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Lørenskog v Kjelsås

Lørenskog
2–3Full time
Kjelsås

2. Division - Group 2 · SAT 17 OCT · Rolvsrud stadion

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35
Lørenskog 2–3 Kjelsås KJELSÅS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Kjelsås win47%
The market said66%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.420
The market’s Brier score0.174

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 33 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kjelsås win at 47%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Kjelsås 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 32–21–47
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Lørenskog v Kjelsås
  4. 8′Kjelsås score on 7′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 14–17–68
  5. 8′We said Kjelsås at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 0–1 · 14–17–68
  6. 8′⚽ GOAL · 7' Lørenskog 0–1 Kjelsås
  7. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Kjelsås win: 47% at kick-off, 68% now
  8. 27′We said Kjelsås at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 12–18–70
  9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 0–1 · 12–19–70
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Lørenskog 0–1 Kjelsås
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Lørenskog 0–1 Kjelsås
  12. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Lørenskog
  13. 58′We said Kjelsås at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–19–75
  14. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Kjelsås
  15. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Kjelsås · On: M. Solheim · Off: T. Rekdal
  16. 64′Lørenskog find the net on 64′. 1–1. 1–1 · 23–46–31
  17. 64′We said Kjelsås at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 23–46–31
  18. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Lørenskog 1–1 Kjelsås
  19. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Kjelsås win: 47% at kick-off, 31% now
  20. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Kjelsås win 31%)
  21. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Kjelsås · On: E. Willumsen · Off: A. Abbas
  22. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Lørenskog
  23. 67′We said Kjelsås at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 22–49–29
  24. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Kjelsås win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
  25. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Lørenskog
  26. 73′We said Kjelsås at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 19–57–24
  27. 74′A goal for Kjelsås on 74′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 2–16–82
  28. 74′We said Kjelsås at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 1–2 · 2–16–82
  29. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Lørenskog 1–2 Kjelsås
  30. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Kjelsås win: 47% at kick-off, 82% now
  31. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Kjelsås win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 16%)
  32. 76′Kjelsås score on 76′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 0–2–98
  33. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Lørenskog · On: M. P. Bal Singh · Off: S. Nilsen-Modebe
  34. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Lørenskog 1–3 Kjelsås
  35. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Kjelsås win: 47% at kick-off, 98% now
  36. 77′We said Kjelsås at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 1–3 · 0–2–98
  37. 77′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–2–98
  38. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Lørenskog · On: B. Hylen · Off: S. Werni
  39. 79′Lørenskog find the net on 78′. 2–3. 2–3 · 1–13–86
  40. 79′We said Kjelsås at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 2–3 · 1–13–86
  41. 79′5 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 1–13–86
  42. 79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Lørenskog 2–3 Kjelsås
  43. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Kjelsås win: 47% at kick-off, 86% now
  44. 83′We said Kjelsås at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–3 · 1–9–90
  45. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Lørenskog · On: D. Brandal · Off: S. Richardsen
  46. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Lørenskog · On: T. Etholm · Off: V. Holsaether
  47. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Kjelsås · On: J. Hanstad · Off: O. Midtskogen
  48. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Kjelsås · On: A. Mahammed · Off: J. Holter
  49. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Lørenskog
  50. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Lørenskog · On: B. Kadri · Off: M. Kuci
  51. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Kjelsås win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
  52. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Lørenskog
  53. FTFULL TIME Lørenskog 2–3 Kjelsås
  54. FTLørenskog 2–3 Kjelsås · Kjelsås win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kjelsås are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lørenskog 32%, draw 21%, Kjelsås 47%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Lørenskog v KjelsåsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Lørenskog win32%
Draw21%
Kjelsås win47%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 24

VenueRolvsrud stadion

Line-ups

Lørenskog

Kjelsås

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lørenskog

Kjelsås

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · 2. Division - Group 2

Last match: 11 Oct · 2. Division - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Kjelsås23+2150
7Lørenskog23−434

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Lørenskog

Formation not confirmed

2 H. S. Navarsete

5 E. Farstad

7 S. Werni

10 S. Nilsen-Modebe

14 M. Kuci

16 S. Richardsen

19 C. Fjeld

21 V. Holsaether

22 O. Drevland

23 K. Serafin

24 D. Zeneli

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · K. Christensen

3 · B. Kadri

8 · L. Folstad

9 · D. Brandal

11 · T. Etholm

15 · M. Viseth

20 · M. P. Bal Singh

25 · H. Hagen

28 · B. Hylen

Kjelsås

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Wold

3 H. Meinseth

4 H. Vassdal

5 M. Rusten

7 T. Rekdal

9 P. Askengren

10 A. Abbas

11 O. Midtskogen

16 C. Petros

17 S. Olafsen

20 J. Holter

Coach · Eivind Kampen

Substitutes

6 · K. Lamin

12 · J. Knutsson

13 · E. Willumsen

14 · A. Vukicevic

19 · A. Mahammed

21 · M. Solheim

24 · E. Vestby

25 · J. Hanstad

27 · S. Graesdahl

Our number · kjelsås winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:10 · locked at kick-off
47% The market66%
Us47%
Market66%

We make Kjelsås a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 19 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–2.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Lørenskog v Kjelsås1.57 – 1.97
Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 2 this season · since 5 SeptW2 D2 L2 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 34 v 507 v 2
The market · Kjelsås win66% · ours 47%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60%65%70% 11 OCT 04:0417 OCT 12:21
Our probability · Kjelsås win The market, margin stripped

Published at 46%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Lørenskog win32%15%+17
Draw21%19%+2
Kjelsås win47%66%−19
Over 2.5 goals68%67%+1
Both teams to score67%59%+8
Over 1.5 goals86%84%+2
Over 3.5 goals47%47%0
Lørenskog or draw53%34%+19
Lørenskog clean sheet15%––
Kjelsås clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.5%
0123450 2.6 6.3 5.6 3.7 1 5.2 8.4 8.5 5.6 2.8 2 3.7 6.9 6.6 4.3 2.2 3 3.7 3.5 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Lørenskog down, Kjelsås across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsKJE 4–1 LOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 2 this season · since 5 Sept

LØRENSKOG

DWLWLD1–1 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 4–1 · 0–4 · 3–3

KJELSÅS

LWLDWW1–4 · 5–0 · 2–3 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 2–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Eidsvold23+3554
2Kjelsås23+2150
3Levanger23+2646
4Hønefoss23+2346
5Grorud23+2246
6Tromsdalen Uil23+235
7Lørenskog23−434
8Stjørdals-Blink23−133
9Junkeren23−731
10Rana23−330
11Skeid23−1920
12Follo23−2314
13Ull/Kisa23−4413
14Trygg/Lade23−2810

The competition's standings before kick-off.