Home › Football › 2. Division - Group 1 › Eik-Tønsberg v Kvik Halden

Eik-Tønsberg v Kvik Halden

Eik-Tønsberg

3–0Full time

Kvik Halden

2. Division - Group 1 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Eik-Tønsberg 3–0 Kvik Halden EIK-TØNSBERG WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Eik-Tønsberg win~~38%

~~The market said~~29%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.575

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.790

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 33 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Eik-Tønsberg win at 38%.
1′Much as we predicted: Eik-Tønsberg was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–25–37
1′KICK-OFF Eik-Tønsberg v Kvik Halden
5′Eik-Tønsberg score on 5′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 64–20–16
5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Eik-Tønsberg 1–0 Kvik Halden
5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Eik-Tønsberg win: 38% at kick-off, 64% now
6′We published Eik-Tønsberg at 38%. Our model now makes it 64%. 1–0 · 64–20–16
13′We published Eik-Tønsberg at 38%. Our model now makes it 65%. 1–0 · 65–20–15
19′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Kvik Halden
30′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 67–21–12
32′Eik-Tønsberg find the net on 32′. 2–0. 2–0 · 88–9–3
32′We published Eik-Tønsberg at 38%. Our model now makes it 88%. 2–0 · 88–9–3
32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Eik-Tønsberg 2–0 Kvik Halden
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Eik-Tønsberg win: 38% at kick-off, 88% now
33′GOAL DISALLOWED · 33' Eik-Tønsberg
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Eik-Tønsberg win: 38% at kick-off, 67% now
39′We published Eik-Tønsberg at 38%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–0 · 90–8–2
39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Eik-Tønsberg 2–0 Kvik Halden
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Eik-Tønsberg win: 38% at kick-off, 90% now
39′GOAL DISALLOWED · 39' Eik-Tønsberg
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Eik-Tønsberg win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
45′HALF-TIME Eik-Tønsberg 1–0 Kvik Halden
46′SECOND HALF Eik-Tønsberg 1–0 Kvik Halden
54′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Eik-Tønsberg
54′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Kvik Halden
61′We published Eik-Tønsberg at 38%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–5
61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Kvik Halden
62′Eik-Tønsberg find the net on 61′. 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
62′We published Eik-Tønsberg at 38%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
62′⚽ GOAL · 61' Eik-Tønsberg 2–0 Kvik Halden
62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Eik-Tønsberg win: 38% at kick-off, 95% now
66′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Eik-Tønsberg · On: M. Srour · Off: E. Muhle
66′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Eik-Tønsberg · On: M. Solli · Off: M. Volden
71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Eik-Tønsberg · On: A. Nygaard · Off: T. Nygaard
72′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Kvik Halden · On: A. Samrat · Off: A. Mjekiqi
72′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Kvik Halden · On: A. Tafjord-Lie · Off: U. Seferi
72′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Kvik Halden · On: A. Puck · Off: P. Degnes
73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Eik-Tønsberg win: 38% at kick-off, 98% now
73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Kvik Halden
81′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Kvik Halden · On: M. Lie · Off: M. Moberg
81′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Kvik Halden · On: K. Lorentzen · Off: D. Mehmeti
84′We published Eik-Tønsberg at 38%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
89′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Eik-Tønsberg · On: K. Carlstedt · Off: J. Lundhagebakken
89′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Eik-Tønsberg · On: E. Gunnarsson Lavlund · Off: C. Flood
91′A goal for Eik-Tønsberg on 90′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
91′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 100–0–0
91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Eik-Tønsberg 3–0 Kvik Halden
FTFULL TIME Eik-Tønsberg 3–0 Kvik Halden
FTEik-Tønsberg 3–0 Kvik Halden · Eik-Tønsberg win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Eik-Tønsberg just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Eik-Tønsberg 38%, draw 25%, Kvik Halden 37%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Eik-Tønsberg v Kvik HaldenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Eik-Tønsberg win38%

Draw25%

Kvik Halden win37%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 25

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Eik-Tønsberg

Kvik Halden

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 2. Division - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Kvik Halden	24	+2	34
14	Eik-Tønsberg	24	−31	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eik-tønsberg winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 24 Oct 04:09 · locked at kick-off

38% The market29%

Us38%

~~Market~~29%

We make Eik-Tønsberg a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 29%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Eik-Tønsberg v Kvik Halden~~1.44 – 1.40

~~Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 1 this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 10 v 34~~14 v 7

~~The market · Eik-Tønsberg win~~29% · ours 38%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Eik-Tønsberg win The market, margin stripped

Published at 39%, 38% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 29% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eik-Tønsberg win	38%	29%	+9
Draw	25%	24%	+1
Kvik Halden win	37%	47%	−10
Over 2.5 goals	54%	62%	−8
Both teams to score	57%	63%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	77%	81%	−4
Over 3.5 goals	32%	42%	−10
Eik-Tønsberg or draw	63%	53%	+10
Eik-Tønsberg clean sheet	25%	–	–
Kvik Halden clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 6.1 8.2 5.7 2.7 1 8.5 11.6 8.0 3.8 2 6.1 8.3 5.8 2.7 3 2.9 4.0 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Eik-Tønsberg down, Kvik Halden across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,061 2. Division - Group 1 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Division - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.1% of games this season, across 168 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eik-Tønsberg at home: 1.50 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Kvik Halden away: 1.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for Eik-Tønsberg, 1.40 for Kvik Halden. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~KVI 1–0 EIK · EIK 2–1 KVI · KVI 0–2 EIK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Division - Group 1 this season · since 12 Sept

EIK-TØNSBERG

WLLWLL2–0 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 3–1 · 1–3 · 0–3

KVIK HALDEN

LLWLLL0–2 · 0–2 · 4–0 · 2–3 · 0–3 · 0–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	jerv	24	+27	56
2	Bjarg	24	+25	50
3	Mjondalen	24	+18	50
4	Brattvåg	24	+18	48
5	Sotra	24	+24	42
6	Notodden	24	+7	35
7	Kvik Halden	24	+2	34
8	Træff	24	−7	34
9	Arendal	24	−5	30
10	Pors Grenland	24	−3	29
11	Sandviken	24	−15	25
12	Lysekloster	24	−20	19
13	Vidar	24	−40	13
14	Eik-Tønsberg	24	−31	10