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Hønefoss v Junkeren
Hønefoss
Junkeren2. Division - Group 2 · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Hønefoss win at 70%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Hønefoss 70% before kick-off, 70% now. 0–0 · 70–15–15
- 2′KICK-OFF Hønefoss v Junkeren
- 17′Hønefoss find the net on 17′. 1–0. 1–0 · 85–10–5
- 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Hønefoss 1–0 Junkeren
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Hønefoss win: 70% at kick-off, 85% now
- 18′We said Hønefoss at 70% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–10–5
- 21′We said Hønefoss at 70% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–0 · 84–10–5
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 4.0 we expected. 1–0 · 84–11–5
- 36′A goal for Junkeren on 35′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 60–24–16
- 36′⚽ GOAL · 35' Hønefoss 1–1 Junkeren
- 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Hønefoss win: 70% at kick-off, 60% now
- 39′H. Myrseth scores for Junkeren on 36′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 59–25–16
- 41′We said Hønefoss at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 58%. 1–1 · 58–26–16
- 45′HALF-TIME Hønefoss 1–1 Junkeren
- 46′SECOND HALF Hønefoss 1–1 Junkeren
- 49′We said Hønefoss at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 1–1 · 54–30–16
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Hønefoss win: 70% at kick-off, 50% now
- 57′We said Hønefoss at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–35–16
- 64′We said Hønefoss at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–41–15
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Hønefoss win: 70% at kick-off, 40% now
- 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Hønefoss win 40%)
- 69′We said Hønefoss at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–47–14
- 71′Hønefoss score on 69′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 87–12–2
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 69' Hønefoss 2–1 Junkeren
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Hønefoss win: 70% at kick-off, 87% now
- 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Hønefoss win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 12%)
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Junkeren · On: T. Kristiansen · Off: I. Unhjem
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Hønefoss · On: E. Overby · Off: E. Sawaneh
- 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Hønefoss
- 78′We said Hønefoss at 70% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Hønefoss win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Hønefoss · On: A. Nagirnyi · Off: A. F. Gurendal
- 82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Junkeren
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Hønefoss · On: P. Hokstad · Off: T. Naustdal
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Junkeren · On: I. Lekang · Off: S. Chooly
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Junkeren · On: J. R. Skottvoll · Off: E. Melstein
- 86′We said Hønefoss at 70% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Junkeren
- FTFULL TIME Hønefoss 2–1 Junkeren
- FTHønefoss 2–1 Junkeren · Hønefoss win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Hønefoss are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Hønefoss 70%, draw 15%, Junkeren 15%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 64%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Hønefoss win70%
Junkeren win15%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00
RoundMatchday 24
Match timeline
All events
HønefossMIN
JunkerenEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Hønefoss
Junkeren
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Hønefoss
Junkeren
Last match: 11 Oct · 2. Division - Group 2
Last match: 11 Oct · 2. Division - Group 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Hønefoss
Formation not confirmed
6 O. Nilsen
7 O. Wang
14 A. Randers
15 J. Oya
17 T. Naustdal
18 L. Kyvik
20 A. F. Gurendal
21 S. Nestaker
22 B. Pedersen
26 J. Byttingsvik
28 E. Sawaneh
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · M. Eggen
3 · L. Rydje
4 · S. Holte
11 · W. Pozo-Venta
19 · E. Overby
24 · A. Roine-Elsrud
25 · E. Lafton
30 · P. Hokstad
95 · A. Nagirnyi
Junkeren
Formation not confirmed
1 B. Hanssen
3 H. Myrseth
5 J. Lamark
6 I. Strandin
7 E. Melstein
10 S. Chooly
15 A. Hussein
18 I. Helbostad
27 K. R. Moyo
37 M. Antonsen
60 I. Unhjem
Coach · Thor Mikalsen
Substitutes
11 · I. Hammadou
17 · A. Jakobsen
21 · I. Lekang
23 · M. Andersen
30 · J. R. Skottvoll
92 · T. Kristiansen
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Hønefoss
Formation not confirmed
6 O. Nilsen
7 O. Wang
14 A. Randers
15 J. Oya
17 T. Naustdal
18 L. Kyvik
20 A. F. Gurendal
21 S. Nestaker
22 B. Pedersen
26 J. Byttingsvik
28 E. Sawaneh
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · M. Eggen
3 · L. Rydje
4 · S. Holte
11 · W. Pozo-Venta
19 · E. Overby
24 · A. Roine-Elsrud
25 · E. Lafton
30 · P. Hokstad
95 · A. Nagirnyi
Junkeren
Formation not confirmed
1 B. Hanssen
3 H. Myrseth
5 J. Lamark
6 I. Strandin
7 E. Melstein
10 S. Chooly
15 A. Hussein
18 I. Helbostad
27 K. R. Moyo
37 M. Antonsen
60 I. Unhjem
Coach · Thor Mikalsen
Substitutes
11 · I. Hammadou
17 · A. Jakobsen
21 · I. Lekang
23 · M. Andersen
30 · J. R. Skottvoll
92 · T. Kristiansen
We make Hønefoss a 70% chance to win. The market has them at 76%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.8–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 71%, 70% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 76% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hønefoss win | 70% | 76% | −6 |
| Draw | 15% | 15% | 0 |
| Junkeren win | 15% | 10% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 79% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 65% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 90% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55% | 62% | −7 |
| Hønefoss or draw | 85% | 90% | −5 |
| Hønefoss clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
| Junkeren clean sheet | 7% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 2 this season · since 6 Sept
HØNEFOSS
JUNKEREN
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eidsvold | 23 | +35 | 54 |
| 2 | Kjelsås | 24 | +22 | 53 |
| 3 | Levanger | 24 | +28 | 49 |
| 4 | Hønefoss | 23 | +23 | 46 |
| 5 | Grorud | 24 | +20 | 46 |
| 6 | Stjørdals-Blink | 24 | +1 | 36 |
| 7 | Tromsdalen Uil | 23 | +2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lørenskog | 24 | −5 | 34 |
| 9 | Junkeren | 23 | −7 | 31 |
| 10 | Rana | 24 | −5 | 30 |
| 11 | Skeid | 24 | −15 | 23 |
| 12 | Follo | 24 | −21 | 17 |
| 13 | Ull/Kisa | 24 | −48 | 13 |
| 14 | Trygg/Lade | 24 | −30 | 10 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Eidsvold
Kjelsås
Levanger
Grorud
Stjørdals-Blink
Tromsdalen Uil
Lørenskog
Rana
Skeid
Follo
Ull/Kisa
Trygg/Lade