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Lyn v Moss
Lyn
Moss1. Division · SUN 18 OCT · Bislett Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Lyn win at 52%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Lyn 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–22–26
- 1′KICK-OFF Lyn v Moss
- 27′SUBSTITUTION · 23' Moss · On: J. Musbaudeen · Off: N. Alexandersson
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Lyn win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
- 45′SECOND HALF Lyn 0–0 Moss
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Moss
- 46′HALF-TIME Lyn 0–0 Moss
- 49′🟨 YELLOW · 31' M. Aadland · Lyn
- 50′We said Lyn at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 40–36–24
- 52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Moss
- 53′We said Lyn at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–37–23
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.5 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 38–39–23
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Lyn win 36%)
- 63′We said Lyn at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–45–21
- 66′We said Lyn at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Lyn win: 52% at kick-off, 32% now
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Lyn 1–0 Moss
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Lyn win: 52% at kick-off, 80% now
- 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Lyn win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 17%)
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Moss · On: R. Hermanstad · Off: T. Usman
- 69′Lyn find the net on 67′. 1–0. 1–0 · 81–16–3
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Lyn win: 52% at kick-off, 82% now
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Lyn · On: J. Skaug · Off: J. Nois
- 76′We said Lyn at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Moss · On: S. Gronli · Off: P. Andersen Corrected
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Lyn · On: A. Memedov · Off: M. Johansen
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Lyn · On: F. Sock · Off: A. Hellum
- 82′We said Lyn at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Moss · On: E. Chidi · Off: M. Njie
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Lyn win: 52% at kick-off, 92% now
- 89′We said Lyn at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 89′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Moss
- 93′1–0 at the end. Our 52% on Lyn comes in. 1–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Lyn 1–0 Moss
- FTLyn 1–0 Moss · Lyn win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Lyn are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Lyn 52%, draw 22%, Moss 26%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 66%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Lyn win52%
Moss win26%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00
RoundMatchday 27
VenueBislett Stadium
RefereeJ. Mertens
Match timeline
All events
LynMIN
MossEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Lyn
Moss
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Lyn
Moss
Last match: 14 Oct · the Norwegian 1. Division
Last match: 14 Oct · the Norwegian 1. Division
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Lyn
Formation not confirmed
1 A. Pedersen
18 H. Nilsen
3 E. Race
6 A. Midtskogen
27 I. Barnett
29 O. Gueye
24 D. Fredriksen
17 J. Nois
9 A. Olsen
11 A. Hellum
10 M. Johansen
Coach · Magnus Aadland
Substitutes
2 · D. Gherezghiher
7 · I. Monglo
20 · W. T. Waehler
21 · J. Skaug
25 · M. Andersen
26 · A. Memedov
30 · F. Sock
Moss
Formation not confirmed
1 M. Eriksen
4 N. Ibsen
24 M. Njie
5 O. Jebali
2 M. Cassidy
8 H. Vold Krohg
17 P. Andersen
7 N. Alexandersson
46 W. Kvale
25 T. Usman
10 M. Njie
Coach · Geir Bakke
Substitutes
9 · O. Aga
12 · M. Rylandsholm
14 · J. Musbaudeen
21 · S. Gronli
22 · J. Ogbole
23 · R. Hermanstad
26 · E. Chidi
27 · J. S. Selnaes
31 · J. Harveg
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Lyn
Formation not confirmed
1 A. Pedersen
18 H. Nilsen
3 E. Race
6 A. Midtskogen
27 I. Barnett
29 O. Gueye
24 D. Fredriksen
17 J. Nois
9 A. Olsen
11 A. Hellum
10 M. Johansen
Coach · Magnus Aadland
Substitutes
2 · D. Gherezghiher
7 · I. Monglo
20 · W. T. Waehler
21 · J. Skaug
25 · M. Andersen
26 · A. Memedov
30 · F. Sock
Moss
Formation not confirmed
1 M. Eriksen
4 N. Ibsen
24 M. Njie
5 O. Jebali
2 M. Cassidy
8 H. Vold Krohg
17 P. Andersen
7 N. Alexandersson
46 W. Kvale
25 T. Usman
10 M. Njie
Coach · Geir Bakke
Substitutes
9 · O. Aga
12 · M. Rylandsholm
14 · J. Musbaudeen
21 · S. Gronli
22 · J. Ogbole
23 · R. Hermanstad
26 · E. Chidi
27 · J. S. Selnaes
31 · J. Harveg
We make Lyn a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 53%, 52% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyn win | 52% | 43% | +9 |
| Draw | 22% | 25% | −3 |
| Moss win | 26% | 32% | −6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 66% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 66% | 68% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 85% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 47% | −1 |
| Lyn or draw | 74% | 68% | +6 |
| Lyn clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
| Moss clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 5 Sept
LYN
MOSS
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haugesund | 26 | +38 | 59 |
| 2 | Stromsgodset | 26 | +38 | 57 |
| 3 | Kongsvinger | 26 | +35 | 56 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 26 | +29 | 49 |
| 5 | ODD Ballklubb | 26 | +14 | 45 |
| 6 | Bryne | 26 | +1 | 39 |
| 7 | hodd | 26 | −10 | 35 |
| 8 | Egersund | 26 | −11 | 33 |
| 9 | Ranheim | 26 | −1 | 32 |
| 10 | Strommen | 26 | −12 | 30 |
| 11 | Moss | 26 | −15 | 29 |
| 12 | Lyn | 26 | −17 | 28 |
| 13 | Sandnes ULF | 26 | −13 | 26 |
| 14 | Sogndal | 25 | −17 | 23 |
| 15 | Asane | 26 | −23 | 23 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 25 | −36 | 20 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Haugesund
Stromsgodset
Kongsvinger
Stabaek
ODD Ballklubb
Bryne
hodd
Egersund
Ranheim
Strommen
Sandnes ULF
Sogndal
Asane
Raufoss