Larne v Linfield

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Larne win at 47%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Larne was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–27–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Larne v Linfield
4. 21′A goal for Larne on 20′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 75–18–7
5. 21′We published Larne at 47%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–7
6. 21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Larne 1–0 Linfield
7. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Larne win: 47% at kick-off, 75% now
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.1 we expected. 1–0 · 76–18–6
9. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Larne win: 47% at kick-off, 77% now
10. 45′HALF-TIME Larne 1–0 Linfield
11. 46′L. Millar scores for Larne on 21′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 79–17–4
12. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Linfield
13. 46′SECOND HALF Larne 1–0 Linfield
14. 49′We published Larne at 47%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
15. 51′Linfield score on 51′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 32–48–20
16. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Larne 1–1 Linfield
17. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Larne win: 47% at kick-off, 32% now
18. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Larne win 80%)
19. 52′We said Larne at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 32–49–20
20. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Larne
21. 57′We said Larne at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–52–18
22. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Larne
23. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Linfield
24. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Larne win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
25. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Larne
26. 66′We said Larne at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–61–15
27. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Linfield · On: M. Fitzpatrick · Off: K. Moore
28. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Larne · On: M. Randall · Off: J. McEneff
29. 72′We said Larne at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–68–13
30. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Larne win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
31. 78′We said Larne at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–77–9
32. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Linfield · On: K. Millar · Off: K. Nelson
33. 82′Linfield find the net on 82′. 1–2. 1–2 · 1–9–90
34. 82′We said Larne at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 1–2 · 1–9–90
35. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Larne 1–2 Linfield
36. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Larne win: 47% at kick-off, 1% now
37. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Linfield win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 83%)
38. 83′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.1 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 0–8–91
39. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Larne
40. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Larne · On: K. O'Hara · Off: D. Sloan
41. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Larne · On: M. Gibson · Off: P. O'Neill
42. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Larne · On: G. Sandiford · Off: J. Simpson
43. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Larne
44. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Larne · On: C. McKendry · Off: L. Millar
45. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Linfield · On: J. Mulgrew · Off: R. Brennan
46. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Linfield · On: D. Wells · Off: A. Frizzell
47. FTFULL TIME Larne 1–2 Linfield
48. FTLarne 1–2 Linfield · Larne win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.