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Sotra v Notodden
Sotra
Notodden2. Division - Group 1 · SAT 24 OCT · Straume Fotballhall
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Sotra win at 61%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Sotra 61% before kick-off, 60% now. 0–0 · 60–22–18
- 1′KICK-OFF Sotra v Notodden
- 6′Notodden score on 5′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 35–25–41
- 6′We said Sotra at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 0–1 · 35–25–41
- 6′⚽ GOAL · 5' Sotra 0–1 Notodden
- 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 6' Sotra win: 61% at kick-off, 35% now
- 6′THE CALL SWINGS · 6' Notodden win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Sotra win 59%)
- 7′We said Sotra at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–25–41
- 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Sotra win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
- 21′We said Sotra at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–26–45
- 24′Notodden find the net on 24′. 0–2. 0–2 · 11–17–72
- 24′We said Sotra at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 0–2 · 11–17–72
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Sotra 0–2 Notodden
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Sotra win: 61% at kick-off, 11% now
- 28′A goal for Sotra on 28′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 26–27–47
- 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Sotra 1–2 Notodden
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Sotra win: 61% at kick-off, 26% now
- 30′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 25–27–47
- 33′We said Sotra at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–2 · 24–28–48
- 33′Sotra score on 33′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 52–30–18
- 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Sotra 2–2 Notodden
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Sotra win: 61% at kick-off, 52% now
- 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Sotra win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Notodden win 48%)
- 34′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 51–30–18
- 35′Sotra find the net on 35′. 3–2. 3–2 · 82–14–5
- 35′We said Sotra at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 3–2 · 82–14–5
- 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Sotra 3–2 Notodden
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Sotra win: 61% at kick-off, 82% now
- 36′5 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 82–14–4
- 45′HALF-TIME Sotra 3–2 Notodden
- 46′SECOND HALF Sotra 3–2 Notodden
- 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sotra · On: M. D. Skar O. · Off: A. Johansen
- 62′We said Sotra at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 3–2 · 85–13–2
- 72′A goal for Sotra on 71′ — 4–2. 4–2 · 99–1–0
- 72′We said Sotra at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 4–2 · 99–1–0
- 72′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 99–1–0
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 71' Sotra 4–2 Notodden
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Sotra win: 61% at kick-off, 99% now
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Notodden · On: M. Ahmed · Off: A. Ryste
- 75′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Sotra
- 77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Notodden
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Notodden · On: T. Nordbo · Off: A. Pettersen
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Sotra · On: F. Falck · Off: T. Hildal
- 80′We said Sotra at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 84′Sotra score on 84′ to make it 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- 84′7 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Sotra 5–2 Notodden
- 94′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Sotra · On: M. Lunde · Off: E. Larsen
- 94′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Sotra · On: V. S. Ekren · Off: T. Haland
- 94′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Notodden · On: T. Foss-Erstad · Off: S. Larsen
- 95′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Notodden · On: S. Rasberg · Off: S. Jorgensen
- 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Sotra · On: J. Jonassen · Off: L. Kilen
- FTFULL TIME Sotra 5–2 Notodden
- FTSotra 5–2 Notodden · Sotra win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Sotra are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Sotra 61%, draw 21%, Notodden 18%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Sotra win61%
Notodden win18%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00
RoundMatchday 25
VenueStraume Fotballhall
Match timeline
All events
SotraMIN
NotoddenEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sotra
Notodden
Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Division - Group 1
Last match: 17 Oct · 2. Division - Group 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Sotra a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sotra win | 61% | 58% | +3 |
| Draw | 21% | 23% | −2 |
| Notodden win | 18% | 20% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 61% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 58% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 81% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 40% | −6 |
| Sotra or draw | 82% | 80% | +2 |
| Sotra clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Notodden clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 1 this season · since 12 Sept
SOTRA
NOTODDEN
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jerv | 24 | +27 | 56 |
| 2 | Bjarg | 24 | +25 | 50 |
| 3 | Mjondalen | 24 | +18 | 50 |
| 4 | Brattvåg | 24 | +18 | 48 |
| 5 | Sotra | 24 | +24 | 42 |
| 6 | Notodden | 24 | +7 | 35 |
| 7 | Kvik Halden | 24 | +2 | 34 |
| 8 | Træff | 24 | −7 | 34 |
| 9 | Arendal | 24 | −5 | 30 |
| 10 | Pors Grenland | 24 | −3 | 29 |
| 11 | Sandviken | 24 | −15 | 25 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 24 | −20 | 19 |
| 13 | Vidar | 24 | −40 | 13 |
| 14 | Eik-Tønsberg | 24 | −31 | 10 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
jerv
Bjarg
Mjondalen
Brattvåg
Kvik Halden
Træff
Arendal
Pors Grenland
Sandviken
Lysekloster
Vidar
Eik-Tønsberg