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Strommen v Asane
Strommen
Asane1. Division · WED 14 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Strommen win at 46%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Strommen 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–22–32
- 1′KICK-OFF Strommen v Asane
- 12′Strommen find the net on 13′. 0–0. 0–0 · 45–23–32
- 13′We said Strommen at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 1–0 · 68–17–14
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Strommen 1–0 Asane
- 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Strommen win: 46% at kick-off, 68% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.6 we expected. 1–0 · 69–19–12
- 31′GOAL DISALLOWED · 31' Strommen
- 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Strommen 2–0 Asane · J. Kristengard
- 33′A goal for Strommen on 33′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 88–8–3
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Strommen win: 46% at kick-off, 88% now
- 34′We said Strommen at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 2–0 · 89–8–3
- 35′J. Kristengard scores for Strommen on 32′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 89–8–3
- 39′We said Strommen at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–0 · 90–8–3
- 42′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Asane
- 44′🟨 YELLOW · 43' S. Brudvik · Asane
- 45′HALF-TIME Strommen 2–0 Asane
- 45′SECOND HALF Strommen 2–0 Asane
- 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Asane · On: L. Rossi · Off: T. L. Furebotn
- 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Asane · On: S. Haga · Off: S. Brudvik
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Strommen 2–1 Asane
- 56′We said Strommen at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 2–1 · 73–20–7
- 56′Strommen find the net on 58′. 2–1. 2–1 · 73–20–7
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Strommen win: 46% at kick-off, 73% now
- 56′GOAL DISALLOWED · 56' Strommen
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 32' Strommen 3–1 Asane · H. Diaby
- 58′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.6 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 94–5–1
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Strommen 3–1 Asane · H. Diaby
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Strommen win: 46% at kick-off, 94% now
- 63′We said Strommen at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–1 · 95–4–1
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Strommen win: 46% at kick-off, 96% now
- 68′A goal for Strommen on 68′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 99–0–0
- 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Strommen 4–1 Asane
- 69′We said Strommen at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 70′5 goals already, more than the 3.6 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 72′73′ and it is 5–1: Strommen have scored. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 68' Strommen 5–1 Asane · A. Nord (assist J. Kristengard)
- 73′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.6 across ninety minutes. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Asane · On: E. Myklebust · Off: M. Haga
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Asane · On: B. Baldursson · Off: J. Eikrem
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Strommen · On: K. Somesi · Off: C. Crestani
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Strommen · On: M. Svenningsen Gronn · Off: J. Kristengard
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Strommen · On: M. Moldskred · Off: S. Beck
- 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Strommen 6–1 Asane · M. Waehler
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Asane · On: G. Ramsay · Off: M. Fismen
- 89′Strommen find the net on 89′. 6–1. 6–1 · 100–0–0
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Strommen · On: G. Grobelnik · Off: A. Nord Corrected
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Strommen · On: E. Rogne · Off: S. Sharif
- 90′7 goals already, more than the 3.6 we expected for the whole match. 6–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Strommen 6–1 Asane
- FTStrommen 6–1 Asane · Strommen win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 13:28 · locked at kick-off
Strommen win46%
Asane win32%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 14:00
RefereeA. Al Fahad
Match timeline
All events
StrommenMIN
AsaneEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Strommen
Asane
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Strommen
Asane
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Strommen
Formation not confirmed
12 A. Skjaerstein
98 T. Romo Lillo
4 M. Balatoni
25 P. Lindgren
5 S. Sharif
3 C. Crestani
6 S. Beck
16 A. Nord
24 M. Paulsen
11 M. Waehler
14 J. Kristengard
Coach · Marcus Ericson
Substitutes
1 · M. Kristiansen
8 · K. Somesi
13 · A. Solberg
18 · M. Svenningsen Gronn
19 · E. Rogne
21 · T. Ogboji
26 · M. Moldskred
28 · N. Ohr
29 · G. Grobelnik
Asane
Formation not confirmed
24 M. Klausen
4 H. Diaby
10 K. Barmen
6 S. Brudvik
22 D. Wolfe
8 J. Eikrem
20 S. Nygard
77 K. Haga
17 T. L. Furebotn
14 M. Haga
26 M. Fismen
Coach · Thomas Lyngbo
Substitutes
1 · S. Selin
7 · H. Geelmuyden
11 · L. Rossi
18 · B. Baldursson
23 · G. Ramsay
30 · E. Myklebust
45 · S. Haga
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Strommen
Formation not confirmed
12 A. Skjaerstein
98 T. Romo Lillo
4 M. Balatoni
25 P. Lindgren
5 S. Sharif
3 C. Crestani
6 S. Beck
16 A. Nord
24 M. Paulsen
11 M. Waehler
14 J. Kristengard
Coach · Marcus Ericson
Substitutes
1 · M. Kristiansen
8 · K. Somesi
13 · A. Solberg
18 · M. Svenningsen Gronn
19 · E. Rogne
21 · T. Ogboji
26 · M. Moldskred
28 · N. Ohr
29 · G. Grobelnik
Asane
Formation not confirmed
24 M. Klausen
4 H. Diaby
10 K. Barmen
6 S. Brudvik
22 D. Wolfe
8 J. Eikrem
20 S. Nygard
77 K. Haga
17 T. L. Furebotn
14 M. Haga
26 M. Fismen
Coach · Thomas Lyngbo
Substitutes
1 · S. Selin
7 · H. Geelmuyden
11 · L. Rossi
18 · B. Baldursson
23 · G. Ramsay
30 · E. Myklebust
45 · S. Haga
We make Strommen a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 45%, 46% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strommen win | 46% | 50% | −5 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | −1 |
| Asane win | 32% | 26% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 68% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 69% | 67% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 85% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 47% | +2 |
| Strommen or draw | 68% | 74% | −5 |
| Strommen clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
| Asane clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2021Form · last six in 1. Division
STROMMEN
ASANE
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kongsvinger | 25 | 39 | 56 |
| 2 | Haugesund | 25 | 35 | 56 |
| 3 | Stromsgodset | 25 | 34 | 54 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 25 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | ODD Ballklubb | 25 | 13 | 42 |
| 6 | Bryne | 25 | 1 | 38 |
| 7 | hodd | 25 | -10 | 34 |
| 8 | Egersund | 25 | -11 | 32 |
| 9 | Ranheim | 25 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Lyn | 25 | -14 | 28 |
| 11 | Moss | 25 | -15 | 28 |
| 12 | Strommen | 25 | -17 | 27 |
| 13 | Sandnes ULF | 25 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Sogndal | 24 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 | Asane | 25 | -18 | 23 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 24 | -36 | 19 |
The competition's standings.
Kongsvinger
Haugesund
Stromsgodset
Stabaek
ODD Ballklubb
Bryne
hodd
Egersund
Ranheim
Lyn
Moss
Sandnes ULF
Sogndal
Raufoss