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Viking FK W v Grei W

Viking FK W
2–0Full time
Grei W

1. Division Women · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53
Viking FK W 2–0 Grei W VIKING FK W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG3–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Viking FK W win78%
The market said86%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.075
The market’s Brier score0.029

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 14 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Viking FK W win at 78%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Viking FK W was 78% before kick-off and our model makes it 77% now. 0–0 · 77–11–11
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Viking FK W v Grei W
  4. 22′Viking FK W score on 22′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 88–8–4
  5. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Viking FK W 1–0 Grei W
  6. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Viking FK W win: 78% at kick-off, 88% now
  7. 31′Grei W find the net on 31′. 1–1. 1–1 · 70–17–13
  8. 31′Goals are coming at about the 4.8 we expected. 1–1 · 70–17–13
  9. 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Viking FK W 1–1 Grei W
  10. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Viking FK W win: 78% at kick-off, 70% now
  11. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Viking FK W win: 78% at kick-off, 68% now
  12. 40′We said Viking FK W at 78%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 66%. 1–1 · 66–20–13
  13. 44′We said Viking FK W at 78%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 64%. 1–1 · 64–22–14
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Viking FK W 1–1 Grei W
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Viking FK W 1–1 Grei W
  16. 47′GOAL DISALLOWED · 47' Grei W
  17. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Viking FK W win: 78% at kick-off, 86% now
  18. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Viking FK W win: 78% at kick-off, 88% now
  19. 78′We published Viking FK W at 78%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  20. 87′We published Viking FK W at 78%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  21. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Viking FK W win: 78% at kick-off, 98% now
  22. 94′Viking FK W find the net on 90′. 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  23. 94′We published Viking FK W at 78%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  24. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Viking FK W 2–0 Grei W
  25. FTFULL TIME Viking FK W 2–0 Grei W
  26. FTViking FK W 2–0 Grei W · Viking FK W win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 3–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Viking FK W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Viking FK W 78%, draw 11%, Grei W 11%. Over 2.5 goals 84%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Viking FK W v Grei WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Viking FK W win78%
Draw11%
Grei W win11%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 22

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Viking FK W

Grei W

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Division Women

Last match: 18 Oct · 1. Division Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Viking FK W8+1819
9Grei W8−27

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · viking fk w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
78% The market86%
Us78%
Market86%

We make Viking FK W a 78% chance to win. The market has them at 86%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 3.6–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Viking FK W v Grei W3.58 – 1.27
Form · last six in 1. Division Women this season · since 4 SeptW4 D2 L0 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 19 v 72 v 9
The market · Viking FK W win86% · ours 78%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
75%80%85%90% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 11:50
Our probability · Viking FK W win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 86% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Viking FK W win78%86%−8
Draw11%9%+2
Grei W win11%4%+7
Over 2.5 goals84%72%+12
Both teams to score68%39%+29
Over 1.5 goals94%88%+6
Over 3.5 goals69%53%+16
Viking FK W or draw89%96%−7
Viking FK W clean sheet29%––
Grei W clean sheet4%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 7.0%
0123450 1 3.7 3.7 2.7 2 5.2 6.5 4.1 3 5.7 7.0 4.5 4 4.9 5.9 3.7 5 3.5 4.2 2.6
under 2% 5% 12%+Viking FK W down, Grei W across0–5 goals a side shown (82.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2024
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsGRE 1–3 VIK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Division Women this season · since 4 Sept

VIKING FK W

DWWWWD1–1 · 5–0 · 6–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–2

GREI W

LDWWLW0–5 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 0–10 · 5–2

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Start W8+920
2Viking FK W8+1819
3Åsane W8+1118
4TIL 2020 W8+1417
5Arna-Bjørnar W8+414
6Bryne W8−211
7Odd W8−19
8Kolbotn W8−18
9Grei W8−27
10Klepp W8−156
11Frigg Oslo FK W8−173
12Fyllingsdalen W8−183

The competition's standings before kick-off.