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Sogndal v ODD Ballklubb
Sogndal
ODD Ballklubb1. Division · WED 14 OCT · Fosshaugane Campus
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said ODD Ballklubb win at 41%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Sogndal v ODD Ballklubb
- 2′Little has changed for our model: ODD Ballklubb 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 36–23–41
- 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Sogndal 0–1 ODD Ballklubb
- 11′A goal for ODD Ballklubb on 10′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 17–19–64
- 11′We said ODD Ballklubb at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 64%. 0–1 · 17–19–64
- 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' ODD Ballklubb win: 41% at kick-off, 64% now
- 13′We said ODD Ballklubb at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 0–1 · 16–19–65
- 18′🟨 YELLOW · 18' ODD Ballklubb
- 20′🟨 YELLOW · 18' J. Vadstrup · ODD Ballklubb
- 29′🟨 YELLOW · 18' J. Vadstrup · ODD Ballklubb
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 0–1 · 13–20–66
- 36′🟨 YELLOW · 18' J. Vadstrup · ODD Ballklubb
- 45′HALF-TIME Sogndal 0–1 ODD Ballklubb
- 46′SECOND HALF Sogndal 0–1 ODD Ballklubb
- 49′We said ODD Ballklubb at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 9–21–70
- 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sogndal · On: K. Arierhi · Off: H. Woxen
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' ODD Ballklubb win: 41% at kick-off, 71% now
- 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Sogndal
- 62′🟨 YELLOW · 60' J. Haruna · Sogndal
- 65′We said ODD Ballklubb at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 5–20–75
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Sogndal · On: F. Flo · Off: J. Haruna
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Sogndal · On: L. Gausdal · Off: E. L. Hillestad
- 73′We said ODD Ballklubb at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' ODD Ballklubb win: 41% at kick-off, 81% now
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' ODD Ballklubb · On: N. Kojo · Off: V. Rasmussen
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Sogndal · On: P. Asp · Off: O. Helen
- 79′We said ODD Ballklubb at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 1–14–85
- 84′We said ODD Ballklubb at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 0–1 · 0–9–91
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' ODD Ballklubb win: 41% at kick-off, 91% now
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' ODD Ballklubb · On: S. Aas · Off: K. Andersen
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' ODD Ballklubb · On: C. Glenna · Off: F. Tewelde
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Sogndal · On: E. Flo · Off: M. Oren
- 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' ODD Ballklubb
- 90′We said ODD Ballklubb at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 88' G. Simenstad · ODD Ballklubb
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Sogndal
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 93' ODD Ballklubb
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 92' K. Arierhi · Sogndal
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 93' C. Glenna · ODD Ballklubb
- FTFULL TIME Sogndal 0–1 ODD Ballklubb
- FTSogndal 0–1 ODD Ballklubb · ODD Ballklubb win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 17:28 · locked at kick-off
Sogndal win36%
ODD Ballklubb win41%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 18:00
VenueFosshaugane Campus
RefereeS. Hauge
Match timeline
All events
SogndalMIN
ODD BallklubbEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Sogndal
ODD Ballklubb
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Sogndal
ODD Ballklubb
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Sogndal
Formation not confirmed
1 L. Jendal
4 E. Hovland
14 J. Haruna
35 E. L. Hillestad
88 R. Onyango
7 H. Woxen
16 L. Vapne
10 K. Skaanes
32 M. Oren
15 O. Helen
19 T. Pippola
Coach · Eirik Bakke
Substitutes
3 · F. Flo
5 · K. Harrison
8 · L. Gausdal
9 · K. Arierhi
11 · E. Mensah
18 · V. Hagen
20 · P. Asp
24 · K. Bieszczad
39 · E. Flo
ODD Ballklubb
Formation not confirmed
1 T. Erlandsson
20 G. Simenstad
5 H. Bonnesen
6 J. Vadstrup
13 S. Skjeldal
7 F. Jorgensen
8 D. Soderberg
10 V. Rasmussen
22 K. Andersen
9 S. Bojadzic
28 F. Tewelde
Coach · Per Frandsen
Substitutes
11 · C. Glenna
15 · O. Skau
17 · G. Ambrose
18 · S. Aas
23 · N. Kojo
24 · S. Oines
26 · Z. Mugeese
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Sogndal
Formation not confirmed
1 L. Jendal
4 E. Hovland
14 J. Haruna
35 E. L. Hillestad
88 R. Onyango
7 H. Woxen
16 L. Vapne
10 K. Skaanes
32 M. Oren
15 O. Helen
19 T. Pippola
Coach · Eirik Bakke
Substitutes
3 · F. Flo
5 · K. Harrison
8 · L. Gausdal
9 · K. Arierhi
11 · E. Mensah
18 · V. Hagen
20 · P. Asp
24 · K. Bieszczad
39 · E. Flo
ODD Ballklubb
Formation not confirmed
1 T. Erlandsson
20 G. Simenstad
5 H. Bonnesen
6 J. Vadstrup
13 S. Skjeldal
7 F. Jorgensen
8 D. Soderberg
10 V. Rasmussen
22 K. Andersen
9 S. Bojadzic
28 F. Tewelde
Coach · Per Frandsen
Substitutes
11 · C. Glenna
15 · O. Skau
17 · G. Ambrose
18 · S. Aas
23 · N. Kojo
24 · S. Oines
26 · Z. Mugeese
We make ODD Ballklubb a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 40%, 41% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sogndal win | 36% | 28% | +8 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | +1 |
| ODD Ballklubb win | 41% | 50% | −9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 74% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 67% | 72% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 89% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 55% | −11 |
| Sogndal or draw | 59% | 50% | +9 |
| Sogndal clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
| ODD Ballklubb clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2025Form · last six in 1. Division
SOGNDAL
ODD BALLKLUBB
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kongsvinger | 25 | 39 | 56 |
| 2 | Haugesund | 25 | 35 | 56 |
| 3 | Stromsgodset | 25 | 34 | 54 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 25 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | ODD Ballklubb | 25 | 13 | 42 |
| 6 | Bryne | 25 | 1 | 38 |
| 7 | hodd | 25 | -10 | 34 |
| 8 | Egersund | 25 | -11 | 32 |
| 9 | Ranheim | 25 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Strommen | 26 | -12 | 30 |
| 11 | Lyn | 25 | -14 | 28 |
| 12 | Moss | 25 | -15 | 28 |
| 13 | Sandnes ULF | 25 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Sogndal | 24 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 | Asane | 26 | -23 | 23 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 24 | -36 | 19 |
The competition's standings.
Kongsvinger
Haugesund
Stromsgodset
Stabaek
Bryne
hodd
Egersund
Ranheim
Strommen
Lyn
Moss
Sandnes ULF
Asane
Raufoss