. Bal Singh · Off: S. Nilsen-Modebe
- 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Lørenskog 1–3 Kjelsås
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Kjelsås win: 47% at kick-off, 98% now
- 77′We said Kjelsås at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 1–3 · 0–2–98
- 77′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–2–98
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Lørenskog · On: B. Hylen · Off: S. Werni
- 79′Lørenskog find the net on 78′. 2–3. 2–3 · 1–13–86
- 79′We said Kjelsås at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 2–3 · 1–13–86
- 79′5 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 1–13–86
- 79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Lørenskog 2–3 Kjelsås
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Kjelsås win: 47% at kick-off, 86% now
- 83′We said Kjelsås at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–3 · 1–9–90
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Lørenskog · On: D. Brandal · Off: S. Richardsen
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Lørenskog · On: T. Etholm · Off: V. Holsaether
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Kjelsås · On: J. Hanstad · Off: O. Midtskogen
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Kjelsås · On: A. Mahammed · Off: J. Holter
- 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Lørenskog
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Lørenskog · On: B. Kadri · Off: M. Kuci
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Kjelsås win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
- 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Lørenskog
- FTFULL TIME Lørenskog 2–3 Kjelsås
- FTLørenskog 2–3 Kjelsås · Kjelsås win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassKjelsås are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Lørenskog 32%, draw 21%, Kjelsås 47%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 67%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Lørenskog win32%
Kjelsås win47%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 24
VenueRolvsrud stadion
Match timeline
All events
LørenskogMIN
KjelsåsEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Lørenskog
Kjelsås
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Lørenskog
Kjelsås
Last match: 11 Oct · 2. Division - Group 2
Last match: 11 Oct · 2. Division - Group 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Lørenskog
Formation not confirmed
2 H. S. Navarsete
5 E. Farstad
7 S. Werni
10 S. Nilsen-Modebe
14 M. Kuci
16 S. Richardsen
19 C. Fjeld
21 V. Holsaether
22 O. Drevland
23 K. Serafin
24 D. Zeneli
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · K. Christensen
3 · B. Kadri
8 · L. Folstad
9 · D. Brandal
11 · T. Etholm
15 · M. Viseth
20 · M. P. Bal Singh
25 · H. Hagen
28 · B. Hylen
Kjelsås
Formation not confirmed
1 J. Wold
3 H. Meinseth
4 H. Vassdal
5 M. Rusten
7 T. Rekdal
9 P. Askengren
10 A. Abbas
11 O. Midtskogen
16 C. Petros
17 S. Olafsen
20 J. Holter
Coach · Eivind Kampen
Substitutes
6 · K. Lamin
12 · J. Knutsson
13 · E. Willumsen
14 · A. Vukicevic
19 · A. Mahammed
21 · M. Solheim
24 · E. Vestby
25 · J. Hanstad
27 · S. Graesdahl
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Lørenskog
Formation not confirmed
2 H. S. Navarsete
5 E. Farstad
7 S. Werni
10 S. Nilsen-Modebe
14 M. Kuci
16 S. Richardsen
19 C. Fjeld
21 V. Holsaether
22 O. Drevland
23 K. Serafin
24 D. Zeneli
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · K. Christensen
3 · B. Kadri
8 · L. Folstad
9 · D. Brandal
11 · T. Etholm
15 · M. Viseth
20 · M. P. Bal Singh
25 · H. Hagen
28 · B. Hylen
Kjelsås
Formation not confirmed
1 J. Wold
3 H. Meinseth
4 H. Vassdal
5 M. Rusten
7 T. Rekdal
9 P. Askengren
10 A. Abbas
11 O. Midtskogen
16 C. Petros
17 S. Olafsen
20 J. Holter
Coach · Eivind Kampen
Substitutes
6 · K. Lamin
12 · J. Knutsson
13 · E. Willumsen
14 · A. Vukicevic
19 · A. Mahammed
21 · M. Solheim
24 · E. Vestby
25 · J. Hanstad
27 · S. Graesdahl
We make Kjelsås a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 19 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–2.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 46%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lørenskog win | 32% | 15% | +17 |
| Draw | 21% | 19% | +2 |
| Kjelsås win | 47% | 66% | −19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 67% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 67% | 59% | +8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 84% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% | 47% | 0 |
| Lørenskog or draw | 53% | 34% | +19 |
| Lørenskog clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
| Kjelsås clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 2 this season · since 5 Sept
LØRENSKOG
KJELSÅS
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eidsvold | 23 | +35 | 54 |
| 2 | Kjelsås | 23 | +21 | 50 |
| 3 | Levanger | 23 | +26 | 46 |
| 4 | Hønefoss | 23 | +23 | 46 |
| 5 | Grorud | 23 | +22 | 46 |
| 6 | Tromsdalen Uil | 23 | +2 | 35 |
| 7 | Lørenskog | 23 | −4 | 34 |
| 8 | Stjørdals-Blink | 23 | −1 | 33 |
| 9 | Junkeren | 23 | −7 | 31 |
| 10 | Rana | 23 | −3 | 30 |
| 11 | Skeid | 23 | −19 | 20 |
| 12 | Follo | 23 | −23 | 14 |
| 13 | Ull/Kisa | 23 | −44 | 13 |
| 14 | Trygg/Lade | 23 | −28 | 10 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Eidsvold
Levanger
Hønefoss
Grorud
Tromsdalen Uil
Stjørdals-Blink
Junkeren
Rana
Skeid
Follo
Ull/Kisa
Trygg/Lade