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Model 1.1

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Bryne v Raufoss

Bryne
1–1Full time
Raufoss

1. Division · WED 14 OCT · Bryne Stadion

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 20:30
Bryne 1–1 Raufoss BRYNE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Bryne win62%
The market said74%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.011
The market’s Brier score1.273

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 27 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bryne win at 62%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Bryne v Raufoss
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Bryne 62% before kick-off, 62% now. 0–0 · 62–22–16
  4. 18′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Bryne
  5. 21′🟨 YELLOW · 19' P. A. Wik · Bryne
  6. 27′🟨 YELLOW · 19' P. A. Wik · Bryne
  7. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 19' P. A. Wik · Bryne
  8. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Raufoss
  9. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Bryne win: 62% at kick-off, 52% now
  10. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 36' H. Holter · Raufoss
  11. 40′We said Bryne at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 50%. 0–0 · 50–33–16
  12. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Bryne 1–0 Raufoss
  13. 42′Bryne find the net on 43′. 1–0. 1–0 · 84–13–3
  14. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Bryne win: 62% at kick-off, 84% now
  15. 43′We said Bryne at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–0 · 84–13–3
  16. 45′SECOND HALF Bryne 1–0 Raufoss
  17. 53′We said Bryne at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–3
  18. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Raufoss · On: R. Zekhnini · Off: K. Onsrud
  19. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Raufoss · On: J. Sjol · Off: H. Karlsen
  20. 63′We said Bryne at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 37%. 1–1 · 37–49–14
  21. 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Bryne 1–1 Raufoss
  22. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Bryne win: 62% at kick-off, 37% now
  23. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Bryne win 37%)
  24. 64′A goal for Raufoss on 64′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 36–51–14
  25. 65′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 35–52–13
  26. 66′We said Bryne at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–53–13
  27. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Bryne win: 62% at kick-off, 32% now
  28. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Bryne · On: S. T. Jonassen · Off: K. Haland
  29. 72′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Raufoss
  30. 73′We said Bryne at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–62–11
  31. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' E. Sildnes · Raufoss
  32. 76′We said Bryne at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–67–10
  33. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Bryne win: 62% at kick-off, 22% now
  34. 79′We said Bryne at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–72–8
  35. 83′We said Bryne at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–81–6
  36. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Raufoss · On: E. Gjerde · Off: N. Fremstad
  37. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Bryne win: 62% at kick-off, 12% now
  38. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Bryne · On: A. Hermansen · Off: L. Sodal
  39. 87′We said Bryne at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–87–4
  40. 93′We said Bryne at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 1–1 · 3–95–1
  41. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 91' Bryne · On: J. Ostrem · Off: T. Engebakken
  42. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 92' Raufoss · On: Y. Agyeman · Off: M. Aanesland
  43. 94′1–1 at the end. Our 62% on Bryne misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
  44. FTFULL TIME Bryne 1–1 Raufoss
  45. FTBryne 1–1 Raufoss · Bryne win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Bryne v RaufossBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 17:28 · locked at kick-off

Bryne win62%
Draw22%
Raufoss win16%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 18:00

VenueBryne Stadion

RefereeH. Pedersen

Line-ups

Bryne

Raufoss

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Bryne

Raufoss

3Days since last match3
2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Bryne25138
16Raufoss24-3619

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Bryne

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Ree

17 L. Qvigstad

15 K. Hay

3 P. A. Wik

16 D. Gaye

19 T. Engebakken

6 A. Svindland

8 L. Sodal

14 A. Molund

20 D. Johannsson

10 K. Haland

Coach · Orjan Heiberg

Substitutes

12 · J. de Boer

2 · S. Fjelldalselv

33 · A. Hermansen

42 · H. Tveit

77 · P. Pichkah

28 · J. Ostrem

18 · L. Fajfric

23 · D. Motland

9 · S. T. Jonassen

Raufoss

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Klemensson

6 E. Froysa

15 E. Gartig

16 M. Larsen

17 K. Onsrud

3 E. Asvestad

10 M. Aanesland

8 H. Holter

11 N. Fremstad

7 E. Sildnes

19 H. Karlsen

Coach · Petter Berget Ole

Substitutes

44 · A. Sarr

5 · E. Gjerde

2 · J. Sjol

14 · Y. Agyeman

27 · R. Zekhnini

Our number · bryne winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 17:28 · locked at kick-off
62% The market74%
Us62%
Market74%

We make Bryne a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 74%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Bryne v Raufoss1.97 – 0.88
Last six in 1. DivisionW3 D0 L3 · W1 D0 L5
Table places · points 38 v 196 v 16
The market · Bryne win74% · ours 62%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70%75%80% 9 OCT 06:1914 OCT 04:46
Our probability · bryne win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 74% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Bryne win62%74%−12
Draw22%16%+7
Raufoss win16%10%+6
Over 2.5 goals54%70%−16
Both teams to score50%55%−5
Over 1.5 goals78%86%−8
Over 3.5 goals32%50%−18
Bryne or draw84%90%−6
Bryne clean sheet42%––
Raufoss clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.1%
0123450 6.7 4.7 2.3 1 10.9 10.5 4.4 2 11.1 9.6 4.2 3 7.3 6.3 2.8 4 3.7 3.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Bryne down, Raufoss across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.55 of 9
Both scored3 of 9
Last meetingsRAU 3–0 BRY · BRY 1–0 RAU · RAU 0–1 BRY · RAU 0–1 BRY

Form · last six in 1. Division

BRYNE

LLWWWL0–2 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 4–0 · 1–0 · 1–2

RAUFOSS

LLLWLL1–3 · 0–3 · 1–9 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 1–2

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Kongsvinger253956
2Haugesund253556
3Stromsgodset253454
4Stabaek252646
5ODD Ballklubb251342
6Bryne25138
7hodd25-1034
8Egersund25-1132
9Ranheim25-131
10Strommen26-1230
11Lyn25-1428
12Moss25-1528
13Sandnes ULF25-1026
14Sogndal24-1623
15Asane26-2323
16Raufoss24-3619

The competition's standings.