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Grei W v Frigg Oslo FK W
Grei W
Frigg Oslo FK W1. Division Women · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Grei W win at 65%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Grei W 65% before kick-off, 65% now. 0–0 · 65–16–19
- 1′KICK-OFF Grei W v Frigg Oslo FK W
- 4′A goal for Grei W on 4′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 81–12–7
- 4′We said Grei W at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 1–0 · 81–12–7
- 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Grei W 1–0 Frigg Oslo FK W
- 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' Grei W win: 65% at kick-off, 81% now
- 18′T. E. Flokketveit scores for Grei W on 3′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 81–12–7
- 28′Frigg Oslo FK W score on 27′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 58–23–19
- 28′⚽ GOAL · 27' Grei W 1–1 Frigg Oslo FK W
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Grei W win: 65% at kick-off, 58% now
- 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Grei W win: 65% at kick-off, 55% now
- 39′The goal count is tracking the 3.7 we expected. 1–1 · 54–27–19
- 41′We said Grei W at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 53%. 1–1 · 53–28–19
- 45′HALF-TIME Grei W 1–1 Frigg Oslo FK W
- 46′SECOND HALF Grei W 1–1 Frigg Oslo FK W
- 50′We said Grei W at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–32–18
- 55′Grei W find the net on 55′. 2–1. 2–1 · 82–14–4
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Grei W 2–1 Frigg Oslo FK W
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Grei W win: 65% at kick-off, 82% now
- 57′A goal for Grei W on 57′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 96–3–1
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Grei W 3–1 Frigg Oslo FK W
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Grei W win: 65% at kick-off, 96% now
- 58′We said Grei W at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 3–1 · 97–3–1
- 58′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 97–3–1
- 61′Frigg Oslo FK W score on 60′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 83–14–3
- 61′5 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 83–14–3
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 60' Grei W 3–2 Frigg Oslo FK W
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Grei W win: 65% at kick-off, 83% now
- 65′61′: N. Bakke on the scoresheet for Frigg Oslo FK W, making it 3–2. 3–2 · 84–14–3
- 66′Grei W find the net on 66′. 4–2. 4–2 · 98–2–0
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Grei W 4–2 Frigg Oslo FK W
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Grei W win: 65% at kick-off, 98% now
- 67′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 98–2–0
- 72′Grei W ahead on 67′ through C. Despina Larsen Tsikalaki. 4–2. 4–2 · 98–2–0
- 82′We said Grei W at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 89′A goal for Grei W on 89′ — 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Grei W 5–2 Frigg Oslo FK W
- 90′7 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Grei W 5–2 Frigg Oslo FK W
- FTGrei W 5–2 Frigg Oslo FK W · Grei W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Grei W are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Grei W 65%, draw 16%, Frigg Oslo FK W 19%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 63%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Grei W win65%
Frigg Oslo FK W win19%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 21
Match timeline
All events
Grei WMIN
Frigg Oslo FK WEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Grei W
Frigg Oslo FK W
Last match: 3 Oct · 1. Division Women
Last match: 4 Oct · 1. Division Women
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Grei W a 65% chance to win. The market has them at 71%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.5–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 66%, 65% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 71% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grei W win | 65% | 71% | −6 |
| Draw | 16% | 17% | −1 |
| Frigg Oslo FK W win | 19% | 12% | +7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 71% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 63% | 58% | +5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 87% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 51% | 0 |
| Grei W or draw | 81% | 88% | −7 |
| Grei W clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Frigg Oslo FK W clean sheet | 9% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2026Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Division Women this season · since 23 Aug
GREI W
FRIGG OSLO FK W
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Start W | 8 | +9 | 20 |
| 2 | Viking FK W | 8 | +18 | 19 |
| 3 | Åsane W | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | TIL 2020 W | 8 | +14 | 17 |
| 5 | Arna-Bjørnar W | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Bryne W | 8 | −2 | 11 |
| 7 | Odd W | 8 | −1 | 9 |
| 8 | Kolbotn W | 8 | −1 | 8 |
| 9 | Grei W | 8 | −2 | 7 |
| 10 | Klepp W | 8 | −15 | 6 |
| 11 | Frigg Oslo FK W | 8 | −17 | 3 |
| 12 | Fyllingsdalen W | 8 | −18 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Start W
Viking FK W
Åsane W
TIL 2020 W
Arna-Bjørnar W
Bryne W
Odd W
Kolbotn W
Klepp W
Fyllingsdalen W