Frigg Oslo FK W v TIL 2020 W prediction · 1. Division Women

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53

Frigg Oslo FK W 0–3 TIL 2020 W TIL 2020 W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said TIL 2020 W win~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.182

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said TIL 2020 W win at 65%.
1′Much as we predicted: TIL 2020 W was 65% before kick-off and our model makes it 65% now. 0–0 · 17–18–65
1′KICK-OFF Frigg Oslo FK W v TIL 2020 W
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' TIL 2020 W win: 65% at kick-off, 55% now
38′We said TIL 2020 W at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 53%. 0–0 · 17–30–53
45′HALF-TIME Frigg Oslo FK W 0–0 TIL 2020 W
46′SECOND HALF Frigg Oslo FK W 0–0 TIL 2020 W
47′We said TIL 2020 W at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 16–34–49
53′A goal for TIL 2020 W on 53′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 3–13–84
53′We published TIL 2020 W at 65%. Our model now makes it 84%. 0–1 · 3–13–84
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Frigg Oslo FK W 0–1 TIL 2020 W
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' TIL 2020 W win: 65% at kick-off, 84% now
57′We published TIL 2020 W at 65%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' TIL 2020 W win: 65% at kick-off, 85% now
58′PENALTY MISSED · 58' TIL 2020 W
76′We published TIL 2020 W at 65%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
84′We published TIL 2020 W at 65%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' TIL 2020 W win: 65% at kick-off, 95% now
85′TIL 2020 W score on 84′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
85′We published TIL 2020 W at 65%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
85′⚽ GOAL · 84' Frigg Oslo FK W 0–2 TIL 2020 W
96′TIL 2020 W find the net on 90′. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
96′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Frigg Oslo FK W 0–3 TIL 2020 W
97′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 0–3 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Frigg Oslo FK W 0–3 TIL 2020 W
FTFrigg Oslo FK W 0–3 TIL 2020 W · TIL 2020 W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

TIL 2020 W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Frigg Oslo FK W 17%, draw 18%, TIL 2020 W 65%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Frigg Oslo FK W v TIL 2020 WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Frigg Oslo FK W win17%

Draw18%

TIL 2020 W win65%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 22

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Frigg Oslo FK W

TIL 2020 W

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 1. Division Women

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Division Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	TIL 2020 W	8	+14	17
11	Frigg Oslo FK W	8	−17	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · til 2020 w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:16 · locked at kick-off

65% The market–

Us65%

We make TIL 2020 W a 65% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–2.2, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Frigg Oslo FK W v TIL 2020 W~~0.95 – 2.15

~~Form · last six in 1. Division Women this season · since 30 Aug~~W1 D0 L5 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 3 v 17~~11 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · TIL 2020 W win

Published at 64%, 65% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Frigg Oslo FK W win	17%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
TIL 2020 W win	65%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Frigg Oslo FK W or draw	35%	–	–
Frigg Oslo FK W clean sheet	12%	–	–
TIL 2020 W clean sheet	39%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 10.8%

0123450 3.9 10.8 10.3 7.4 4.1 1 5.4 8.2 9.4 6.7 3.7 2 2.1 4.3 4.5 3.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Frigg Oslo FK W down, TIL 2020 W across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 614 1. Division Women matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Division Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.7% of games this season, across 126 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Frigg Oslo FK W at home: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). TIL 2020 W away: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.95 goals for Frigg Oslo FK W, 2.15 for TIL 2020 W. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~TIL 3–0 FRI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Division Women this season · since 30 Aug

FRIGG OSLO FK W

WLLLLL1–0 · 0–4 · 0–1 · 0–5 · 1–2 · 2–5

TIL 2020 W

WDLLLD2–0 · 2–2 · 2–3 · 2–3 · 0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Start W	8	+9	20
2	Viking FK W	8	+18	19
3	Åsane W	8	+11	18
4	TIL 2020 W	8	+14	17
5	Arna-Bjørnar W	8	+4	14
6	Bryne W	8	−2	11
7	Odd W	8	−1	9
8	Kolbotn W	8	−1	8
9	Grei W	8	−2	7
10	Klepp W	8	−15	6
11	Frigg Oslo FK W	8	−17	3
12	Fyllingsdalen W	8	−18	3