Grorud v Follo

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Grorud win at 78%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Grorud was 78% before kick-off and our model makes it 77% now. 0–0 · 77–13–9
3. 1′KICK-OFF Grorud v Follo
4. 12′Grorud score on 11′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 90–7–3
5. 12′We published Grorud at 78%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–7–3
6. 12′⚽ GOAL · 11' Grorud 1–0 Follo
7. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Grorud win: 78% at kick-off, 90% now
8. 29′Follo find the net on 29′. 1–1. 1–1 · 69–21–10
9. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Grorud 1–1 Follo
10. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Grorud win: 78% at kick-off, 69% now
11. 31′Follo level it on 28′ through F. Lokaj. 1–1. 1–1 · 68–21–11
12. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Grorud win: 78% at kick-off, 68% now
13. 35′We said Grorud at 78%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 66%. 1–1 · 66–23–11
14. 40′We said Grorud at 78%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 64%. 1–1 · 64–25–11
15. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Follo
16. 41′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 1–1 · 64–26–11
17. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Follo
18. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Grorud
19. 43′A goal for Follo on 43′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 33–30–37
20. 43′We said Grorud at 78%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 1–2 · 33–30–37
21. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Grorud 1–2 Follo
22. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Grorud win: 78% at kick-off, 33% now
23. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Follo win is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Grorud win 32%)
24. 45′A. Tjaland scores for Follo on 42′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 31–30–39
25. 45′HALF-TIME Grorud 1–2 Follo
26. 46′SECOND HALF Grorud 1–2 Follo
27. 48′We said Grorud at 78%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–2 · 29–31–40
28. 48′Follo score on 48′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 11–18–71
29. 48′We said Grorud at 78%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 11%. 1–3 · 11–18–71
30. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Grorud · On: B. Brevik · Off: W. Bjeglerud
31. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Grorud 1–3 Follo
32. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Grorud win: 78% at kick-off, 11% now
33. 49′4 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 10–18–72
34. 50′47′: J. Jorde on the scoresheet for Follo, making it 1–3. 1–3 · 10–18–72
35. 52′We said Grorud at 78%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–3 · 9–17–74
36. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Grorud win: 78% at kick-off, 8% now
37. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Grorud
38. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Follo
39. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 56' E. Tjostheim · Follo
40. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Follo · On: H. Ludvigsen · Off: E. Tjostheim
41. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Follo · On: M. Fofana · Off: A. Tjaland
42. 63′We said Grorud at 78%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–3 · 4–12–83
43. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Grorud · On: T. Sosseh · Off: A. Tjomsland
44. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Follo · On: S. Martinsen-Wold · Off: Y. Ibrahim
45. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Follo · On: H. Diallo · Off: L. Folstad-Andersen
46. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Grorud
47. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Grorud · On: A. Alemseged · Off: M. Larsen
48. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Grorud · On: M. Jatta · Off: S. A. Marcello Silalahi
49. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Grorud · On: J. Koko · Off: M. Mahnin
50. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Follo · On: J. Granli · Off: J. Maturire
51. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Follo
52. 95′A red card for Grorud on 59′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–3 · 0–0–100
53. 95′🟥 RED CARD · 59' M. Sandrakumar · Grorud
54. FTFULL TIME Grorud 1–3 Follo
55. FTGrorud 1–3 Follo · Grorud win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.