Træff v Arendal prediction · 2. Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TræffDrawArendal

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Arendal 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Arendal just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Træff 38%, draw 23%, Arendal 40%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Træff v ArendalBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Træff win38%

Draw23%

Arendal win40%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 25

VenueReknesbanen

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Træff

Arendal

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Division - Group 1

Last match: 17 Oct · 2. Division - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Træff	24	−7	34
10	Arendal	24	−5	30

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · arendal winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Arendal a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Træff v Arendal~~1.69 – 1.75

~~Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 1 this season · since 13 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 34 v 30~~8 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Træff win	38%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Arendal win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Træff or draw	60%	–	–
Træff clean sheet	18%	–	–
Arendal clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.5%

0123450 3.5 5.6 5.0 2.9 1 5.4 9.5 8.1 4.7 2.1 2 4.6 7.9 6.8 4.0 3 2.6 4.4 3.8 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Træff down, Arendal across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,066 2. Division - Group 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Division - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.0% of games this season, across 173 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Træff at home: 1.67 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Arendal away: 1.00 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.69 goals for Træff, 1.75 for Arendal. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 5

~~Both scored~~3 of 5

~~Last meetings~~ARE 3–1 TRA · TRA 1–1 ARE · ARE 1–0 TRA · ARE 4–0 TRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 1 this season · since 13 Sept

TRÆFF

DLLLWD1–1 · 1–6 · 0–4 · 0–4 · 1–0 · 3–3

ARENDAL

WLLLDW2–0 · 1–4 · 2–3 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 3–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	jerv	24	+27	56
2	Brattvåg	25	+21	51
3	Bjarg	24	+25	50
4	Mjondalen	25	+15	50
5	Sotra	25	+27	45
6	Notodden	25	+4	35
7	Kvik Halden	25	−1	34
8	Træff	24	−7	34
9	Pors Grenland	25	−3	30
10	Arendal	24	−5	30
11	Sandviken	25	−15	26
12	Lysekloster	25	−18	22
13	Eik-Tønsberg	25	−28	13
14	Vidar	25	−42	13