Pors Grenland v Sandviken prediction · 2. Division

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Pors Grenland 0–0 Sandviken PORS GRENLAND WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Pors Grenland win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.966

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Pors Grenland are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Pors Grenland 54%, draw 22%, Sandviken 25%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Pors Grenland v SandvikenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Pors Grenland win54%

Draw22%

Sandviken win25%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 25

VenuePors Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Pors Grenland

Sandviken

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 2. Division - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Pors Grenland	24	−3	29
11	Sandviken	24	−15	25

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · pors grenland winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Pors Grenland a 54% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Pors Grenland v Sandviken~~2.00 – 1.28

~~Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 1 this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 29 v 25~~10 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Pors Grenland win	54%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Sandviken win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Pors Grenland or draw	75%	–	–
Pors Grenland clean sheet	28%	–	–
Sandviken clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%

0123450 4.0 4.9 3.2 1 7.6 9.6 6.1 2.6 2 7.5 9.4 6.0 2.6 3 5.0 6.2 4.0 4 2.5 3.2 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Pors Grenland down, Sandviken across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,061 2. Division - Group 1 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Division - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.1% of games this season, across 168 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.33 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Pors Grenland at home: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Sandviken away: 2.17 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.00 goals for Pors Grenland, 1.28 for Sandviken. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~SAN 0–1 POR · SAN 5–2 POR · POR 1–1 SAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 1 this season · since 12 Sept

PORS GRENLAND

LWLWLW0–2 · 2–0 · 2–3 · 4–1 · 0–1 · 4–3

SANDVIKEN

LLWWLL0–3 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	jerv	24	+27	56
2	Bjarg	24	+25	50
3	Mjondalen	24	+18	50
4	Brattvåg	24	+18	48
5	Sotra	24	+24	42
6	Notodden	24	+7	35
7	Kvik Halden	24	+2	34
8	Træff	24	−7	34
9	Arendal	24	−5	30
10	Pors Grenland	24	−3	29
11	Sandviken	24	−15	25
12	Lysekloster	24	−20	19
13	Vidar	24	−40	13
14	Eik-Tønsberg	24	−31	10