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Eidsvold v Skeid

Eidsvold

2–1Full time

Skeid

2. Division - Group 2 · SAT 10 OCT · Myhrer Stadion

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38

Eidsvold 2–1 Skeid EIDSVOLD WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Eidsvold win~~71%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.130

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 22 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Eidsvold win at 71%.
1′KICK-OFF Eidsvold v Skeid
3′Little has changed for our model: Eidsvold 71% before kick-off, 71% now. 0–0 · 71–16–13
6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Eidsvold 1–0 Skeid
21′SUBSTITUTION · 20' Skeid · On: L. Svenningsen · Off: A. Akinyemi
23′L. Kolstad scores for Eidsvold on 6′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 86–10–4
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Eidsvold win: 71% at kick-off, 86% now
24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Eidsvold 1–1 Skeid
33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Eidsvold 2–1 Skeid
43′Eidsvold ahead on 33′ through B. Notoane. 2–1. 2–1 · 85–12–4
45′We said Eidsvold at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–12–4
45′SUBSTITUTION · 43' Skeid · On: A. M. Badiane · Off: F. Delaveris
45′HALF-TIME Eidsvold 2–1 Skeid
48′SECOND HALF Eidsvold 2–1 Skeid
65′The goal count is tracking the 3.9 we expected. 2–1 · 86–12–2
65′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Eidsvold · On: E. Oy · Off: L. Kolstad
75′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Skeid
82′⚽ GOAL · 6' Eidsvold 2–1 Skeid · L. Kolstad
82′SUBSTITUTION · 20' Skeid · On: L. Svenningsen · Off: A. Akinyemi
82′⚽ GOAL · 24' Eidsvold 2–1 Skeid · K. Ghaedamini
82′⚽ GOAL · 33' Eidsvold 2–1 Skeid · B. Notoane
82′SUBSTITUTION · 43' Skeid · On: A. M. Badiane · Off: F. Delaveris
82′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Eidsvold · On: E. Oy · Off: L. Kolstad
82′🟨 YELLOW · 74' A. M. Badiane · Skeid
82′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Skeid · On: J. Kvernstuen · Off: K. Odemarksbakken Corrected
83′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Skeid · On: D. Bakkane · Off: K. Bandeh Corrected
86′We said Eidsvold at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 2–1 · 96–4–0
86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Eidsvold win: 71% at kick-off, 96% now
FTFULL TIME Eidsvold 2–1 Skeid
FTEidsvold 2–1 Skeid · Eidsvold win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Eidsvold win71%

Draw15%

Skeid win15%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

Venue · Myhrer Stadion

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Eidsvold

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Kjellevold

3 C. Notoane

4 H. Thorkildsen

7 E. Ruud

8 O. Stenseth

11 B. Notoane

16 L. Kolstad

18 T. L. Fredriksen

24 E. Mulaj

26 F. F. Da Silva

5 R. Johnsen

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · M. Rrahmani

2 · S. Stokke

14 · K. Singh

19 · A. Bandeh

20 · H. W. Stigersand

22 · J. Bolso

23 · E. Oy

28 · B. Naustdal

Skeid

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Markdal

4 H. Altai

5 K. Ghaedamini

14 B. Ba

23 A. Akinyemi

3 S. Ekroll

6 A. Hadzic

9 K. Bandeh

77 F. Delaveris

15 M. Dubois

16 K. Odemarksbakken

Coach · Vilde Rislaa

Substitutes

24 · J. Abrahamsen

2 · L. Svenningsen

8 · F. Stensland

17 · J. Kvernstuen

18 · A. M. Badiane

19 · T. Myhre

25 · J. Berre

27 · N. Jakobsen

99 · D. Bakkane

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Eidsvold

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Kjellevold

3 C. Notoane

4 H. Thorkildsen

7 E. Ruud

8 O. Stenseth

11 B. Notoane

16 L. Kolstad

18 T. L. Fredriksen

24 E. Mulaj

26 F. F. Da Silva

5 R. Johnsen

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · M. Rrahmani

2 · S. Stokke

14 · K. Singh

19 · A. Bandeh

20 · H. W. Stigersand

22 · J. Bolso

23 · E. Oy

28 · B. Naustdal

Skeid

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Markdal

4 H. Altai

5 K. Ghaedamini

14 B. Ba

23 A. Akinyemi

3 S. Ekroll

6 A. Hadzic

9 K. Bandeh

77 F. Delaveris

15 M. Dubois

16 K. Odemarksbakken

Coach · Vilde Rislaa

Substitutes

24 · J. Abrahamsen

2 · L. Svenningsen

8 · F. Stensland

17 · J. Kvernstuen

18 · A. M. Badiane

19 · T. Myhre

25 · J. Berre

27 · N. Jakobsen

99 · D. Bakkane

Our number · eidsvold winPublished 10 Oct 13:12

71% The market–

Us71%

We make Eidsvold a 71% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eidsvold win	71%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Skeid win	15%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	73%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	53%	–	–
Eidsvold or draw	85%	–	–
Eidsvold clean sheet	33%	–	–
Skeid clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.5%

0123450 3.1 1 6.4 6.1 3.8 2 7.8 8.5 4.8 3 6.9 7.5 4.2 4 4.8 5.1 2.9 5 2.8 2.9

under 2% 5% 12%+Eidsvold down, Skeid across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,064 2. Division - Group 2 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

2. Division - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.1% of games this season, across 154 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 3.33 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eidsvold at home: 2.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Skeid away: 0.67 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.75 goals for Eidsvold, 1.12 for Skeid. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~SKE 1–2 EID · EID 0–0 SKE · SKE 6–1 EID

Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 2

EIDSVOLD

DWWWWL0–0 · 3–1 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 4–1 · 1–2

SKEID

DWLLLW1–1 · 4–1 · 0–1 · 0–6 · 1–4 · 4–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eidsvold	22	+34	51
2	Kjelsås	22	+19	47
3	Levanger	22	+26	45
4	Hønefoss	22	+23	45
5	Grorud	22	+20	43
6	Stjørdals-Blink	22	0	33
7	Lørenskog	22	−4	33
8	Tromsdalen Uil	22	+1	32
9	Junkeren	22	−5	31
10	Rana	22	−1	30
11	Skeid	22	−18	20
12	Follo	22	−21	14
13	Ull/Kisa	22	−46	10
14	Trygg/Lade	22	−28	9