Add to your Home ScreenGet the appFree · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1

Home › Football › 2. Division - Group 1 › jerv v Arendal

Back
Norway flag

jerv v Arendal

jerv
2–2Full time
Arendal

2. Division - Group 1 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:31
jerv 2–2 Arendal JERV WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said jerv win60%
The market said70%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.042
The market’s Brier score1.172

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

jerv win60%
Draw20%
Arendal win20%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 18:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

jerv

Formation not confirmed

3 D. Hultqvist

7 P. Syvertsen

11 K. Badjie

15 M. Almen

16 D. Andersen

17 S. Nordbo

20 C. Svendby

22 E. Kolve

23 T. Agelin

40 S. Osestad

97 J. Furaha

Coach · Arne Sandsto

Substitutes

4 · J. Sanchez

5 · F. Lillehammer

9 · P. Simba

10 · M. Kvinge

14 · J. Stalesen

26 · P. Isaksen

36 · M. Seim-Monsen

42 · M. Syvertsen

99 · A. Skiftenes

Arendal

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Smedplass

4 H. Osnes

8 M. Trengereid

11 M. Victorio

14 K. Rodeblad Lowe

15 A. Curic

17 H. Suggelia

18 S. Nygaard

19 S. Lille-Lovo

22 M. Abdalhalim

27 J. Nundal

Coach · Vegard Hansen

Substitutes

2 · G. Gitau

7 · A. Skjold

9 · T. Dvergsdal

13 · S. Ostbo

20 · A. Osterud

21 · V. Wenaas

25 · A. E. Nilsen

28 · M. Altenborg

29 · M. Hurvenes

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

jerv

Formation not confirmed

3 D. Hultqvist

7 P. Syvertsen

11 K. Badjie

15 M. Almen

16 D. Andersen

17 S. Nordbo

20 C. Svendby

22 E. Kolve

23 T. Agelin

40 S. Osestad

97 J. Furaha

Coach · Arne Sandsto

Substitutes

4 · J. Sanchez

5 · F. Lillehammer

9 · P. Simba

10 · M. Kvinge

14 · J. Stalesen

26 · P. Isaksen

36 · M. Seim-Monsen

42 · M. Syvertsen

99 · A. Skiftenes

Arendal

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Smedplass

4 H. Osnes

8 M. Trengereid

11 M. Victorio

14 K. Rodeblad Lowe

15 A. Curic

17 H. Suggelia

18 S. Nygaard

19 S. Lille-Lovo

22 M. Abdalhalim

27 J. Nundal

Coach · Vegard Hansen

Substitutes

2 · G. Gitau

7 · A. Skjold

9 · T. Dvergsdal

13 · S. Ostbo

20 · A. Osterud

21 · V. Wenaas

25 · A. E. Nilsen

28 · M. Altenborg

29 · M. Hurvenes

Our number · jerv winPublished 10 Oct 20:07
60% The market70%
Us60%
Market70%

We make jerv a 60% chance to win. The market has them at 70%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65%70%75% 9 OCT 06:1910 OCT 03:57
Our probability · jerv win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 70% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
jerv win60%70%−10
Draw20%18%+2
Arendal win20%12%+8
Over 2.5 goals65%64%+1
Both teams to score61%55%+6
Over 1.5 goals85%82%+2
Over 3.5 goals44%44%−1
jerv or draw80%88%−8
jerv clean sheet31%––
Arendal clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.4%
0123450 3.7 4.1 2.4 1 7.6 8.9 5.2 2.1 2 8.2 9.4 5.5 2.2 3 6.0 6.9 4.0 4 3.4 3.8 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+jerv down, Arendal across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting3.60
Over 2.54 of 5
Both scored4 of 5
Last meetingsARE 1–2 JER · ARE 3–1 JER · JER 1–1 ARE · JER 3–0 ARE

Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 1

JERV

WWWWWD1–0 · 3–0 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 3–3

ARENDAL

WLWLLL2–1 · 0–4 · 2–0 · 1–4 · 2–3 · 0–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1jerv22+2652
2Brattvåg22+1945
3Bjarg22+1944
4Mjondalen22+1544
5Sotra22+2239
6Notodden22+1135
7Kvik Halden22+734
8Træff22−830
9Pors Grenland22−326
10Arendal22−826
11Sandviken22−1225
12Lysekloster22−2215
13Eik-Tønsberg22−2610
14Vidar22−4010

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.