Vidar v Brattvåg prediction · 2. Division

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 14:34

Vidar 1–3 Brattvåg BRATTVÅG WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Brattvåg win~~67%

~~The market said~~76%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.167

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.089

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Brattvåg win at 67%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Brattvåg 67% before kick-off, 67% now. 0–0 · 17–17–67
1′KICK-OFF Vidar v Brattvåg
2′Little has changed for our model: Brattvåg 67% before kick-off, 67% now. 0–0 · 17–17–67
12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Vidar 0–1 Brattvåg
17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Vidar 0–2 Brattvåg
18′Brattvåg ahead on 17′ through J. Kvarven. 0–2. 0–2 · 2–5–94
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Brattvåg win: 67% at kick-off, 94% now
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Brattvåg win: 67% at kick-off, 67% now
19′Brattvåg ahead on 17′ through J. Kvarven. 0–2. 0–2 · 2–5–94
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Brattvåg win: 67% at kick-off, 67% now
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Brattvåg win: 67% at kick-off, 94% now
26′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Vidar
34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Vidar 0–3 Brattvåg
38′A goal for Brattvåg on 34′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–99
39′S. Solli scores for Brattvåg on 34′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–99
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Brattvåg win: 67% at kick-off, 99% now
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Brattvåg win: 67% at kick-off, 94% now
45′HALF-TIME Vidar 0–3 Brattvåg
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Brattvåg win: 67% at kick-off, 99% now
46′SECOND HALF Vidar 0–3 Brattvåg
48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Brattvåg · On: O. Henriksrud · Off: J. Kvarven
49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Brattvåg · On: O. Henriksrud · Off: J. Kvarven
60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Vidar
62′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Brattvåg · On: J. Norvik · Off: R. Myers
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Vidar 1–3 Brattvåg
71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Vidar · On: A. Sebulonsen · Off: C. Vaalands
71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Vidar · On: A. Nilsen · Off: F. Larsen
75′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Brattvåg · On: A. Ugelvik · Off: A. Tveiten
83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Vidar · On: M. Andersen · Off: S. H. Espevoll
FTFULL TIME Vidar 1–3 Brattvåg
FTVidar 1–3 Brattvåg · Brattvåg win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Vidar win17%

Draw16%

Brattvåg win67%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:00

Line-ups

Vidar

Brattvåg

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Vidar

Brattvåg

8Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Brattvåg	22	+19	45
14	Vidar	22	−40	10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Vidar

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Strand

4 S. Vik

5 C. Vaalands

7 S. Remme

9 S. Haughom

10 F. Larsen

16 W. S. Husebo

18 S. H. Espevoll

22 K. Ismaili

25 S. Henriksen

29 J. Fiksdal

Coach · –

Substitutes

6 · A. Sebulonsen

12 · K. Doble

14 · M. Andersen

17 · M. van der Veen

20 · E. Joakimsen

21 · A. Nilsen

23 · H. Steen

Brattvåg

Formation not confirmed

2 I. Hagen

3 J. Valland

7 A. Tveiten

8 J. Kvarven

9 R. Lovseth

12 J. Sundling

15 A. Myklebust

16 R. Myers

20 L. Neto

21 D. Bubahe

23 S. Solli

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · O. Hjelme Connor

5 · A. Ugelvik

11 · O. Henriksrud

17 · J. Norvik

19 · S. Tattum

Our number · brattvåg winPublished 11 Oct 12:12

67% The market76%

Us67%

~~Market~~76%

We make Brattvåg a 67% chance to win. The market has them at 76%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–2.8.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · brattvåg win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 76% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vidar win	17%	9%	+8
Draw	16%	15%	+2
Brattvåg win	67%	76%	−9
Over 2.5 goals	77%	76%	+1
Both teams to score	69%	61%	+8
Over 1.5 goals	91%	89%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	59%	58%	+1
Vidar or draw	33%	24%	+9
Vidar clean sheet	7%	–	–
Brattvåg clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.2%

0123450 4.6 6.2 5.7 3.9 2.21 2.3 6.1 8.2 7.4 5.2 2.92 4.1 5.5 5.0 3.5 3 2.5 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vidar down, Brattvåg across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,050 2. Division - Group 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

2. Division - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.8% of games this season, across 157 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Vidar at home: 1.67 scored, 3.00 conceded a game (last 6). Brattvåg away: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for Vidar, 2.78 for Brattvåg. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~BRA 3–0 VID

Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 1

VIDAR

DLLWLL2–2 · 0–3 · 1–4 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 1–4

BRATTVÅG

DWLWWW4–4 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 3–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	jerv	23	+26	53
2	Mjondalen	23	+16	47
3	Brattvåg	22	+19	45
4	Bjarg	22	+19	44
5	Sotra	23	+25	42
6	Notodden	22	+11	35
7	Kvik Halden	23	+4	34
8	Træff	22	−8	30
9	Arendal	23	−8	27
10	Pors Grenland	23	−4	26
11	Sandviken	22	−12	25
12	Lysekloster	22	−22	15
13	Eik-Tønsberg	22	−26	10
14	Vidar	22	−40	10