Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1

Home › Football › 1. Division › Sogndal v ODD Ballklubb

Back
Norway flag

Sogndal v ODD Ballklubb

Sogndal
0–1Full time
ODD Ballklubb

1. Division · WED 14 OCT · Fosshaugane Campus

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 20:30
Sogndal 0–1 ODD Ballklubb ODD BALLKLUBB WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said ODD Ballklubb win41%
The market said50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.536
The market’s Brier score0.382

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 29 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said ODD Ballklubb win at 41%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Sogndal v ODD Ballklubb
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: ODD Ballklubb 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 36–23–41
  4. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Sogndal 0–1 ODD Ballklubb
  5. 11′A goal for ODD Ballklubb on 10′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 17–19–64
  6. 11′We said ODD Ballklubb at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 64%. 0–1 · 17–19–64
  7. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' ODD Ballklubb win: 41% at kick-off, 64% now
  8. 13′We said ODD Ballklubb at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 0–1 · 16–19–65
  9. 18′🟨 YELLOW · 18' ODD Ballklubb
  10. 20′🟨 YELLOW · 18' J. Vadstrup · ODD Ballklubb
  11. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 18' J. Vadstrup · ODD Ballklubb
  12. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 0–1 · 13–20–66
  13. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 18' J. Vadstrup · ODD Ballklubb
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Sogndal 0–1 ODD Ballklubb
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Sogndal 0–1 ODD Ballklubb
  16. 49′We said ODD Ballklubb at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 9–21–70
  17. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sogndal · On: K. Arierhi · Off: H. Woxen
  18. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' ODD Ballklubb win: 41% at kick-off, 71% now
  19. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Sogndal
  20. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 60' J. Haruna · Sogndal
  21. 65′We said ODD Ballklubb at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 5–20–75
  22. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Sogndal · On: F. Flo · Off: J. Haruna
  23. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Sogndal · On: L. Gausdal · Off: E. L. Hillestad
  24. 73′We said ODD Ballklubb at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
  25. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' ODD Ballklubb win: 41% at kick-off, 81% now
  26. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' ODD Ballklubb · On: N. Kojo · Off: V. Rasmussen
  27. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Sogndal · On: P. Asp · Off: O. Helen
  28. 79′We said ODD Ballklubb at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 1–14–85
  29. 84′We said ODD Ballklubb at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 0–1 · 0–9–91
  30. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' ODD Ballklubb win: 41% at kick-off, 91% now
  31. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' ODD Ballklubb · On: S. Aas · Off: K. Andersen
  32. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' ODD Ballklubb · On: C. Glenna · Off: F. Tewelde
  33. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Sogndal · On: E. Flo · Off: M. Oren
  34. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' ODD Ballklubb
  35. 90′We said ODD Ballklubb at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
  36. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 88' G. Simenstad · ODD Ballklubb
  37. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Sogndal
  38. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 93' ODD Ballklubb
  39. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 92' K. Arierhi · Sogndal
  40. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 93' C. Glenna · ODD Ballklubb
  41. FTFULL TIME Sogndal 0–1 ODD Ballklubb
  42. FTSogndal 0–1 ODD Ballklubb · ODD Ballklubb win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Sogndal v ODD BallklubbBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 17:28 · locked at kick-off

Sogndal win36%
Draw23%
ODD Ballklubb win41%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 18:00

VenueFosshaugane Campus

RefereeS. Hauge

Line-ups

Sogndal

ODD Ballklubb

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Sogndal

ODD Ballklubb

3Days since last match3
1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
5ODD Ballklubb251342
14Sogndal24-1623

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Sogndal

Formation not confirmed

1 L. Jendal

4 E. Hovland

14 J. Haruna

35 E. L. Hillestad

88 R. Onyango

7 H. Woxen

16 L. Vapne

10 K. Skaanes

32 M. Oren

15 O. Helen

19 T. Pippola

Coach · Eirik Bakke

Substitutes

3 · F. Flo

5 · K. Harrison

8 · L. Gausdal

9 · K. Arierhi

11 · E. Mensah

18 · V. Hagen

20 · P. Asp

24 · K. Bieszczad

39 · E. Flo

ODD Ballklubb

Formation not confirmed

1 T. Erlandsson

20 G. Simenstad

5 H. Bonnesen

6 J. Vadstrup

13 S. Skjeldal

7 F. Jorgensen

8 D. Soderberg

10 V. Rasmussen

22 K. Andersen

9 S. Bojadzic

28 F. Tewelde

Coach · Per Frandsen

Substitutes

11 · C. Glenna

15 · O. Skau

17 · G. Ambrose

18 · S. Aas

23 · N. Kojo

24 · S. Oines

26 · Z. Mugeese

Our number · odd ballklubb winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 17:28 · locked at kick-off
41% The market50%
Us41%
Market50%

We make ODD Ballklubb a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.8.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sogndal v ODD Ballklubb1.65 – 1.77
Last six in 1. DivisionW0 D2 L4 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 23 v 4214 v 5
The market · ODD Ballklubb win50% · ours 41%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:1914 OCT 15:13
Our probability · odd ballklubb win The market, margin stripped

Published at 40%, 41% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sogndal win36%28%+8
Draw23%23%+1
ODD Ballklubb win41%50%−9
Over 2.5 goals66%74%−8
Both teams to score67%72%−6
Over 1.5 goals86%89%−3
Over 3.5 goals44%55%−11
Sogndal or draw59%50%+9
Sogndal clean sheet18%––
ODD Ballklubb clean sheet20%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.1%
0123450 4.0 5.4 5.2 3.0 1 5.0 10.1 8.3 4.9 2.2 2 4.5 7.7 6.7 4.0 3 2.5 4.3 3.7 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sogndal down, ODD Ballklubb across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting4.67
Over 2.53 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsODD 4–0 SOG · ODD 1–4 SOG · SOG 3–2 ODD

Form · last six in 1. Division

SOGNDAL

DLLDLL2–2 · 2–3 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–2

ODD BALLKLUBB

WDLWWW5–3 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 5–1 · 3–2 · 2–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Kongsvinger253956
2Haugesund253556
3Stromsgodset253454
4Stabaek252646
5ODD Ballklubb251342
6Bryne25138
7hodd25-1034
8Egersund25-1132
9Ranheim25-131
10Strommen26-1230
11Lyn25-1428
12Moss25-1528
13Sandnes ULF25-1026
14Sogndal24-1623
15Asane26-2323
16Raufoss24-3619

The competition's standings.