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Viking FK W v Grei W
Viking FK W
Grei W1. Division Women · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Viking FK W win at 78%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Viking FK W was 78% before kick-off and our model makes it 77% now. 0–0 · 77–11–11
- 1′KICK-OFF Viking FK W v Grei W
- 22′Viking FK W score on 22′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 88–8–4
- 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Viking FK W 1–0 Grei W
- 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Viking FK W win: 78% at kick-off, 88% now
- 31′Grei W find the net on 31′. 1–1. 1–1 · 70–17–13
- 31′Goals are coming at about the 4.8 we expected. 1–1 · 70–17–13
- 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Viking FK W 1–1 Grei W
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Viking FK W win: 78% at kick-off, 70% now
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Viking FK W win: 78% at kick-off, 68% now
- 40′We said Viking FK W at 78%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 66%. 1–1 · 66–20–13
- 44′We said Viking FK W at 78%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 64%. 1–1 · 64–22–14
- 45′HALF-TIME Viking FK W 1–1 Grei W
- 46′SECOND HALF Viking FK W 1–1 Grei W
- 47′GOAL DISALLOWED · 47' Grei W
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Viking FK W win: 78% at kick-off, 86% now
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Viking FK W win: 78% at kick-off, 88% now
- 78′We published Viking FK W at 78%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 87′We published Viking FK W at 78%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Viking FK W win: 78% at kick-off, 98% now
- 94′Viking FK W find the net on 90′. 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 94′We published Viking FK W at 78%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Viking FK W 2–0 Grei W
- FTFULL TIME Viking FK W 2–0 Grei W
- FTViking FK W 2–0 Grei W · Viking FK W win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 3–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Viking FK W are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Viking FK W 78%, draw 11%, Grei W 11%. Over 2.5 goals 84%, both teams to score 68%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Viking FK W win78%
Grei W win11%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00
RoundMatchday 22
Match timeline
All events
Viking FK WMIN
Grei WEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Viking FK W
Grei W
Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Division Women
Last match: 18 Oct · 1. Division Women
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Viking FK W a 78% chance to win. The market has them at 86%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 3.6–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 86% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viking FK W win | 78% | 86% | −8 |
| Draw | 11% | 9% | +2 |
| Grei W win | 11% | 4% | +7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 84% | 72% | +12 |
| Both teams to score | 68% | 39% | +29 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% | 88% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 69% | 53% | +16 |
| Viking FK W or draw | 89% | 96% | −7 |
| Viking FK W clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| Grei W clean sheet | 4% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2024Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Division Women this season · since 4 Sept
VIKING FK W
GREI W
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Start W | 8 | +9 | 20 |
| 2 | Viking FK W | 8 | +18 | 19 |
| 3 | Åsane W | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | TIL 2020 W | 8 | +14 | 17 |
| 5 | Arna-Bjørnar W | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Bryne W | 8 | −2 | 11 |
| 7 | Odd W | 8 | −1 | 9 |
| 8 | Kolbotn W | 8 | −1 | 8 |
| 9 | Grei W | 8 | −2 | 7 |
| 10 | Klepp W | 8 | −15 | 6 |
| 11 | Frigg Oslo FK W | 8 | −17 | 3 |
| 12 | Fyllingsdalen W | 8 | −18 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Start W
Åsane W
TIL 2020 W
Arna-Bjørnar W
Bryne W
Odd W
Kolbotn W
Klepp W
Frigg Oslo FK W
Fyllingsdalen W