Kjelsås v Trygg/Lade prediction · 2. Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

KjelsåsDrawTrygg/Lade

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Kjelsås 79%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kjelsås are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kjelsås 79%, draw 12%, Trygg/Lade 10%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Kjelsås v Trygg/LadeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Kjelsås win79%

Draw12%

Trygg/Lade win10%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 25

VenueGrefsen Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kjelsås

Trygg/Lade

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · 2. Division - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Kjelsås	24	+22	53
14	Trygg/Lade	24	−30	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kjelsås winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

79% The market–

Us79%

We make Kjelsås a 79% chance to win. The model expects 3.3–1.1, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kjelsås v Trygg/Lade~~3.27 – 1.09

~~Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 2 this season · since 13 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 53 v 10~~2 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kjelsås win	79%	–	–
Draw	12%	–	–
Trygg/Lade win	10%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	80%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	62%	–	–
Kjelsås or draw	90%	–	–
Kjelsås clean sheet	34%	–	–
Trygg/Lade clean sheet	4%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 7.7%

0123450 1 4.8 4.5 2.6 2 7.0 7.4 4.0 3 7.3 7.7 4.2 4 5.9 6.2 3.4 5 3.9 4.1 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Kjelsås down, Trygg/Lade across0–5 goals a side shown (87.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,081 2. Division - Group 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Division - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.8% of games this season, across 171 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2022 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kjelsås at home: 2.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Trygg/Lade away: 1.50 scored, 3.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.27 goals for Kjelsås, 1.09 for Trygg/Lade. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~TRY 1–3 KJE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 2 this season · since 13 Sept

KJELSÅS

WLDWWW5–0 · 2–3 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 3–2

TRYGG/LADE

LLLLDL1–3 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 3–3 · 2–4

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eidsvold	25	+39	60
2	Kjelsås	24	+22	53
3	Levanger	24	+28	49
4	Hønefoss	25	+21	49
5	Grorud	24	+20	46
6	Lørenskog	25	−1	37
7	Stjørdals-Blink	24	+1	36
8	Tromsdalen Uil	24	+1	35
9	Junkeren	24	−8	31
10	Rana	24	−5	30
11	Skeid	25	−17	23
12	Follo	25	−19	20
13	Ull/Kisa	25	−52	13
14	Trygg/Lade	24	−30	10