Fyllingsdalen W v Kolbotn W prediction · 1. Division Women

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 18:02

Fyllingsdalen W 3–0 Kolbotn W FYLLINGSDALEN W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Fyllingsdalen W win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.533

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Fyllingsdalen W win at 41%.
1′Much as we predicted: Fyllingsdalen W was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–21–38
1′KICK-OFF Fyllingsdalen W v Kolbotn W
11′A goal for Fyllingsdalen W on 10′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 63–20–17
11′We published Fyllingsdalen W at 41%. Our model now makes it 63%. 1–0 · 63–20–17
11′⚽ GOAL · 10' Fyllingsdalen W 1–0 Kolbotn W
11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Fyllingsdalen W win: 41% at kick-off, 63% now
25′We published Fyllingsdalen W at 41%. Our model now makes it 65%. 1–0 · 65–21–15
30′Goals are coming at about the 3.3 we expected. 1–0 · 65–21–14
45′HALF-TIME Fyllingsdalen W 1–0 Kolbotn W
46′SECOND HALF Fyllingsdalen W 1–0 Kolbotn W
51′We published Fyllingsdalen W at 41%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–9
53′Fyllingsdalen W score on 52′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 92–7–2
53′We published Fyllingsdalen W at 41%. Our model now makes it 92%. 2–0 · 92–7–2
53′⚽ GOAL · 52' Fyllingsdalen W 2–0 Kolbotn W
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Fyllingsdalen W win: 41% at kick-off, 92% now
64′We published Fyllingsdalen W at 41%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–5–1
80′Fyllingsdalen W find the net on 79′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
80′We published Fyllingsdalen W at 41%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
80′⚽ GOAL · 79' Fyllingsdalen W 3–0 Kolbotn W
FTFULL TIME Fyllingsdalen W 3–0 Kolbotn W
FTFyllingsdalen W 3–0 Kolbotn W · Fyllingsdalen W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Fyllingsdalen W just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Fyllingsdalen W 41%, draw 21%, Kolbotn W 38%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Fyllingsdalen W v Kolbotn WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Fyllingsdalen W win41%

Draw21%

Kolbotn W win38%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 21

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Fyllingsdalen W

Kolbotn W

14Days since last match14

Last match: 4 Oct · 1. Division Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Kolbotn W	8	−1	8
12	Fyllingsdalen W	8	−18	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fyllingsdalen w winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Fyllingsdalen W a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Fyllingsdalen W v Kolbotn W~~1.70 – 1.62

~~Form · last six in 1. Division Women this season · since 16 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 3 v 8~~12 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Fyllingsdalen W win	41%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Kolbotn W win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Fyllingsdalen W or draw	62%	–	–
Fyllingsdalen W clean sheet	21%	–	–
Kolbotn W clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.9%

0123450 2.9 7.2 4.9 2.6 1 7.4 8.9 7.8 4.2 2 5.3 8.1 6.4 3.5 3 3.0 4.6 3.6 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Fyllingsdalen W down, Kolbotn W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 610 1. Division Women matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Division Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.6% of games this season, across 122 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2023 in every competition we cover, 3.67 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Fyllingsdalen W at home: 2.00 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Kolbotn W away: 1.50 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.70 goals for Fyllingsdalen W, 1.62 for Kolbotn W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~3.67

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~KOL 5–1 FYL · FYL 0–3 KOL · KOL 1–1 FYL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Division Women this season · since 16 Aug

FYLLINGSDALEN W

LWWLLW1–2 · 4–2 · 4–2 · 0–6 · 0–1 · 2–1

KOLBOTN W

LLDWLW1–3 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 2–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Start W	8	+9	20
2	Viking FK W	8	+18	19
3	Åsane W	8	+11	18
4	TIL 2020 W	8	+14	17
5	Arna-Bjørnar W	8	+4	14
6	Bryne W	8	−2	11
7	Odd W	8	−1	9
8	Kolbotn W	8	−1	8
9	Grei W	8	−2	7
10	Klepp W	8	−15	6
11	Frigg Oslo FK W	8	−17	3
12	Fyllingsdalen W	8	−18	3