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Arna-Bjørnar W v Viking FK W
Arna-Bjørnar W
Viking FK W1. Division Women · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Arna-Bjørnar W win at 61%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Arna-Bjørnar W 61% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 61–16–23
- 1′KICK-OFF Arna-Bjørnar W v Viking FK W
- 21′Viking FK W score on 21′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 34–23–43
- 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Arna-Bjørnar W 0–1 Viking FK W
- 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Arna-Bjørnar W win: 61% at kick-off, 34% now
- 21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Viking FK W win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Arna-Bjørnar W win 34%)
- 22′We said Arna-Bjørnar W at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 0–1 · 33–23–44
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Arna-Bjørnar W win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 4.2 we expected. 0–1 · 30–24–46
- 32′Arna-Bjørnar W find the net on 31′. 1–1. 1–1 · 54–23–23
- 32′⚽ GOAL · 31' Arna-Bjørnar W 1–1 Viking FK W
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Arna-Bjørnar W win: 61% at kick-off, 54% now
- 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Arna-Bjørnar W win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Viking FK W win 23%)
- 41′A goal for Arna-Bjørnar W on 41′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 77–15–7
- 41′We said Arna-Bjørnar W at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 2–1 · 77–15–7
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Arna-Bjørnar W 2–1 Viking FK W
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Arna-Bjørnar W win: 61% at kick-off, 77% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Arna-Bjørnar W 2–1 Viking FK W
- 46′SECOND HALF Arna-Bjørnar W 2–1 Viking FK W
- 49′L. Garen scores for Arna-Bjørnar W on 41′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 78–16–6
- 49′We said Arna-Bjørnar W at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 2–1 · 78–16–6
- 56′The goal count is tracking the 4.2 we expected. 2–1 · 79–16–5
- 62′We said Arna-Bjørnar W at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–16–4
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Arna-Bjørnar W win: 61% at kick-off, 81% now
- 76′We said Arna-Bjørnar W at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
- 82′We said Arna-Bjørnar W at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Arna-Bjørnar W win: 61% at kick-off, 91% now
- 86′Viking FK W score on 85′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 13–80–7
- 86′We said Arna-Bjørnar W at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 2–2 · 13–80–7
- 86′⚽ GOAL · 85' Arna-Bjørnar W 2–2 Viking FK W
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Arna-Bjørnar W win: 61% at kick-off, 13% now
- 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Draw is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Arna-Bjørnar W win 13%)
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Arna-Bjørnar W win: 61% at kick-off, 11% now
- 89′We said Arna-Bjørnar W at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–85–5
- 93′We said Arna-Bjørnar W at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–2
- FTFULL TIME Arna-Bjørnar W 2–2 Viking FK W
- FTArna-Bjørnar W 2–2 Viking FK W · Arna-Bjørnar W win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassArna-Bjørnar W are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Arna-Bjørnar W 61%, draw 16%, Viking FK W 23%. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 71%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Arna-Bjørnar W win61%
Viking FK W win23%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 21
Match timeline
All events
Arna-Bjørnar WMIN
Viking FK WEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Arna-Bjørnar W
Viking FK W
Last match: 3 Oct · 1. Division Women
Last match: 3 Oct · 1. Division Women
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Arna-Bjørnar W a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 16 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.6–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arna-Bjørnar W win | 61% | 45% | +16 |
| Draw | 16% | 25% | −9 |
| Viking FK W win | 23% | 31% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 67% | +11 |
| Both teams to score | 71% | 67% | +4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% | 84% | +7 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 59% | 47% | +12 |
| Arna-Bjørnar W or draw | 77% | 69% | +8 |
| Arna-Bjørnar W clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
| Viking FK W clean sheet | 8% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2024Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Division Women this season · since 23 Aug
ARNA-BJØRNAR W
VIKING FK W
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Start W | 8 | +9 | 20 |
| 2 | Viking FK W | 8 | +18 | 19 |
| 3 | Åsane W | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | TIL 2020 W | 8 | +14 | 17 |
| 5 | Arna-Bjørnar W | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Bryne W | 8 | −2 | 11 |
| 7 | Odd W | 8 | −1 | 9 |
| 8 | Kolbotn W | 8 | −1 | 8 |
| 9 | Grei W | 8 | −2 | 7 |
| 10 | Klepp W | 8 | −15 | 6 |
| 11 | Frigg Oslo FK W | 8 | −17 | 3 |
| 12 | Fyllingsdalen W | 8 | −18 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Start W
Åsane W
TIL 2020 W
Bryne W
Odd W
Kolbotn W
Grei W
Klepp W
Frigg Oslo FK W
Fyllingsdalen W