ODD Ballklubb v Bryne prediction · 1. Division

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

ODD Ballklubb 2–1 Bryne ODD BALLKLUBB WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said ODD Ballklubb win~~39%

~~The market said~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.560

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.482

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 17 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said ODD Ballklubb win at 39%.
1′Little has changed for our model: ODD Ballklubb 39% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–26–35
1′KICK-OFF ODD Ballklubb v Bryne
2′Little has changed for our model: ODD Ballklubb 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–26–35
11′⚽ GOAL · 11' ODD Ballklubb 1–0 Bryne
32′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Bryne
41′⚽ GOAL · 41' ODD Ballklubb 1–1 Bryne
44′🟨 YELLOW · 44' ODD Ballklubb
44′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Bryne
45′HALF-TIME ODD Ballklubb 1–1 Bryne
46′SECOND HALF ODD Ballklubb 1–1 Bryne
51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' ODD Ballklubb
60′PENALTY MISSED · 60' ODD Ballklubb
63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Bryne
67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' ODD Ballklubb · On: N. Kojo · Off: D. Soderberg
83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' ODD Ballklubb · On: C. Glenna · Off: S. Aas
83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Bryne · On: L. Qvigstad · Off: T. Engebakken
84′⚽ GOAL · 84' ODD Ballklubb 2–1 Bryne
90′SUBSTITUTION · 94' ODD Ballklubb · On: G. Ambrose · Off: V. Rasmussen
FTFULL TIME ODD Ballklubb 2–1 Bryne
FTODD Ballklubb 2–1 Bryne · ODD Ballklubb win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

ODD Ballklubb win39%

Draw27%

Bryne win34%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 16:00

VenueSkagerak Arena

RefereeA. Al Hatem

Line-ups

ODD Ballklubb

Bryne

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

ODD Ballklubb

Bryne

8Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	ODD Ballklubb	24	+12	39
6	Bryne	24	+2	38

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

ODD Ballklubb

Formation not confirmed

1 T. Erlandsson

20 G. Simenstad

5 H. Bonnesen

6 J. Vadstrup

13 S. Skjeldal

7 F. Jorgensen

8 D. Soderberg

10 V. Rasmussen

22 K. Andersen

9 S. Bojadzic

18 S. Aas

Coach · Per Frandsen

Substitutes

15 · O. Skau

17 · G. Ambrose

23 · N. Kojo

24 · S. Oines

26 · Z. Mugeese

27 · K. Holte

29 · J. Engen

34 · O. Essayas

11 · C. Glenna

Bryne

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Ree

5 J. Haahr

15 K. Hay

3 P. A. Wik

16 D. Gaye

19 T. Engebakken

6 A. Svindland

8 L. Sodal

14 A. Molund

20 D. Johannsson

9 S. T. Jonassen

Coach · Orjan Heiberg

Substitutes

2 · S. Fjelldalselv

10 · K. Haland

12 · J. de Boer

17 · L. Qvigstad

28 · J. Ostrem

33 · A. Hermansen

42 · H. Tveit

77 · P. Pichkah

Our number · odd ballklubb winPublished 11 Oct 15:49

39% The market43%

Us39%

~~Market~~43%

We make ODD Ballklubb a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · odd ballklubb win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 47% to 44% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
ODD Ballklubb win	39%	43%	−4
Draw	27%	25%	+1
Bryne win	34%	31%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	51%	63%	−12
Both teams to score	56%	66%	−10
Over 1.5 goals	76%	83%	−7
Over 3.5 goals	29%	43%	−14
ODD Ballklubb or draw	66%	69%	−3
ODD Ballklubb clean sheet	27%	–	–
Bryne clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.6%

0123450 7.4 7.9 5.6 2.5 1 8.6 12.6 7.8 3.5 2 6.5 8.4 5.5 2.4 3 3.1 4.0 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+ODD Ballklubb down, Bryne across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,412 1. Division matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.2% of games this season, across 191 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

ODD Ballklubb at home: 1.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Bryne away: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for ODD Ballklubb, 1.32 for Bryne. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~BRY 1–2 ODD

Form · last six in 1. Division

ODD BALLKLUBB

LWDLWW0–1 · 5–3 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 5–1 · 3–2

BRYNE

WLLWWW1–0 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 4–0 · 1–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Haugesund	24	+35	55
2	Kongsvinger	24	+35	53
3	Stromsgodset	24	+30	51
4	Stabaek	24	+26	45
5	ODD Ballklubb	24	+12	39
6	Bryne	24	+2	38
7	hodd	24	−8	34
8	Ranheim	24	+3	31
9	Egersund	24	−13	29
10	Lyn	24	−10	28
11	Strommen	24	−17	26
12	Sandnes ULF	24	−10	25
13	Moss	24	−16	25
14	Sogndal	23	−15	23
15	Asane	24	−19	20
16	Raufoss	23	−35	19