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Model 1.2

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Kvik Halden v Vidar

Kvik Halden
0–2Full time
Vidar

2. Division - Group 1 · SAT 17 OCT · Halden Stadion

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28
Kvik Halden 0–2 Vidar KVIK HALDEN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Kvik Halden win69%
The market said69%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.255
The market’s Brier score1.257

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 24 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kvik Halden win at 69%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Kvik Halden 69% before kick-off, 69% now. 0–0 · 69–17–14
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Kvik Halden v Vidar
  4. 10′Vidar find the net on 10′. 0–1. 0–1 · 44–23–33
  5. 10′We said Kvik Halden at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–1 · 44–23–33
  6. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Kvik Halden 0–1 Vidar
  7. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 10' Kvik Halden win: 69% at kick-off, 44% now
  8. 19′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Vidar
  9. 20′We said Kvik Halden at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–1 · 39–25–36
  10. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Kvik Halden win: 69% at kick-off, 39% now
  11. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Vidar
  12. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 0–1 · 35–27–39
  13. 31′We said Kvik Halden at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–27–39
  14. 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Vidar win is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Kvik Halden win 34%)
  15. 40′We said Kvik Halden at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–28–43
  16. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Kvik Halden win: 69% at kick-off, 29% now
  17. 45′HALF-TIME Kvik Halden 0–1 Vidar
  18. 46′SECOND HALF Kvik Halden 0–1 Vidar
  19. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Kvik Halden · On: M. Grimstad · Off: O. Lundblad
  20. 48′We said Kvik Halden at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–29–47
  21. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Kvik Halden · On: O. V. Skjonberg-Nymo · Off: A. Mjekiqi
  22. 52′Vidar ahead on 10′ through S. Haughom. 0–1. 0–1 · 21–29–49
  23. 52′We said Kvik Halden at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–29–49
  24. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Kvik Halden
  25. 55′We said Kvik Halden at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–30–51
  26. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Kvik Halden win: 69% at kick-off, 19% now
  27. 63′We said Kvik Halden at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–29–57
  28. 70′We said Kvik Halden at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–27–64
  29. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Kvik Halden win: 69% at kick-off, 9% now
  30. 71′A goal for Vidar on 71′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–7–92
  31. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Kvik Halden 0–2 Vidar
  32. 72′We said Kvik Halden at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 0–2 · 1–6–92
  33. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Kvik Halden · On: A. Puck · Off: A. Samrat
  34. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Kvik Halden · On: N. Solberg · Off: D. Mehmeti
  35. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Kvik Halden · On: P. Degnes · Off: J. Johansen
  36. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Kvik Halden
  37. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Vidar · On: M. Andersen · Off: F. Larsen
  38. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Vidar · On: E. Joakimsen · Off: S. Haughom
  39. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Vidar · On: L. Brandser · Off: A. Nilsen
  40. FTFULL TIME Kvik Halden 0–2 Vidar
  41. FTKvik Halden 0–2 Vidar · Kvik Halden win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kvik Halden are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kvik Halden 69%, draw 17%, Vidar 14%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Kvik Halden v VidarBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Kvik Halden win69%
Draw17%
Vidar win14%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 24

VenueHalden Stadion

Line-ups

Kvik Halden

Vidar

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kvik Halden

Vidar

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · 2. Division - Group 1

Last match: 11 Oct · 2. Division - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Kvik Halden23+434
14Vidar23−4210

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Kvik Halden

Formation not confirmed

1 P. Bonogard

4 S. Gindeberg

5 F. Steinsnes-Asbo

8 M. Moberg

9 O. Lundblad

11 A. Mjekiqi

14 U. Seferi

15 A. Samrat

17 D. Mehmeti

18 J. Johansen

80 F. Kristensen

Coach · –

Substitutes

3 · M. Grimstad

6 · O. V. Skjonberg-Nymo

16 · P. Degnes

19 · A. Puck

21 · M. Lie

22 · N. Ryden-Strom

23 · M. Engebretsen

41 · N. Solberg

47 · K. Lorentzen

Vidar

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Strand

2 W. S. Husebo

6 A. Sebulonsen

7 S. Remme

8 J. Fiksdal

9 S. Haughom

10 F. Larsen

11 M. T. Haestad

17 M. van der Veen

21 A. Nilsen

22 K. Ismaili

Coach · –

Substitutes

14 · M. Andersen

20 · E. Joakimsen

26 · L. Brandser

30 · V. Gronnevik

Our number · kvik halden winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
69% The market69%
Us69%
Market69%

We make Kvik Halden a 69% chance to win. The market has them at 69%. We are level with the market. The model expects 2.5–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Kvik Halden v Vidar2.51 – 1.01
Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 1 this season · since 5 SeptW1 D0 L5 · W1 D0 L5
Table places · points 34 v 107 v 14
The market · Kvik Halden win69% · ours 69%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
65%70%75% 11 OCT 04:0417 OCT 13:28
Our probability · Kvik Halden win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 69% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Kvik Halden win69%69%0
Draw17%17%0
Vidar win14%13%+1
Over 2.5 goals68%73%−5
Both teams to score58%63%−5
Over 1.5 goals86%88%−2
Over 3.5 goals47%54%−7
Kvik Halden or draw86%87%−1
Kvik Halden clean sheet37%––
Vidar clean sheet9%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.2%
0123450 3.2 3.1 1 7.6 7.5 3.8 2 9.2 9.2 4.6 3 7.6 7.6 3.8 4 4.8 4.8 2.4 5 2.5 2.5
under 2% 5% 12%+Kvik Halden down, Vidar across0–5 goals a side shown (95.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021
Goals a meeting6.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsVID 2–4 KVI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 1 this season · since 5 Sept

KVIK HALDEN

LLLWLL0–1 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 4–0 · 2–3 · 0–3

VIDAR

LLWLLL0–3 · 1–4 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 1–4 · 1–3

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1jerv23+2653
2Brattvåg23+2148
3Bjarg23+2247
4Mjondalen23+1647
5Sotra23+2542
6Notodden23+835
7Kvik Halden23+434
8Træff23−733
9Arendal23−827
10Pors Grenland23−426
11Sandviken23−1325
12Lysekloster23−2018
13Eik-Tønsberg23−2810
14Vidar23−4210

The competition's standings before kick-off.