Limavady United v Crusaders FC prediction · Premiership

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Limavady UnitedDrawCrusaders FC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Limavady United 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Limavady United are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Limavady United 44%, draw 23%, Crusaders FC 33%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Limavady United v Crusaders FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Limavady United win44%

Draw23%

Crusaders FC win33%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Limavady United

Crusaders FC

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · the Northern Irish Premiership

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Crusaders FC	13	−12	15
10	Limavady United	12	−6	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · limavady united winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Limavady United a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Limavady United v Crusaders FC~~1.58 – 1.34

~~Form · last six in Premiership this season · since 19 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 13 v 15~~10 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Limavady United win	44%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Crusaders FC win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Limavady United or draw	67%	–	–
Limavady United clean sheet	27%	–	–
Crusaders FC clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.4%

0123450 4.8 8.2 4.9 2.2 1 9.4 10.4 7.4 3.4 2 6.7 8.7 5.8 2.6 3 3.6 4.6 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Limavady United down, Crusaders FC across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,239 Premiership matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premiership matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.4% of games this season, across 74 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Limavady United at home: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Crusaders FC away: 0.83 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.58 goals for Limavady United, 1.34 for Crusaders FC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~CRU 1–2 LIM · CRU 1–0 LIM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premiership this season · since 19 Sept

LIMAVADY UNITED

LWLWLD0–1 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 3–2 · 0–1 · 1–1

CRUSADERS FC

LWLLLL0–1 · 2–1 · 0–4 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 0–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Coleraine FC	13	+19	34
2	Linfield	13	+10	32
3	Larne	10	+11	22
4	Glentoran	12	+6	20
5	Carrick Rangers	13	+2	18
6	Ballymena United	11	+2	15
7	Cliftonville FC	13	0	15
8	Crusaders FC	13	−12	15
9	Dungannon Swifts	12	−5	14
10	Limavady United	12	−6	13
11	Portadown	13	−12	8
12	Bangor	13	−15	6