Home › Football › Premiership › Portadown v Glentoran

Portadown v Glentoran

Portadown

0–0Full time

Glentoran

Premiership · FRI 9 OCT · Shamrock Park

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 22:30

Portadown 0–0 Glentoran GLENTORAN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Glentoran win~~61%

~~The market said~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.045

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.984

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Glentoran win at 61%.
1′KICK-OFF Portadown v Glentoran
2′Little has changed for our model: Glentoran 61% before kick-off, 60% now. 0–0 · 18–22–60
45′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Portadown
45′HALF-TIME Portadown 0–0 Glentoran
46′SECOND HALF Portadown 0–0 Glentoran
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Glentoran · On: M. Kane · Off: E. Schilte-Brown
60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Glentoran
62′🟨 YELLOW · 60' J. Stewart · Glentoran
65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Glentoran · On: J. Douglas · Off: J. Singleton
70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Portadown
81′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Glentoran · On: A. McEneff · Off: J. Malone
81′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Glentoran · On: B. Gallagher · Off: J. Jenkins
88′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Glentoran · On: A. McEneff · Off: J. Malone
88′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Glentoran · On: B. Gallagher · Off: J. Jenkins
FTPortadown 0–0 Glentoran · Glentoran win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Portadown win19%

Draw20%

Glentoran win61%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 19:45

Venue · Shamrock Park

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Portadown

Formation not confirmed

1 A. McCarey

2 D. Isamala

3 M. Carson

4 B. Altintop

7 L. Chapman

17 S. O'Mahoney

19 J. Teelan

23 M. Hewitt

26 G. Thompson

28 B. Kennedy

34 F. Flanagan

Coach · David Jeffrey

Substitutes

33 · J. Barry

8 · A. Towe

9 · C. Falls

10 · E. Fyfe

14 · B. Wells

22 · J. Scott

48 · D. Martins

Glentoran

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Mills

2 R. Cooney

20 D. Larmour

16 E. Schilte-Brown

26 J. O'Rourke

27 J. Singleton

12 G. Sloggett

29 J. Malone

24 C. McMenamin

30 J. Jenkins

7 R. Clarke

Coach · Declan Devine

Substitutes

31 · W. Francis Crellin

44 · J. Douglas

10 · J. Stewart

11 · J. Daniels

3 · M. Kane

8 · A. McEneff

19 · B. Gallagher

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Portadown

Formation not confirmed

1 A. McCarey

2 D. Isamala

3 M. Carson

4 B. Altintop

7 L. Chapman

17 S. O'Mahoney

19 J. Teelan

23 M. Hewitt

26 G. Thompson

28 B. Kennedy

34 F. Flanagan

Coach · David Jeffrey

Substitutes

33 · J. Barry

8 · A. Towe

9 · C. Falls

10 · E. Fyfe

14 · B. Wells

22 · J. Scott

48 · D. Martins

Glentoran

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Mills

2 R. Cooney

20 D. Larmour

16 E. Schilte-Brown

26 J. O'Rourke

27 J. Singleton

12 G. Sloggett

29 J. Malone

24 C. McMenamin

30 J. Jenkins

7 R. Clarke

Coach · Declan Devine

Substitutes

31 · W. Francis Crellin

44 · J. Douglas

10 · J. Stewart

11 · J. Daniels

3 · M. Kane

8 · A. McEneff

19 · B. Gallagher

Our number · glentoran winPublished 9 Oct 19:34

61% The market59%

Us61%

~~Market~~59%

We make Glentoran a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 59%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 0.9–1.9.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Portadown win	19%	19%	0
Draw	20%	22%	−2
Glentoran win	61%	59%	+2
Over 2.5 goals	53%	57%	−4
Both teams to score	49%	55%	−5
Over 1.5 goals	76%	78%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	31%	36%	−5
Portadown or draw	39%	41%	−2
Portadown clean sheet	16%	–	–
Glentoran clean sheet	40%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 12.3%

0123450 5.3 12.3 10.7 6.8 3.3 1 6.5 9.4 9.6 6.0 2.9 2 2.6 4.7 4.4 2.8 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Portadown down, Glentoran across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,221 Premiership matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premiership matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.8% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

12 previous meetings, 2.92 goals a meeting; 7 of 12 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Portadown at home: 0.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Glentoran away: 1.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.92 goals for Portadown, 1.90 for Glentoran. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

12 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.92

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 12

~~Both scored~~7 of 12

~~Last meetings~~GLE 2–1 POR · GLE 2–1 POR · POR 0–1 GLE · POR 0–2 GLE

Form · last six in Premiership

PORTADOWN

LLDLLW1–3 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 3–1

GLENTORAN

LDLWWW1–2 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Coleraine FC	10	+12	25
2	Linfield	9	+6	22
3	Larne	6	+9	16
4	Glentoran	10	+5	16
5	Crusaders FC	10	−3	15
6	Carrick Rangers	10	0	13
7	Dungannon Swifts	9	−1	13
8	Ballymena United	9	+2	12
9	Cliftonville FC	10	0	12
10	Limavady United	9	−6	9
11	Bangor	10	−12	5
12	Portadown	10	−12	4