Træff v Sandviken prediction · 2. Division

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04

Træff 1–0 Sandviken TRÆFF WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Træff win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.392

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 15 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Træff win at 49%.
1′KICK-OFF Træff v Sandviken
2′Much as we predicted: Træff was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–21–30
4′Much as we predicted: Træff was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–22–29
43′SUBSTITUTION · 40' Træff · On: S. Heggstad · Off: H. Boe
45′HALF-TIME Træff 0–0 Sandviken
46′SECOND HALF Træff 0–0 Sandviken
54′SUBSTITUTION · 49' Sandviken · On: S. Huesa · Off: V. Hoynes
60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Træff
66′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Sandviken · On: S. Tune · Off: T. Lotsberg
66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Træff · On: D. Okanovic · Off: W. Phudithip
69′⚽ GOAL · 68' Træff 1–0 Sandviken
79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Sandviken · On: O. Hodne · Off: B. Mvuka
79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Sandviken · On: H. Flagtvedt · Off: M. Tislevoll
81′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Sandviken
86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Træff · On: S. Gussias · Off: R. Toven
90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Træff
FTFULL TIME Træff 1–0 Sandviken
FTTræff 1–0 Sandviken · Træff win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Træff win49%

Draw21%

Sandviken win30%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

VenueReknesbanen

Line-ups

Træff

Sandviken

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Træff

Sandviken

7Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Træff	22	−8	30
11	Sandviken	22	−12	25

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Træff

Formation not confirmed

5 I. Flones

6 V. Forren

10 R. Toven

12 P. Jensen

13 A. Bugaj

14 F. Kristoffersen

18 W. Phudithip

19 L. Juberg-Hovland

21 M. Mork

23 H. Boe

25 H. Opsahl

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · O. E. Knudson J.

2 · S. Heggstad

4 · J. Flataker

8 · S. Gussias

9 · D. Okanovic

16 · E. Silseth

20 · P. O. Tveraas

24 · H. Dyvik

27 · J. Boe

Sandviken

Formation not confirmed

1 I. Solberg

4 N. Marthinussen

5 M. Tislevoll

6 L. Kamanzi

7 L. Dalsto

9 V. Hoynes

11 B. Engen

14 A. Njos

15 J. Aasen

27 T. Lotsberg

67 B. Mvuka

Coach · –

Substitutes

8 · O. Hodne

10 · S. Tune

20 · H. Flagtvedt

22 · S. Huesa

36 · V. Almeland Stub

Our number · træff winPublished 11 Oct 13:43

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Træff a 49% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.6, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Træff win	49%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Sandviken win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	49%	–	–
Træff or draw	70%	–	–
Træff clean sheet	21%	–	–
Sandviken clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.6%

0123450 2.9 4.2 3.3 1 5.5 8.6 6.6 3.5 2 5.6 8.6 6.7 3.5 3 3.9 5.9 4.6 2.4 4 2.0 3.1 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Træff down, Sandviken across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,050 2. Division - Group 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

2. Division - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.8% of games this season, across 157 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 3.33 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Træff at home: 1.83 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Sandviken away: 2.33 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.07 goals for Træff, 1.57 for Sandviken. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~SAN 4–2 TRA · TRA 1–0 SAN · SAN 1–2 TRA

Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 1

TRÆFF

DWDLLL2–2 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 1–6 · 0–4 · 0–4

SANDVIKEN

DWLLWW4–4 · 2–0 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 1–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	jerv	23	+26	53
2	Mjondalen	23	+16	47
3	Brattvåg	22	+19	45
4	Bjarg	22	+19	44
5	Sotra	23	+25	42
6	Notodden	22	+11	35
7	Kvik Halden	23	+4	34
8	Træff	22	−8	30
9	Arendal	23	−8	27
10	Pors Grenland	23	−4	26
11	Sandviken	22	−12	25
12	Lysekloster	22	−22	15
13	Eik-Tønsberg	22	−26	10
14	Vidar	22	−40	10